Weekend Thread | Estimates: AQP 50M, RP1 25M, CKBLK 21.4M, BP 8.4M,

[MovieMan89]

BP may have made just enough with Sunday actuals to stay over 1m on Monday. Which of course would give it Tuesday as well. 

[Porthos]

Just now, MovieMan89 said:

@Porthos

100m looking rosier. Time to breakout the spreadsheet again. 

Did it earlier.   Jumped from 97.0m to 97.69m just from that increase in 150k (the Sunday increase really helped).

 

So, yeah.  Looking good.

[dxmatrixdt]

predicted Monday drops and totals after Thursday.

-67% - A Quiet Place - 67.079

-75% - Ready Player - 103.753

-67% - Blockers - 27.004

-75% - Black Panther - 668.227

(-72.5%) - Acrimony - 34.320

(-70%) - Imagine - 71.341

(-82.5%) - Sherlock - 34.885

(-67%) - Chappaquiddick - 7.828

(-75%) - Uprising - 56.303

(-70%) - Isle of Dogs - 13.665

(-70%) - Miracle Season - 5.142

(-80%) - Wrinkle in Time - 91.060

(-67%) - Love Simon - 38.519

(-67%) - Paul Apostle - 15.741

(-72.5%) - Tomb Raider - 55.673

(-70%) - Gods Not Dead - 5.359

(-80%) - Peter Rabbit - 113.516

(-67%) - Game Night - 67.542

(-80%) - Jumanji - 403.745

(-77.5%) - Showman - 173.040

(-60%) - Midnight Sun - 9.349

(-67%) - Red Sparrow - 46.382

(-67%) - Annihilation - 32.563

(-70%) - Strangers - 24.128

(-67%) - Unsane - 7.722

[dxmatrixdt]

6 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

@Porthos

100m looking rosier. Time to breakout the spreadsheet again. 

+3,950 Rampage

+3,300 Truth or Dare

+1,200 Isle of Dogs

+ Sergeant Stubby

+ Borg vs McEnroe

= at least 8,000 new screens.

 

A Wrinkle in Time will have to make over 9m with around 1,000 screens or less up to Memorial Day Weekend.

[aabattery]

6 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Did it earlier.   Jumped from 97.0m to 97.69m just from that increase in 150k (the Sunday increase really helped).

 

So, yeah.  Looking good.

 

nice

[dxmatrixdt]

7 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

BP may have made just enough with Sunday actuals to stay over 1m on Monday. Which of course would give it Tuesday as well. 

would require 58.8% drop.  

[dxmatrixdt]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Did it earlier.   Jumped from 97.0m to 97.69m just from that increase in 150k (the Sunday increase really helped).

 

So, yeah.  Looking good.

weekdays might rapidly fluctuate up and down 

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, aabattery said:

 

nice

Thought about tagging you.  Decided to let you find it on your own.

[AN9815]

'A Quiet Place' is really good, deserves that 50m OW. April this year is going to destroy March, 'A Quiet Place' is breaking out, 'Rampage' will likely do good business and then on the last weekend a little movie called 'Avengers: Infinity War' opens which might break out as well 

[MovieMan89]

So 50 Shades closed with just 400k over 100m? Lol. So much for all that talk about how easily it would cross it. 

[NCsoft]

1 hour ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Of course. I think comparing it to holds like Gone With The Wind is a stretch too far. And Star Wars? Just not fair. Sound of Music sets a bit too high a standard as well 

Funny how you avoided mentioning Titanic/Avatar hmm.........

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, NCsoft said:

Funny how you avoided mentioning Titanic/Avatar hmm.........

highest grossing films of all time have no place in box office discussion

[HouseOfTheSun]

9 minutes ago, NCsoft said:

Funny how you avoided mentioning Titanic/Avatar hmm.........

Should I mention movies will lower grosses and worse holds than those 3? 

[dxmatrixdt]

2 hours ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

A Wrinkle in Time will have to compete with a potential stat line looking like this next week

 

-50% - Sherlock Gnomes - 2.72 - $1,300 (0.65) - 2,092 screens (-641) - 37.61 Total

-50% - A Wrinkle in Time - 1.65 - $1,400 (0.72) - 1,179 screens (-522) - 92.71 Total

-50% - Love, Simon - 1.38 - $1,400 (0.74) - 986 screens (-478) - 39.90 Total

-50% - Paul Apostle - 0.89 - $1,026 (0.73) - 867 screens (-395) - 16.63 Total

-60% - Tomb Raider - 0.77 - $945 (0.82) - 770 screens (-858) - 56.44 Total

Edited April 9, 2018 by Thematrixfilm

[Ledmonkey96]

AWiT has some light competition in Sgt. Stubby this weekend.

[The Panda]

So Projection for the rest of BP’s run

 

lets say 10.8m this week so it’s at 676.4m

7.6m for 684m the next week

 

Double features carry it to 689.7m with 5.7m the next week

 

One last good drop before vod goes to 4m and 693.7m

 

2m the next week to 695.7m 

 

Then it collapses and finishes at a grand total of 696.9m

[Legion Again]

Pretty nice trajectory.     

 

Speaking of nice numbers, there is some possibility it could pull 6.9 next weekend. Probably lower though.

Edited April 10, 2018 by Sliver Legion