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Monday Numbers - Tomb Raider - 1.04m, Game Night - $440k

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13 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

@WrathOfHan using Monday numbers as a guideline, if you were to estimate BP weekday numbers + the upcoming weekend, do you think BP will make enough to topple JW final gross by Sunday?🤔

Not Wrath of Han, but no, it won’t. Best Tuesday increase it’s had (+32%) gets it a 2.4 Tues, then best Wednesday drop (-25%) a 1.8 W, then best Thursday increase (8%) a slightly under 2 Thursday for a bit under 6.2 from the remaining weekdays and a Thurs total of about 639.3. Then it would need a 13M weekend (spectacular 24% drop) to pass JW.     

 

More realistically we should be at 639 after Thursday, 11-12 weekend gets to 650-651, pass JW next Tuesday or Wednesday.

 

Edited by Sliver Legion
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31 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

@WrathOfHan using Monday numbers as a guideline, if you were to estimate BP weekday numbers + the upcoming weekend, do you think BP will make enough to topple JW final gross by Sunday?🤔

 

20 minutes ago, Sliver Legion said:

Not Wrath of Han, but no, it won’t. Best Tuesday increase it’s had (+32%) gets it a 2.4 Tues, then best Wednesday drop (-25%) a 1.8 W, then best Thursday increase (8%) a slightly under 2 Thursday for a bit under 6.2 from the remaining weekdays and a Thurs total of about 639.3. Then it would need a 13M weekend (spectacular 24% drop) to pass JW.     

 

More realistically we should be at 639 after Thursday, 11-12 weekend gets to 650-651, pass JW next Tuesday or Wednesday.

 

What he said, only I'm going a liitle lower on the weekend

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58 minutes ago, Jandrew said:

Does Panther have enough gas in the tank to hit $700M? Seems like it's on the fringe.

690 is very doable, that last 10M is probably a bridge too far. Off a 10M weekend it would need a 6x 7th weekend multiplier, which is a huge ask. Off a 12M weekend it would only need a 5x multiplier, which is a lot more possible. I think it’ll be around 11M, need a 5.5 multiplier off that weekend, and miss.

 

I guess we we could have a situation where it’s going to make like 698 “naturally” and Disney just leaves it in theaters forever and uses some IW double features to try to drag it over, but they don’t seem to be too concerned about that sort of thing.

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21 minutes ago, Sliver Legion said:

690 is very doable, that last 10M is probably a bridge too far. Off a 10M weekend it would need a 6x 7th weekend multiplier, which is a huge ask. Off a 12M weekend it would only need a 5x multiplier, which is a lot more possible. I think it’ll be around 11M, need a 5.5 multiplier off that weekend, and miss.

 

I guess we we could have a situation where it’s going to make like 698 “naturally” and Disney just leaves it in theaters forever and uses some IW double features to try to drag it over, but they don’t seem to be too concerned about that sort of thing.

 

2 minutes ago, Jandrew said:

690 is too close to just leave it. I'll be demanding $10m worth of fudge.

Disney didn't do it for RO to pass TDK dom ($2,7M gap), or TLJ to pass TA dom ($3M gap), or Dory to be the 1st animation reaching $500M dom ($13M gap), or for Pirates 5 to reach 800M ww ($5M away).

 

I don't think Disney cares about those milestones (though I do, i like rounded up figures and milestones). So, unless BP reaches the 700M by itself, Disney will not spend money to help to. 

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Tickets sold today at my theater (* DENOTES reduced showtimes):

 

I Can Only Imagine: 241

Paul, Apostle of Christ: 106

Pacific Rim: 87 (62 2D/25 3D)

Tomb Raider: 68 (37 2D/27 3D/4 Sensory Friendly)

Black Panther: 52 (32 2D/20 3D)

Sherlock Gnomes: 35 (14 2D/21 3D)

A Wrinkle in Time: 35 (late afternoon show was empty)

Midnight Sun: 34

Unsane: 27

Love, Simon: 26

Death Wish: 24*

Red Sparrow: 23*

Jumanji: 21*

Peter Rabbit: 20*

 

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15 minutes ago, YLF said:

I want this to make 700M so badly, but it doesn't seem likely :(.

This goal seems quite arbitrary to me, rejoice YLF it's the 3rd highest grossing domestic film.

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5 hours ago, Sliver Legion said:

Not Wrath of Han, but no, it won’t. Best Tuesday increase it’s had (+32%) gets it a 2.4 Tues, then best Wednesday drop (-25%) a 1.8 W, then best Thursday increase (8%) a slightly under 2 Thursday for a bit under 6.2 from the remaining weekdays and a Thurs total of about 639.3. Then it would need a 13M weekend (spectacular 24% drop) to pass JW.     

 

More realistically we should be at 639 after Thursday, 11-12 weekend gets to 650-651, pass JW next Tuesday or Wednesday.

 

I appreciate your response, thank you!

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1 hour ago, IronJimbo said:

This goal seems quite arbitrary to me, rejoice YLF it's the 3rd highest grossing domestic film.

Yeah, true, but it would be pretty special to get to 700M since only 2 films have got to that milestone thus far.

 

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Quote

 

  Sold Total Seats Percent Sold
Sherlock Gnomes 265 524 50.6%
Pacific Rim 2 394 1,562 25.2%
Love, Simon 155 234 66.2%
I Can Only Imagine 219 312 70.2%
Black Panther 366 926 39.5%
Midnight Sun 50 234 21.4%
Paul 46 156 29.5%
Unsane 53 312 17.0%
Tomb Raider 127 234 54.3%
A Wrinkle in Time 225 234 96.2%
Strangers 2 1 78 1.3%
Red Sparrow 60 78 76.9%
Death Wish 1 78 1.3%
Game Night 0 78 0.0%
  1,962 5,040 38.9%

This what today looked like yesterday at 9pm CT. 

 

Compared to the same time today, but for Wednesday. Yeah, $5 Tuesday is the most popular day at my theater. Wednesday is the most depressed. 

 

  Sold Total Seats Percent Sold
Sherlock Gnomes 16 658 2.4%
Pacific Rim 2 13 692 1.9%
Love, Simon 9 234 3.8%
I Can Only Imagine 19 312 6.1%
Black Panther 9 234 3.8%
Midnight Sun 2 234 0.9%
Paul 9 234 3.8%
Unsane 5 234 2.1%
Tomb Raider 0 156 0.0%
A Wrinkle in Time 14 156 9.0%
  96 3,144 3.1%
Edited by Hiccup23
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