Fancyarcher Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Yeah, Tomb Raider is following Ghost in the Shell fairly closely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 48% increase for TR vs 45% for GITS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted March 21, 2018 Author Share Posted March 21, 2018 (edited) 10 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Yeah, Tomb Raider is following Ghost in the Shell fairly closely If it follows GITS, it'll drop around 57% this weekend. Edited March 21, 2018 by Fancyarcher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2.7M (+48%) 1.6M (-42%) 1.5M (-7%) 2.8M (+85%) 4.3M (+55%) 2.9M (-33%) 10M Weekend, 58% drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
intenso Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 This is good for TR right ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, intenso said: This is good for TR right ? Average like its run so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 (edited) 6 minutes ago, intenso said: This is good for TR right ? Yes, 2.72 would be a 47-48% jump You can look a couple of tuesday to have a feel what the average rebate tuesday boost look like, 47-48 is in the higher range: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-03-13&view=1day&p=.htm http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-03-06&view=1day&p=.htm http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-02-27&view=1day&p=.htm Ghost had a 45.2% jump in comparison last year. Edited March 21, 2018 by Barnack 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LonePirate Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 (edited) One of the theaters near me has showings for BP, TR and ICOI all starting in about 30 minutes. Here are the tickets sold so far: BP - 11 TR - 7 ICOI - 31 I have no idea who these people are who are seeing ICOI en masse in this area. Edited March 21, 2018 by LonePirate 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 If that 10M weekend pans out for Tomb Raider, it'll have one of the lowest PTAs in the top 12: Pacific Rim: $7,027 (26M, 3,700 theaters) I Can Only Imagine: $5,100 (10.2M, 2,000 theaters) Black Panther: $4,545 (15M, 3,300 theaters) Sherlock Gnomes: $4,372 (16M, 3,660 theaters) Paul: $4,000 (5.6M, 1,400 theaters) Love, Simon: $3,160 (7.9M, 2,500 theaters) Unsane: $3,000 (6M, 2,000 theaters) Tomb Raider: $2,595 (10M, 3,854 theaters) Wrinkle in Time: $2,407 (6.5M, 2,700 theaters) Game Night: $1,750 (3.3M, 1,900 theaters) Peter Rabbit: $1,609 (3.7M, 2,300 theaters) Midnight Sun: $1,500 (3M, 2,000 theaters) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepItU25071906 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 (edited) 15 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: 2.7M (+48%) 1.6M (-42%) 1.5M (-7%) 2.8M (+85%) 4.3M (+55%) 2.9M (-33%) 10M Weekend, 58% drop Dude, after stronger Tuesday than you've waited, you give lesser week-end forecast? L-logic. Edited March 21, 2018 by KeepItU25071906 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, KeepItU25071906 said: Dude, after stronger Tuesday than you've waited, you give lesser week-end forecast? L-logic. Kingsman 2 and Ghost in the Shell had similar increases, and we all know how they turned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
intenso Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Kingsman 2 and Ghost in the Shell had similar increases, and we all know how they turned out. Didn’t kingsman 2 have good legs ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepItU25071906 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 (edited) 4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Kingsman 2 and Ghost in the Shell had similar increases, and we all know how they turned out. So, if TR theoretically drops on Tuesday (-10%), you forecast would be 25 mln? Lower Tuesday = bigger week-end. I dig it)))) Edited March 21, 2018 by KeepItU25071906 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, intenso said: Didn’t kingsman 2 have good legs ? Just over a 2.5x isn't particularly good for a sequel. Tomb Raider is going to land in a similar range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
intenso Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 13 minutes ago, Barnack said: Yes, 2.72 would be a 47-48% jump You can look a couple of tuesday to have a feel what the average rebate tuesday boost look like, 47-48 is in the higher range: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-03-13&view=1day&p=.htm http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-03-06&view=1day&p=.htm http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-02-27&view=1day&p=.htm Ghost had a 45.2% jump in comparison last year. So definitely good i see most have 40-45% some even only 28-35% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
intenso Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said: So, if TR theoretically drops on Tuesday (-10%), you forecast would be 25 mln? Lower Tuesday = bigger week-end. I dig it)))) Yeah don’t understand that either. Yesterday he said the weekend hold would be better for TR than Ghost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, intenso said: Didn’t kingsman 2 have good legs ? -56.6% second weekend drop is not bad for a franchise movie with a 3.4M preview (real FSS drop of 53%) but not particularly good either, it finished just above a 2.55x multi (61M for TR) A similar weekend Kingsman drop would have TR at 10.28m (a similar FSS drop would have it at 10.15m, close to Wrath 10m prediction) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, intenso said: Yeah don’t understand that either. Yesterday he said the weekend hold would be better for TR than Ghost 10M would be better than Ghost in a shell hold, Ghost dropped by 61% is first weekend, a similar drop would be a 9.25m second weekend for TR or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
