Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31

[MovieMan89]

Another good example is Maleficent and The Jungle Book both opening to the exact same preview number, yet TJB doing $35m more for the weekend. Again, previews for family films are wildly inconsistent. 

[YM!]

Just now, MovieMan89 said:

Another good example is Maleficent and The Jungle Book both opening to the exact same preview number, yet TJB doing $35m more for the weekend. Again, previews for family films are wildly inconsistent. 

True however TJB had way better reviews and arguably more hype and that actually appealing 3D Effect.

[WrathOfHan]

BOP long range and TCs (only tiny updates on tracking this week): https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-overboard-stakes-claim-former-avengers-infinity-war-release-date/

 

Pacific Rim: 3,200

Sherlock Gnomes: 3,200

Paul, Apostle of Christ: 2,900

Unsane: 2,400

Midnight Sun: 2,000

 

Tomb Raider is up to 3,600 theaters now

Edited March 9, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

One positive for WIT: Gnomes looks like crap anyway and won’t do over $45M DOM should it shouldn’t have strong competition at all.

The March 23 weekend is gonna be deadly. I'm fully expecting a sub-$15M opening for Pacific Rim 2.

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

True however TJB had way better reviews and arguably more hype and that actually appealing 3D Effect.

And yet you could also argue Maleficent was released back in 2014 so therefore previews should have been more muted than in 2016. There just doesn't tend to be a lot of rhyme or reason to family film previews. 

Edited March 9, 2018 by MovieMan89

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

The March 23 weekend is gonna be deadly. I'm fully expecting a sub-$15M opening for Pacific Rim 2.

Universal isn't pushing it into many theaters (3,200 is WEAK for a blockbuster), so it may happen  

[La Binoche]

Can Disney use the wrinkle in time to go back and hire a better-suited filmmaker and cast? 

 

 

[YM!]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

The March 23 weekend is gonna be deadly. I'm fully expecting a sub-$15M opening for Pacific Rim 2.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Panther did more than Both Gnomes and Uprising on that weekend.

 

[Zakiyyah6]

Yes a Wrinkle in Time could hit 40mil but these 50-60mil projections seem delusional to me. We'll see.

Edited March 9, 2018 by Zakiyyah6

[MovieMan89]

Just now, Zakiyyah6 said:

Yes a Wrinkle in Time could hit 40mil but these 50-60mil projections seem delusional to me. We'll see.

Who's saying over $50m? 

[Godzilla]

Lol this year March seems to be the dumping month. 

[Krissykins]

8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Universal isn't pushing it into many theaters (3,200 is WEAK for a blockbuster), so it may happen  

 

Everytime I see one of your posts it has that face. 

 

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, Godzilla said:

Lol this year March seems to be the dumping month. 

If RPO really does go sub-30M on OW, no March grosser will be over 100M  

[Krissykins]

2 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

Lol this year March seems to be the dumping month. 

Unknown to the studios though, they thought these films would be big. 

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Krissykins said:

 

Everytime I see one of your posts it has that face. 

 

Well, it was my icon at one point and is ingrained in my post history (for worse)  

[TwoMisfits]

54 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Yes a Wrinkle in Time could hit 40mil but these 50-60mil projections seem delusional to me. We'll see.

I don't think anyone's predicted $50M+...most of the posts seem to instead be "family multipliers off Thursday can be almost anything - see exhibit A, exhibit B, exhibit C, etc"...

 

I was countering most of the under $30M, this is crash-and-burning crowd (who may still be right...but then this weekend could be interesting for even more reasons than WiT)...

 

I had a $35M+ Casino bet no one took...I'm standing by that one as my "weekend bet"...

Edited March 9, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[MovieMan89]

I will be curious to see the CinemaScore for WiT. The internet has spewed so much bile towards it before ever seeing it that nothing like IMDB or RT can be remotely trusted as a reliable gauge for what families will think of it. 

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

If RPO really does go sub-30M on OW, no March grosser will be over 100M  

Imagine if nothing makes $100M between Black Panther and Avengers. Whoo boy, some posters here will have a field day with that one.

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Imagine if nothing makes $100M between Black Panther and Avengers. Whoo boy, some posters here will have a field day with that one.

Fuck the rabbit. 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:

Fuck the rabbit. 

That opened before the CBMs so it's immune.