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The Summer Game is Here!! Infernus wins it... pipping WrathofHan in the final revels who had to settle for second after leading the whole way... Wrath wrapped it up in third!

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SOTM 12

 

1. How many make the Summer Game Domestic top 20? 2

2. How many have an OW above $12M? 3

3. How many open in the top 3 spots? 5

 

4. How many decrease less than 10% (including increases) on their opening Saturday? 6

5. How Many have a second weekend drop less than 52%? 3

6. How many are in the top 12 in the final weekend of the Summer Game? 5

 

Few people attempted this one. Almost everyone who did scored better than the abstainers though.

 

Rank Name Score (in thousands)
1 Jake Gittes 51
2 bcf26 41
3 JJ-8 38
4 aabattery 29
4 Mr.Pink 29
4 Sheikh 29
4 WrathOfHan 29
4 ZeeSoh 29
9 Deja23 28
10 Chasmmi 16
11 Fancy Archer 15
12 Simionski 3
13 24Lost 2
13 Infernus 2
13 kayumanggi 2
13 That One Guy 2
13 Wrath 2
18 glassfairy -7
Edited by Infernus
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@Wrath and @Infernus ~ please add the following scores (QOTW) to the SOTM scores.

 

Here are the final scores for QOTW.  no one received a bonus (since we all either made a mistake or cashed in / passed too many times :D )

 

 

Question of Week Scores

 

 

 

 

 

#

Player

Total Score

Mistake ?

#Cashouts

 

Actuals

 

 

 

1

Simionski

161,500

TRUE

3

2

Wrath

161,500

TRUE

3

3

Chasmmi

146,500

TRUE

1

4

ZeeSoh

146,500

TRUE

1

5

aabattery

139,500

TRUE

1

6

Fancyarcher

133,000

TRUE

0

7

Infernus

133,000

TRUE

0

8

Jake Gittes

133,000

TRUE

0

9

WrathofHan

133,000

TRUE

0

10

bcf26

120,600

TRUE

1

11

That one guy

105,000

TRUE

3

12

JJ-8

105,000

TRUE

0

13

MovieMan89

104,000

FALSE

9

14

kayumanggi

104,000

TRUE

1

15

Sheikh

104,000

TRUE

1

16

glassfairy

103,500

TRUE

0

17

George (Premium George)

96,000

FALSE

13

18

Empire

93,000

TRUE

2

19

Deja23

88,500

TRUE

1

20

24Lost

85,300

TRUE

3

21

Kalo

72,000

FALSE

14

22

Slambros

64,000

FALSE

15

23

baumer

53,000

TRUE

9

24

Chewy

48,000

FALSE

16

25

grey ghost

24,000

FALSE

17

26

AndyLL

16,000

FALSE

18

27

captainwondyful

16,000

FALSE

18

28

druv10

16,000

FALSE

18

29

Mike Hunt

16,000

FALSE

18

30

Panda (Critically Acclaimed Panda)

16,000

FALSE

18

31

SchumacherFTW

16,000

FALSE

18

32

Spaghetti (Isle of Pasta)

16,000

FALSE

18

33

Telemachos

16,000

FALSE

18

34

Tree

16,000

FALSE

18

35

MrWhite (MrPink ?)

15,300

TRUE

9

36

Alfred (The Dark Alfred)

8,000

FALSE

18

37

Cmasterclay

0

FALSE

19

 

 

 

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I'm doing SOTM 2 right now, in case anyone else has been planning to score it. Do inform me if anyone's already started though.

SOTM 1 will be the only one remaining after that, as Wrath is doing SOTM 7. So if anyone's planning on doing some SOTM scoring, go for that.

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Week 19

 

Part A:

 

1. Will Operation Finale open to more than $4M for 3 day? 1000 YES

2. Will Operation Finale open to more than $6M for 3 day? 2000 YES

3. Will Ya Veramos open to more than $900k? 3000 YES

4. Will Ya Veramos open to more than $1.3M? 4000 YES

5. Will any new entry enter the top 3? 5000 NO

 

6. Will Crazy Rich Asians drop less than 5%? 1000 NO

7. Will Happytime stay above Mission Impossible? 2000 NO

8. Will Mile 22 stay above Alpha? 3000 NO

9. Will BlacKkKlansman Drop less than 10%? 4000 NO

10. Will The Meg have a PTA more than $2,650? 5000 YES

 

11. Will AXL have a bigger weekend drop than The Spy Who Dumped Me? 1000 NO

12. Will Incredibles cross $600M? 2000 YES

13. Will Slenderman stay in the top 12? 3000 NO

14. Will something in the top 12 in more than 2000 theatres increase more than 40%? 4000 NO

15. Will I ever be free of Summer and Winter Games? 5000 NO

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Operation Finale make for its 3 day? $6,022,758

2. What will Crazy Rich Asian's percentage change be? -11.5%

3. What will Christopher Robin's PTA be for the Weekend? $1,804

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. The Meg

4. Searching

7. Alpha

9. BlacKkKlansman

12. Kin

15. Ya Veremos

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

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Week 19 Scores

 

# NAME PART A PART B PART C TOTAL
1 Fancyarcher 60,000 6,000 25,000 91,000
2 Wrath 64,000 3,000 10,000 77,000
3 Infernus 51,000 3,000 18,000 72,000
4 Baumer 60,000 6,000 4,000 70,000
5 Sheikh 51,000 0 18,000 69,000
6 MrPink 51,000 0 18,000 69,000
7 WrathOfHan 51,000 0 18,000 69,000
8 ZeeSoh 51,000 4,000 10,000 65,000
9 Deja23 60,000 0 4,000 64,000
10 glassfairy 43,000 1,000 18,000 62,000
11 Jake Gittes 51,000 0 10,000 61,000
12 chasmmi 53,000 0 4,000 57,000
13 Simionski 49,000 2,000 4,000 55,000
14 bcf26 48,000 2,000 4,000 54,000
15 kayumanggi 45,000 2,000 4,000 51,000
16 aabattery 44,000 0 4,000 48,000
17 JJ-8 38,000 0 10,000 48,000
18 Empire 32,000 1,000 4,000 37,000
19 24Lost 0 0 0 0
20 That One Guy 0 0 0 0
21 captainwondyful 0 0 0 0
22 grey ghost 0 0 0 0
23 Chewy 0 0 0 0
24 ChD 0 0 0 0
25 MovieMan89 0 0 0 0
26 Panda 0 0 0 0
27 The Dark Alfred 0 0 0 0
28 George 0 0 0 0
29 Kalo 0 0 0 0
30 Tree 0 0 0 0
31 Slambros 0 0 0 0
32 pasta 0 0 0 0
33 tele 0 0 0 0
34 mike hunt 0 0 0 0
35 schumacherftw 0 0 0 0
36 andyll 0 0 0 0
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Total After Week 19

 

Rank Name Week 19 Total Previous rank
1 WrathOfHan 69,000 1,559,000 1
2 Sheikh 69,000 1,548,000 2
3 Infernus 72,000 1,422,000 3
4 ZeeSoh 65,000 1,397,000 4
5 Simionski 55,000 1,374,000 5
6 Deja23 64,000 1,372,000 6
7 MrPink 69,000 1,372,000 7
8 Wrath 77,000 1,357,000 11
9 Jake Gittes 61,000 1,353,000 9
10 JJ-8 48,000 1,348,000 8
11 aabattery 48,000 1,339,000 10
12 kayumanggi 51,000 1,328,000 12
13 Baumer 70,000 1,293,000 14
14 chasmmi 57,000 1,281,000 13
15 glassfairy 62,000 1,257,000 15
16 Fancyarcher 91,000 1,254,000 16
17 Empire 37,000 1,079,000 18
18 24Lost 0 1,065,000 17
19 bcf26 54,000 985,000 19
20 That One Guy 0 907,000 20
21 MovieMan89 0 793,000 21
22 captainwondyful 0 672,000 22
23 grey ghost 0 659,000 23
24 Panda 0 629,000 24
25 Chewy 0 621,000 25
26 Kalo 0 403,000 26
27 George 0 353,000 27
28 The Dark Alfred 0 290,000 28
29 Tree 0 216,000 29
30 Slambros 0 196,000 30
31 pasta 0 76,000 31
32 tele 0 70,000 32
33 mike hunt 0 64,000 33
34 andyll 0 59,000 34
35 ChD 0 55,000 35
36 schumacherftw 0 53,000 36
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Make Up Questions

 

Part A:

 

1. Will Kin open to more than $4M for 3 day? 1000 NO

2. Will Kin open to more than $6M for 3 day? 2000 NO

3. Will Searching make more than $3.5M? 3000 YES

4. Will Searching make more than $5M? 4000 YES

5. Will Searching make more than one of the Openers in a higher theatre count? 5000 YES

 

6. Will Meg increase? 1000 NO

7. Will Slender Man stay above AXL? 2000 YES

8. Will Will at least 7 of the top 12 increase on Sunday? 3000 YES

9. Will Teen Titans Drop less than 10%? 4000 NO

10. Will Mamma Mia have a PTA more than $1,000? 5000 YES

 

11. Will Mission Impossible have a bigger weekend percentage drop than Christopher Robin? 1000 NO

12. Will The Equallizer cross $100M ON Saturday? 2000 NO

13. Will Happytime Murders stay in the top 3? 3000 NO

14. Will anything in the top 15 drop more than 20%? 4000 YES

15. Will Spaghetti rig the Boffys so that Survivor wins best forum game :( 5000 YES

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

No Part B FOR YOU!!!!!!!!!!!! NO NO NO!!!!!

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. Mission: Impossible - Fallout

6. Disney's Christopher Robin

8. The Happytime Murders

11. Incredibles 2

14. Slender Man

16. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

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SOTM 2

 

 

Film Gross Full Partial
Full 32,000 / Partial 20,000  -  Jurassic World: 415 83 41.5
Full 30,000 / Partial 18,000  -  Solo  210 42 21
Full 28,000 / Partial 16,000  - Incredibles 2 600 120 60
Full 25,000 / Partial 15,000  - Deadpool 2 315 63 31.5
Full 20,000 / Partial 12,000  - Antman and the Wasp 210 42 21
Full 12,000 / Partial 8,000  - Mission Impossible 205 41 20.5
Full 12,000 / Partial 8,000  - Mamma Mia 2 115 23 11.5
Full 10,000 / Partial 6,000  - Christopher Robin 85 17 8.5
Full 10,000 / Partial 6,000  - Ocean's 8 135 27 13.5
Full 8,000 / Partial 5,000  - Hotel Transylvania 160 32 16
Full 8,000 / Partial 5,000  - Spy who Dumped Me 30 6 3
Full 6,000 / Partial 4,000  - Skyscraper 65 13 6.5
Full 6,000 / Partial 4,000  - First Purge 65 13 6.5
Full 5,000 / Partial 3,000  - Equalizer 2 100 20 10
Full 5,000 / Partial 3,000  - Life of the Party 50 10 5
Full 5,000 / Partial 3,000  - Sicario 2 50 10 5
Full 4,000 / Partial 2,500  - Valley Girl   0 0
Full 4,000 / Partial 2,500  - The Meg 120 24 12
Full 4,000 / Partial 2,500  - Teen Titans 25 5 2.5
Full 4,000 / Partial 2,500  - Darkest Minds 10 2 1
Full 3,000 / Partial 2,000  - Breaking In 45 9 4.5
Full 3,000 / Partial 2,000  - Overboard 50 10 5
Full 3,000 / Partial 2,000  - Bad Samaritan 0 0 0
Full 3,000 / Partial 2,000  - Hereditary 40 8 4
Full 2,000 / Partial 1,000  - Showdogs 15 3 1.5
Full 2,000 / Partial 1,000  - DOg Days 5 1 0.5
Full 2,000 / Partial 1,000  - Book Club 65 13 6.5
Full 2,000 / Partial 1,000  - Crazy Rich Asians 115 23 11.5
Full 2,000 / Partial 1,000  - Action Point 5 1 0.5
Full 2,000 / Partial 1,000  - Adrift 30 6 3
Full 1,000 / Partial 500  - Slender Man 25 5 2.5
Full 1,000 / Partial 500  - Super Troopers   0 0
Full 1,000 / Partial 500  - Searching 5 1 0.5
Full 1,000 / Partial 500    - Replicas   0 0
Full 1,000 / Partial 500    - Kin 0 0 0

 

 

Most people did well here. Spreading your investments among a lot of films didn't really help a lot. The top scorer, for instance, only invested in two films.

 

Rank Name Score
1 grey ghost 143
2 glassfairy 139
3 Panda 124.5
4 baumer 124
4 kayumanggi 124
4 Kalo 124
7 Telemachos 121
7 Wrath 121
9 aabattery 116
10 JJ-8 113
10 Jake Gittes 113
12 AndyLL 112
12 24Lost 112
14 Simionski 111.5
15 WrathofHan 110
16 Empire 108.5
17 chasmmi 106.5
18 Spagheditary 106
19 bcf26 104
19 Sheikh 104
21 Infernus 101.5
22 Mr.Pink 100
23 MovieMan89 94
24 Premium George 91.5
25 Slambros 88
26 Chewy 85.5
27 druv10 85
28 The Dark Alfred 77
29 Mike Hunt 76
30 ZeeSoh 74.5
31 That one guy 73
32 Fancyarcher 66
33 Avatree 30
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Make Up Questions Scores

 

# NAME PART A PART B PART C TOTAL
1 kayumanggi 63,000 0 4,000 67,000
2 aabattery 57,000 0 4,000 61,000
3 baumer 54,000 0 4,000 58,000
4 Empire 54,000 0 4,000 58,000
5 Infernus 53,000 0 4,000 57,000
6 bcf26 41,000 0 4,000 45,000
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FINAL TOTAL WEEKLY SCORES

 

Rank Name Make Up Total Previous rank
1 WrathOfHan 0 1,559,000 1
2 Sheikh 0 1,548,000 2
3 Infernus 57,000 1,479,000 3
4 aabattery 61,000 1,400,000 11
5 ZeeSoh 0 1,397,000 4
6 kayumanggi 67,000 1,395,000 12
7 Simionski 0 1,374,000 5
8 Deja23 0 1,372,000 6
9 MrPink 0 1,372,000 7
10 Wrath 0 1,357,000 8
11 Jake Gittes 0 1,353,000 9
12 Baumer 58,000 1,351,000 13
13 JJ-8 0 1,348,000 10
14 chasmmi 0 1,281,000 14
15 glassfairy 0 1,257,000 15
16 Fancyarcher 0 1,254,000 16
17 Empire 58,000 1,137,000 17
18 24Lost 0 1,065,000 18
19 bcf26 45,000 1,030,000 19
20 That One Guy 0 907,000 20
21 MovieMan89 0 793,000 21
22 captainwondyful 0 672,000 22
23 grey ghost 0 659,000 23
24 Panda 0 629,000 24
25 Chewy 0 621,000 25
26 Kalo 0 403,000 26
27 George 0 353,000 27
28 The Dark Alfred 0 290,000 28
29 Tree 0 216,000 29
30 Slambros 0 196,000 30
31 pasta 0 76,000 31
32 tele 0 70,000 32
33 mike hunt 0 64,000 33
34 andyll 0 59,000 34
35 ChD 0 55,000 35
36 schumacherftw 0 53,000 36
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26 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

An Asian is going to win this. Ha ha ha!

Could be.

 

But then again...

 

I'm not asian.

 

Edit - Got busy with some other stuff. Doing SotM 7 now.

Edited by Wrath
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SotM 7 - Screw going low, Go high and go for glory!!!

 

10 questions. The challenge was to see how close you could guess the answer to each, without going over. The closer your answer, the more points you got, but if you were over by even $1 or 0.001%, you lost points instead. Additionally, your raw score was increased by a mulitplier based on how many questions you got right (and the final score was then rounded up to the next 1,000 if necessary).

 

I'm going to say up front that, now that I've scored it, this SotM was magnificent (and I say that despite having done middle-of-the-pack myself). The combination of sliding scoring plus the multiplier allowed multiple approaches to potentially work really well. You could guess aggressively, racking up a really big raw score if you did well (more than making up for the penalties on the ones you missed) but it would hurt your multiplier. On the other hand, if you played cautiously, and did well, you'd likely end up with a much smaller raw score. But your multiplier would  be much better and that would even things out.

 

For example, bcf26 guessed conservatively and had a mediocre raw score of 77k. But bcf26 was also the only person to get a positive score on all 10 questions, earning a 2x multiplier and a respectable final score of 154k. 

 

On the other hand, Sheik guessed very aggressively, getting big scores on multiple questions and getting the 3rd best raw score of 125.5k. However, Sheik got 4 questions wrong, resulting in a 1.25x multiplier and a final score of 157k (after rounding). 

 

Two totally different approaches, evenly balanced in the scoring. The whole Sotm was like that. It was fun to score.

 

Questions (I'm rounding here, but for the actual scoring, I took it to the dollar, or 1/1000th of a percent):

1. Infinity War DOM gross? $678.8M (everyone got either 40k or 50k for this)

2. Book Club DOM gross? $68.6M

3. Tag OW? $14.9M

4. Ocean's 8 2nd weekend drop%? -54.4%

5. Jumanji 2 DOM minus Solo WW? $11.6M

6. Ant-Man & The Wasp DOM divided by DP2 DOM? 67.2% (only 5 people didn't miss this)

7. Black Panther DOM minus $700M? $59,566 (the question that was the overall biggest negative to scores. More people got the Antman/DP2 one wrong, but the ones who got it right did well. A lot of people got this one wrong, too and no one did well on it. I got 1,000 for it, and I was the only one to get more than 500)

8. Number of weeks Hereditary spent in top 12? 4

9. $1.5B minus JW:FK WW total? $199.1M

10. I Feel Pretty DOM minus Life of the Party DOM? $4.1M (possibly the most boring question in terms of results. 2 people got it wrong, 15 people scored 500, and the other 4 scored 1k, 1k, 1k, and 3k. Meh.)

 

Scores:

Deja23 - 199k

ZeeSoh - 186k

chasmmi - 180k

WrathOfHan - 175k

Fancyarcher - 158k

Jake Gittes - 158k

Sheik - 157k

bcf26 - 154k

MrPink - 142k

24Lost - 134k

Simionski 129k

Panda - 128k

baumer - 120k

Wrath - 117k

MovieMan89 - 108k

That One Guy - 91k

aabattery - 85k

glassfairy - 71k

JJ8 - 62k

Premium George - 49k

Infernus - 27k

 

Edited by Wrath
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I should add now that I appreciate all of the scoring help that many have volunteered to do over the course of this season. I wish to recognise this contribution and therefore all of the following:

 

@Premium George @Sheikh @Wrath @WrathOfHan @Infernus

 

They all with be awarded with a bonus point. Good job. 

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Scoring SotM 1 now, which will wrap up the SotM's. After that's done, I'll post a ranking total for everyone's results on the SotM's (plus QotW's).

 

A couple notes on SotM 1 so far. Its kind of annoying to score since you need to keep track of the totals for a bunch of movies across a bunch of countries, but its totally worth it for two reasons. First, I get to do a bunch of math in my head and that's always fun. Second, I got to score what may have been the most dominant performance I've ever seen on a SotM. You know how there was the one SotM where Han got 150k and everyone else got like 30k or less?

 

Han wishes he was even close to this result. And the real kicker is that, as impressive as the result was on its own, if one of the guesses been just a *little* closer, the score would have been much higher.

 

Edit - Wow. Someone else just totally crushed it as well. Not as dramatically as the first person, merely as dramatically as Han won the prior one.

Edited by Wrath
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SotM 1 - The Regionals

 

9 countries (UK, Australia, Russia, Germany, France, South Korea, Japan, Brazil, Mexico). Pick a country, then guess then top 3 movies in that country (for the game period) along with predicted gross (in that country, in $US) for each movie. Correctly guessing movies wins points, getting movies in the exact right spot is worth even more, and you can gain or lose points based on how close you got on the grosses.

 

UK, Australia, and to a lesser extent South Korea were really popular, but they made up the middle of the results. 1 person predicted for each of Mexico, Russia, Germany, and Brazil. Those four people turned in the 2 very best and the 2 very worst scores. No one picked France or Japan. :(

 

The primary bete noir for most contestants was Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, which was in the top 3 for every country, except the UK and Australia. It came in 4th in both of those countries, and *everyone* who predicted for the UK and Australia included it. Also, as you might have expected at this point, predicting Solo was bad news.

 

On to the scoring.

 

And we begin with a special spotlight on the performance of Druv10 who predicted for Mexico. Druv10 got all 3 movies correct (A:IW, I2, JW:FK), and in the right order.  But not only that, Druv10 nailed the totals almost perfectly, getting within 2.5% on A:IW and JW:FK, and within 5% on I2 (about $1M away from getting within 2.5% on I2, so it was close).

 

Druv10 - 355k - If Druv10 had been $1M closer on Incredibles 2, it would have kicked in another *260k* bonus points, bringing the total to 615k. But, it was not to be. Druv10 will have to live with a paltry 355k.

 

Honorable mention to Jake Gittes who predicted Russia, and got all 3 movies right and in the right order. Not nearly as accurate on the grosses, but it was still enough to bring in a ton of bonus points.

 

Jake Gittes - 220k

 

Now, everyone else:

 

ZeeSoh - 85k (best score among the people who picked South Korea)

Chasmmi - 70k

JJ8 - 60k (best score among the people who picked Australia)

MovieMan89 - 60k

bcf26 - 55k

Panda - 55k

Simionski - 50k

glassfairy - 45k

Infernus 45k

Mike Hunt - 45k (tied for best score among the people who picked UK)

Wrath - 45k (tied for best score among the people who picked UK)

The Dark Alfred - 45k

24Lost - 40k

Chewy - 30k

Premium George - 30k

Fancyarcher - 25k

grey ghost - 25k

kayumanggi - 25k

aabattery - 20k

Avatree - 15k

Kalo - 15k

MrPink - 15k

Sheik - 15k

Telemachos - 15k

That One Guy - 15k

WrathOfHan - 15k

Empire - 10k

SchumacherFTW - 5k

Spaghetti - 5k

baumer - 0

Slambros - 0 (Germany)

Deja23 - -40k (Brazil)

 

Edited by Wrath
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SotM Totals

 

Ok, I've added up all the SotMs plus the Weekly Question scores and I've got a total. I've fiddled with the formatting but I can't make it anything less than hideous, so I'm just posting the totals for everyone. I'm happy to send the spreadsheet to anyone who wants to look at the numbers. Here they are:

 

ZeeSoh - 826k

WrathOfHan - 789k

Wrath - 788.5k

bcf26 - 772.6k

Jake Gittes - 735k

aabattery - 714.5k

chasmmi - 672k

MovieMan89 - 671k

Fancyarcher - 668k

Infernus - 635.5k

That One Guy - 627k

Sheikh - 593k

Simionski - 577k

Deja23 - 549.5k

Panda - 525.5k

kayumanggi - 500k

MrPink - 481.3k

baumer - 480k

glassfairy - 431.5k

24Lost - 427.3k

Druv10 - 406k

grey ghost - 399k

JJ8 - 383k

Kalo - 276k

Empire - 250.5k

Chewy - 244.5k

captainwondyful - 170k

Telemachos - 167k

Slambros - 93k

The Dark Alfred - 71k

Spaghetti - 42k

AndyLL - 38k

Avatree - 28k

SchumacherFTW - -6k

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Mike Hunt - -127k

 

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