Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31

[Alli]

‘A Wrinkle In Time’ Posts $1.3M – Thursday Night Box Office

 

http://deadline.com/2018/03/a-wrinkle-in-time-black-panther-weekend-box-office-1202324260/

Edited March 9, 2018 by Alli

[Fancyarcher]

3 minutes ago, Treeing Me Apart said:

30% RT score from audience ratings that include,

"Say it isn't so. A Disney movie with a rotten score? I could tell from the trailers that this movie looked like a disaster. First bomb for Disney this year I guess. Disney can't win them all."

 

Plenty of the 1 star reviews I can see come from users that have no other rating history on RT. That's not to say they are fake - maybe they were so outraged by the movie that it drove them to create a new Rotten Tomatoes account to review it - but just take it with a pinch of salt.

Now that I think about it, the percentage is probably driven somewhat by trolls. Just about every mixed / poorly received fantasy film starts out with way higher then 30%. 

Edited March 9, 2018 by Fancyarcher

[filmlover]

This is fine for A Wrinkle in Time since it's likely gonna skew heavily towards families. Not gonna be a breakout, of course, but should be on track for a decent $35-40M opening.

[fabiopazzo2]

Mojo prediction 

• A Wrinkle in Time (3,980 theaters) - $42.0 M
• Black Panther (3,942 theaters) - $38.0 M
• Strangers: Prey at Night (2,464 theaters) - $9.5 M
• Red Sparrow (3,064 theaters) - $8.3 M
• Death Wish (2,882 theaters) - $6.9 M
• Peter Rabbit (3,112 theaters) - $6.2 M
• Game Night (3,061 theaters) - $5.8 M
• The Hurricane Heist (2,402 theaters) - $3.8 M
• Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (2,157 theaters) - $3.4 M
• Gringo (2,404 theaters) - $3.0 M

[CJohn]

30M OW looking good for AWiT but it will depend on how much it jumps tomorrow.

[Zakiyyah6]

Of course racist trolls are hurting the audience score. Good thing I never give a damn about that score on RT.

 

Finally, Wrinkle's numbers are out.

[a2k]

25-30x the previews gives WRINKLE 33-39 ow.

Any comps?

[MaxAggressor]

From BOM:

 

Disney's A Wrinkle in Time delivered $1.3 million from Thursday night previews. This is well ahead of the $725k brought in by Tomorrowland ahead of its $33 million three-day and just behind Alice Through the Looking Glass, which brought in $1.5 million from Thursday previews ahead of a $34 million debut.

 

Aviron's The Strangers: Prey at Night brought in $610,000 from Thursday evening previews, which is better than both Kidnap and You're Next, which we used as comparisons in our preview below, and just behind the $735k brought in by 47 Meters Down prior to its $11.2 million debut last June.

[Rumpot]

9 minutes ago, Alli said:

‘A Wrinkle In Time’ Posts $1.3M – Thursday Night Box Office

 

http://deadline.com/2018/03/a-wrinkle-in-time-black-panther-weekend-box-office-1202324260/

Black Panther 4.1M Thursday in same article

[grim22]

2 minutes ago, CJohn said:

30M OW looking good for AWiT but it will depend on how much it jumps tomorrow.

Yeah, thinking about 30-35 as well. Depends on if families will show up in force.

[Zakiyyah6]

So yeah I'm thinking 37mil for Wrinkle in Time.

[grim22]

2 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

From BOM:

 

Disney's A Wrinkle in Time delivered $1.3 million from Thursday night previews. This is well ahead of the $725k brought in by Tomorrowland ahead of its $33 million three-day and just behind Alice Through the Looking Glass, which brought in $1.5 million from Thursday previews ahead of a $34 million debut.

 

Aviron's The Strangers: Prey at Night brought in $610,000 from Thursday evening previews, which is better than both Kidnap and You're Next, which we used as comparisons in our preview below, and just behind the $735k brought in by 47 Meters Down prior to its $11.2 million debut last June.

Tomorrowland didn't have wide previews. It was IMAX only on previews night. That was a really weird decision since the movie doesn't exactly play any better in IMAX either.

[YM!]

$30M-$35M seems likely for Wrinkle but where it lands depends on audience reception.

[a2k]

FRIDAY AM UPDATE: Disney's A Wrinkle in Time delivered $1.3 million from Thursday night previews. This is well ahead of the $725k brought in by Tomorrowland ahead of its $33 million three-day and just behind Alice Through the Looking Glass, which brought in $1.5 million from Thursday previews ahead of a $34 million debut.

LOOKING GLASS was a sequel so WRINKLE should have a better multi than 22.7x it had. BUT LOOKING GLASS fell only 10% on Sunday owing to 4-day weekend.

 

25x for 33 OW seems reasonable for WRINKLE no? In line with pre-release expectations.

[cmbbox2390]

Also from Deadline regarding Black Panther

Quote

Black Panther after collecting $4.1M yesterday is starting its weekend with a domestic total of $520.8M. Many bet it will be No. 1 with  $40M-plus in its third weekend.

 

[Wrath]

14 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

If Black Panther is supposed to be such a hit how come it couldn't even push this number over the billion mark?

BP: WWW?

Edited March 9, 2018 by Wrath

[a2k]

4.1

9.64 (+135%)

17.34 (+80%)

12.14 (-30%)

= 39.12

 

39 is the minimum BP should do IMO. 41-43 seems realistic. 

[Jake Gittes]

15 minutes ago, Alli said:

He's baaaack. The Collateral Beauty writer has a new gig

 

http://deadline.com/2018/03/allan-loeb-romantic-comedy-brings-the-proposals-ryan-reynolds-mandeville-back-to-altar-1202324338/

I hope that in these trying times we can at least all unite in hating Allan Loeb. 

[Alli]

30-35 is my guess

[fabiopazzo2]

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