Monday Numbers: Black Panther 2.2M | Tomb Raider 1.9M

[dxmatrixdt]

is Jumanji out on DVD today along with being in 1,556 theater locations still?

[Porthos]

14 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

That Monday drop for AWIT is atrocious, especially for Spring Break week.

Not THAT atrocious.  Its drop of -76.6 is comparable to Oz (-75.1) and Cinderella (-75.6) which had similar spring breaks in their runs.

 

FWIW, BatB also had a similar drop (-75.3), though the spring break calendar placement might have been different.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[WrathOfHan]

Simon:

 

961k (-68%)

1.3M (+40%)

900k (-30%)

880k (-2%)

 

2M (+125%)

3.3M (+65%)

2.1M (-35%)

7.4M Weekend, 37% drop

 

With the way WIT is trending for this weekend, it should retain a good chunk of its theaters for Easter

[Captain Craig]

11 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Hit it's budget number at least. I wonder what would have to happen for a sequel?

[LonePirate]

19 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Good hold for Simon. I expected a drop in the 70s given how younger skewing it is.

Given the strong reviews and Cinemascore, that hold should have been better. Maybe it is skewing younger than what was reported this weekend. As such I have no idea how this will perform in the coming days. It could continue with this mild underperformance or it could take off/stabilize or it could flatline. None of those possibilities would surprise me.

[el sid]

Edit: Actual number for ICOI below me. So it had a quite good hold I guess, a little bit better than that of The Shack (-69.9%) and of Risen (-72.7%) e.g.

Edited March 20, 2018 by el sid

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[Ephemeris]

1 hour ago, sfran43 said:

It dropped a little with final numbers in...

That twitter account needs to learn how to round numbers correctly.

[LonePirate]

Do all the drops for Monday seem like they are a few points higher than expected given the past few Mondays? Yesterday was a brutal than usual Monday.

[WrathOfHan]

I'm curious how much the increase will be on ICOI is today. I won't be surprised if it has a sub-20 increase with a sub-20 drop on Wednesday with group buyouts.

[MikeQ]

With Monday's gross, Black Panther has officially hit a 3 multiplier - on the 32nd day of its run. It is terrific that it even hit a 3 multiplier off of an inflated $202M opening weekend in February.

 

For comparison, Jurassic World, with the aid of summer weekdays, hit a 3 multiplier on its 48th day (in itself a terrific run).  Same with The Avengers - also a terrific run that ended with a 3 multiplier.

 

Peace,

Mike

Edited March 20, 2018 by MikeQ

[LonePirate]

16 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I'm curious how much the increase will be on ICOI is today. I won't be surprised if it has a sub-20 increase with a sub-20 drop on Wednesday with group buyouts.

 

It it has been selling as well if not better than pretty much everything else in my area despite playing on fewer screens. In the one 20 plex I have been watching, it plays five times a day in a single 64 seat theater. It has already sold 37 of those seats for the 7:30 pm show. It has a 10:00 showing that probably won’t sell 6 tickets if yesterday is any gauge. 

 

It is playing on two screens at another theater a few miles away from that one. It has a 7:30 show in a ~350 seater and it has sold 22 tickets for that show. The churchgoers in my area are turning out for the film like it is a revival.

[WrathOfHan]

ICOI:

 

1.6M (-66%)

2M (+22%)

1.6M (-18%)

1.5M (-5%)

 

3.3M (+120%)

4.3M (+30%)

3.2M (-25%)

10.8M Weekend, 37% drop

[Sheikh]

7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

ICOI:

 

1.6M (-66%)

2M (+22%)

1.6M (-18%)

1.5M (-5%)

 

3.3M (+120%)

4.3M (+30%)

3.2M (-25%)

10.8M Weekend, 37% drop

I think it has a chance of doing better than that this weekend, it is getting over 2,000 screens.

 

Quote

“We’re planning to be on well over 2,000 screens next weekend.”

 

http://variety.com/2018/film/news/i-can-only-imagine-box-office-faith-based-film-1202729700/

[WrathOfHan]

9 minutes ago, Sheikh said:

I think it has a chance of doing better than that this weekend, it is getting over 2,000 screens.

 

 

http://variety.com/2018/film/news/i-can-only-imagine-box-office-faith-based-film-1202729700/

Perhaps, but the Friday increase still won't go above 135-140%.

 

Watch me be wrong on that  

Edited March 20, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[dxmatrixdt]

Here is how it looks with average tickets purchased per theater + 3 different ratios.

 

			Fri	Sat		Sun		total		Mon
1627	I Can Only		330	400		327		1057		110
3834	Black Panther		213	328	0.65	216		757	0.67	62	0.55
3854	Tomb Raider		195	246		168		609		52
2,402	Love, Simon		171	189		135		495		44
3980	Wrinkle in Time		126	191	0.51	128		445	0.51	30	0.42
2686	Game Night		71	97	0.77	59		227	0.81	22	0.73
2725	Peter Rabbit		57	91	0.83	60		208	0.88	16	0.53
2464	Strangers 2		67	85	0.48	55		207	0.48	18	0.47
838	7 Days in Entebbe		65	83		53		201		22
2583	Red Sparrow		57	79	0.58	55		191	0.63	20	0.65
1087	Annihilation		49	71	0.79	54		174	0.82	21	0.81
737	Greatest Showman		52	75	0.71	41		168	0.77	20	0.74
2676	Death Wish		39	60	0.54	39		138	0.55	14	0.58
1556	Jumanji		32	52	0.80	30		114	0.82	10	0.63
758	Shape of Water		33	49	0.65	32		114	0.70	12	0.71
177	Coco		32	48	0.74	34		114	0.78	10	0.59
118	CMBYN		31	49		32		112	1.08	13
92	Phantom Thread		30	49	0.75	32		111	0.80	15	1.07
169	Ferdinand		39	42	0.89	27		108	1.06	10	0.43
282	Three Billboards		29	47	0.72	28		104	0.76	12	0.80
564	Thoroughbreds		29	37	0.41	29		95	0.39	14	0.47
211	Star Wars		26	39	0.72	26		91	0.77	9	0.64
159	The Post		26	40	0.62	24		90	0.70	11	0.85
133	Darkest Hour		23	38	0.68	24		85	0.72	11	0.85
88	Lady Bird		23	37	0.64	24		84	0.69	10	0.77
160	I, Tonya		22	33	0.62	27		82	0.69	10	0.71
873	Fifty Shades Freed		26	31	0.66	19		76	0.69	9	0.75
147	Maze Runner 3		22	35	0.80	19		76	0.82	8	0.80
60	Den of Thieves		17	24	0.73	20		61	0.78	6	0.67
91	Winchester		19	28	0.88	13		60	0.86	5	0.83
148	12 Strong		17	23	0.85	18		58	0.92	6	1.00
102	Hostiles		16	23		16		55		9
144	Early Man		13	23	0.92	18		54	0.89	5	0.56
155	15:17 to Paris		16	22	0.76	15		53	0.77	7	0.88
2283	Hurricane Heist		14	20	0.36	15		49	0.36	6	0.43
110	Every Day		11	13	0.68	8		32	0.73	4	0.80
2314	Gringo		10	12	0.26	9		31	0.70	4	0.31

[lab276]

A dearth of hits is coming back to bite. At the end of February, 2018 was up almost 13% on 2017, now it's just about even. I think it'll go backwards until Avengers opens tbh.

 

Compare: YTD (Jan 1–Mar 19) Year-to-Year - YTD through Jan. YTD through Feb. YTD through Mar. YTD through Apr. YTD through May YTD through Jun. YTD through Jul. YTD through Aug. YTD through Sep. YTD through Oct. YTD through Nov. -- Winter Spring Summer Fall Holiday Season-to-Date --- Q1 (Jan–Mar) Q2 (Apr–Jun) Q3 (Jul–Sep) Q4 (Oct–Dec) Quarter-to-Date 

Year	Gross*	2018 % change	2017 % change	2016 % change	2015 % change	2014 % change	2013 % change
2018	$2,514.0	-	+0.4%	+6.7%	+18.1%	+22.4%	+32.1%
2017	$2,503.4	-0.4%	-	+6.2%	+17.6%	+21.9%	+31.5%
2016	$2,356.4	-6.3%	-5.9%	-	+10.7%	+14.7%	+23.8%
2015	$2,128.2	-15.3%	-15.0%	-9.7%	-	+3.6%	+11.8%
2014	$2,053.7	-18.3%	-18.0%	-12.8%	-3.5%	-	+7.9%
2013	$1,903.4	-24.3%	-24.0%	-19.2%	-10.6%	-7.3%	-