kayumanggi Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 (edited) AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR's change of release date has made it more difficult for this to do good overseas. Edited February 8, 2019 by kayumanggi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Impossible Posted April 15, 2018 Share Posted April 15, 2018 $114 million overseas start according to BOM with 62 markets. How is that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $34,500,000 23.2% + Foreign: $114,100,000 76.8% = Worldwide: $148,600,000 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 Wow already surpassed Tomb Raider worldwide. $400 million is probable? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 2 minutes ago, Godzilla said: Wow already surpassed Tomb Raider worldwide. $400 million is probable? I think it's possible but the hold against A:IW will seal the fate since Rampage will have 2 more weeks after A:IW as the 2nd choice big budget blockbuster offering around the world. Domestic: Rampage dropped just 41.7% this weekend. It needs 1.64 x 2nd weekend to reach 100m in DBO. I think it's doable. So let's go with 100m from the DBO. China: 135m is locked according to our CBO experts. It could go as high as 140m (Maoyan projects 140m final total for Rampage at the time of writing this post) OS-China: Rampage opened to 60.7m from Int'l markets. This weekend it did 29.8m. That's a 50.9% drop. Kong: Skull Island dropped 53.6% in it's sophomore play in the existing OS markets. We can compare both since neither has/had new openings in any OS territory in their respective weekends. K:SI finished with a multiplier of 2.7 off of it's OS OW. Now K:SI also had both Germany and France opening simultaneously with other OS countries while those 2 markets are still to come for Rampage. Both still had Japan left in the tank after the 2nd weekend. A:IW will hit Rampage hard on a global scale but Rampage should still get to 2.5xOW. That means 151.8m. Germany+Grance+Japan - I'm assuming an arbitrary 19.2m from these 3 markets. WW Total - (100+135+151.8+19.2) = 406m. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 Kong:Skull Island dropped 56% on 2nd weekend minus the Germany & France numbers for the 2 weekends. K:SI dropped a remarkably impressive 28% from the OW in those 2 markets. So the avg. drop in other countries brought the overall weekend drop down several notches. Rampage is already displaying a much better hold with estimates (actuals tend to come in higher so the drop will get better tomorrow). After 10 days the OS multiplier for Rampage is 1.82 while K:SI was at 1.78. It'll trend better for 4 more days and then drop harshly against A:IW to trend downward w.r.t K:SI. But how severe will be the downward trajectory?? It can still recover over the whole of the next 2 weeks before DP2 hits theaters world-wide. 2.5xOW feels like an achievable target. Rampage opened to 71.3% of K:SI in similar markets on OS OW (the former is already at 75.5% of the latter in sophomore weekend). If we assume Rampage does 65% of the combined total from France & Germany (of K:SI), it will have made a bit more than 14m. Blockbuster kaiju/monster movies tend to do well in Japan (Godzilla 30m, PR 14.5m, K:SI 17m etc). 65% of K:SI will bring in close to 11m. So that's (14+11)=25m from the remaining big OS markets. The CBO figure can still climb above 135m for all we know. So 400m seems locked even with a global collapse against A:IW. But all these analysis will look silly if A:IW obliterates it next weekend. So I'll hope that Rampage will be able hold it's own against the wrath of A:IW. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 ^^^ 400 does look like a done deal. 95 dom + 135 china = 330 current os should do 150. then Germany+France+Japan falling below 20 seems impossible. Even if dom and china combined come in ~5 less at 325, current os should go over 150 that I used above, and Germany+France+Japan should also bring in at least 10 more than just 20. at the moment, 410-420 looks more likely than 390-400. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted April 28, 2018 Author Share Posted April 28, 2018 (edited) 217.6 M overseas ● 288.4 M worldwide Edited May 2, 2018 by kayumanggi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 I think 92M DOM 305M OS 397-400M WW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 Avengers seem to have hurt it in a bit of an extreme way: http://chicagoeveningpost.com/2018/04/22/comscore-announces-official-worldwide-box-office-results-for-weekend-of-april-22-2018/ https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/comscore-announces-official-worldwide-box-office-results-for-weekend-of-april-29-2018-300638624.html Last week (weekend total, intl weekend, domestic weekend/ total world wide box office): Rampage 78,000,000 57,000,000 21,000,000 283,000,066 To Rampage 23,305,000 16,200,000 7,105,000 334,630,557 57m to 16.2m international, that a 71.5% drop Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marathon Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 Quite similar demos, and possibly a hefty screen loss to Infinity War as well (exhibitors responding to huge demand). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 (edited) On 2018/4/30 at 12:22 AM, PanaMovie said: I think 92M DOM 305M OS 397-400M WW China still has about two weeks IMAX till AiW open.it has huge increase in labour holiday this week.So $145-150M instead of $135M.400M+ is more likely. Edited May 1, 2018 by bangbingchan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $78,030,872 23.3% + Foreign: $257,100,000 76.7% = Worldwide: $335,130,872 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) Rampage got annihilated by A:IW. It dropped a massive 71.75% in OS markets. Rampage is still ahead of K:SI in overall OS multiplier after 17 days (Rampage 2.154 & K:SI 2.142). K:SI dropped 55% (minus China & Japan) in the 3rd weekend. It's multiplier off 3rd weekend (minus the entirety of CBO & Japan) was 1.75x. If we assume Rampage manages that 85% of that then it'll get to 1.485x (Godzilla did 1.38x from 3rd weekend). Rampage grossed 7.8m from CBO & 8.7m from other OS markets this weekend. So (1.485 X 8.7) gives us 12.9m. Rampage could bring in 25m from France+Germany+Japan+Poland. OS-CBO total atm is 130.8m. CBO is tracking at 145m+ so let's go with that specific number for now. DBO - 95m CBO - 145m Total OS BO - (130.8+12.9+25) = 168.7m Total World-Wide BO - (95+145+168.7) = 408.7m. Edited May 1, 2018 by MaxAggressor 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 2, 2018 Author Share Posted May 2, 2018 (edited) 257.1 M overseas ● 335.6 M worldwide Edited June 12, 2018 by kayumanggi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepItU25071906 Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 On 02.05.2018 at 5:45 PM, kayumanggi said: 257.1 M overseas ● 335.6 M worldwide Domestic: $79,722,617 22.4% + Foreign: $276,700,000 77.6% = Worldwide: $356,422,617 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...