INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE

[JB33]

What's the latest on overseas?

[The Mad Titan]

Alright it looks like we’re gonna get a few million over TFA! Now we just need legs like Wonder Woman (the movie, not the actress. I could never get legs like that) and BOOM we’re at $1 billion domestic! 😅

[Mojoguy]

106
82
65.6 (-20%)

$252.6m OW

[KP1025]

7 minutes ago, Rman823 said:

So the question is will the record be broken again next year with Avengers 4 (before TLK of course)?

I don't doubt TLK will be a monster in terms of gross, but it doesn't strike me as a film that would be previews heavy enough or have the fan rush to challenge the OW record. For now, I'm thinking a modest increase from BatB OW and better legs.

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, somebody85 said:

Nah man, it's been months and people are still going on about TLJ. I do not think it will be forgotten by then and I see the controversy starting right back up when the first teaser drops.

Understood.

 

However, and I preface this by saying I am NOT, I repeat NOT, predicting this, if Solo does more than 450m DOM this summer, I think all bets are off when it comes to SW and the DOM box office.

 

I personally think the chances are less than 10% that Solo can do that.  Maybe less than 5%.

 

But if it does...

 

Well.  Not sayin', but perhaps possibly sayin'.

[Legion Again]

Btw, don’t want to beat this horse too much, but the very real possibility of this finish is what made 225 a dissapointing figure.

[The Mad Titan]

Just now, KP1025 said:

I don't doubt TLK will be a monster in terms of gross, but it doesn't strike me as a film that would be previews heavy enough or have the fan rush to challenge the OW record. For now, I'm thinking a modest increase from BatB OW and better legs.

Agreed. It’s going to have a monster opening weekend, probably $200 million and a 3.0-3.5x multiplier but I don’t see it challenging the OW record. 

[Porthos]

Probably want to sum up my SW DOM box office thoughts this way:  Sometimes folks on this forum are just too damn knee-jerk reactionary. Both negatively and positively.  And, yes, I include myself in this.

 

I think we're still being a little too reactionary right now to TLJ's run.  That more than anything is what is tempting me to make that club I mentioned on the last page.

[eXtacy]

Age of Ultron vs Infinity War IMDB scores roughly the same time in their cycle.

 

 

[Lancelot Gold]

It worked! This site isn't loading through a quite a few DNS servers. Set my router to use OpenDNS and it worked!

https://dnschecker.org/#A/forums.boxofficetheory.com

[somebody85]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Understood.

 

However, and I preface this by saying I am NOT, I repeat NOT, predicting this, if Solo does more than 450m DOM this summer, I think all bets are off when it comes to SW and the DOM box office.

 

I personally think the chances are less than 10% that Solo can do that.  Maybe less than 5%.

 

But if it does...

 

Well.  Not sayin', but perhaps possibly sayin'.

But Solo is the OT characters again. There is more story to tell and that is likely to draw fans of Rogue One over TFA. TLJ felt like a close out and I just don't see it increasing. I've said it since December.

A lot of people have sworn not to care anymore and they can guess where it's headed. Who knows. All could change with that first trailer but they are going to need to find a way to give Luke a heavy role again. Rey and Kylo won't carry it above TLJ.

If they do some sort of time skip, that could be the trick but I don't see the interest and hype getting anywhere near IW or Avengers 4.

 

4 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

I don't doubt TLK will be a monster in terms of gross, but it doesn't strike me as a film that would be previews heavy enough or have the fan rush to challenge the OW record. For now, I'm thinking a modest increase from BatB OW and better legs.

It'll be a monster but I see that doing around what Black Panther did. I imagine there will be a lot of articles about the cast leading up to it.

[Krissykins]

Do I win for predicting $252m?

 

[Rthmessiah]

 From several hours ago over in Brazil OWe, Amazing

@Fullbuster be having 6 kittens

 

Sunday could crash and burn and it wouldn't matter, $r,$us, admits

 

5 hours ago, Rthanos said:

 

 

Lovely view from up here

 

Forget all you have known and all that has come before

 

 

 

[Alaska box]

250 accomplished? Super hero 50's baby, next may is 300 come on!

[Legion Again]

106.7   

81.3 (being a little pessimistic here)  

61 (-25%, Still pessimistic)   

 

Is still 249 and a new record. Use Disney’s OD figure, the lower end Sat, and the moderate drop and it’s still above TFA with 248.3.     

 

Better chance now to go over 250 than under TFA, it seems.

[wildphantom]

Astonished. It’s happening. 

The holy grail of records is being broken today....

 

Let us take a moment to remember what a game changer TFA’s opening was. Changed the rules.

 

It’s taken two and a half years, and six infinity stones to take it down. Thanos is here. 

 

“Dread it. Run from it. Destiny still arrives”

[somebody85]

9 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Probably want to sum up my SW DOM box office thoughts this way:  Sometimes folks on this forum are just too damn knee-jerk reactionary. Both negatively and positively.  And, yes, I include myself in this.

Not basing my thoughts on just this forum. I like TLJ but it's a movie that is a headache to discuss due to the strong feelings attached to it. A lot of people avoided going into videos about it because it wasn't worth it anymore. Many commented on that.

It definitely has it's fans (and I really enjoyed it despite it's flaws) but it's not something that was universally loved which is why I see 9 dropping from TLJ and TFA. 

But again, if a time skip is involved and Luke is featured heavily in the marketing....who knows.

Edited April 29, 2018 by somebody85

[Mekanos]

It's going to be exciting knowing IW will be the yardstick used for years to come. The stuff of legends. 

[Krissykins]

On 25/04/2018 at 8:16 AM, Krissykins said:

1. Avengers Infinity War $252m 

 

 

[AndyLL]

2 minutes ago, lancelot123 said:

It worked! This site isn't loading through a quite a few DNS servers. Set my router to use OpenDNS and it worked!

https://dnschecker.org/#A/forums.boxofficetheory.com

Nice link... I've bookmarked it.

 

The site is forwarded through my server and the host is doing datacenter work tonight.  It should not have affected the forums but I wonder if some of their server reboots have caused some DNS servers dump their caches.  

 

OTOH... it's not unusual for the Inversion servers to crap out occasionally on big Boxoffice nights.  We get 100s of people hanging around waiting for numbers.