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Happy Summer Movie Season. Play the summer game.

CJohn

INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE

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Black Panther was ranked no. 8 last weekend but no.5 this weekend.

 

It dropped 15% last weekend and 11% this weekend.

 

Has a good shot at 700M.

 

Absolutely EPIC run and one for the ages.

 

 

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Can we also talk about the incredible fact that Ready Player One is going to do nearly $600m overall? 

 

That is a huge number for that film.  

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Absolutely incredible weekend for Infinity War. I mean, what can I say that hasn't already been said? Incredible record breaking True Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and record breaking weekend overall. It is a beast.

 

My projection from earlier in the week that Infinity War would need to hit at least $37-38M in previews in order to break the opening weekend record (i.e. hit $248M) ended up being remarkably accurate from a "share-of-opening-weekend-from-previews" approach. And for such huge previews, Infinity War was less frontloaded than one would likely expect for such a mega-blockbuster sequel. Incredible weekend.

 

Estimated Top Midnight/Preview Grosses of All-Time
 
Rank / Title / Gross / Share of Opening Day

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 57.0 million (47.9%)
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi — 45.0 million (43.0%)
3. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 — 43.5 million (47.7%)
4. Avengers: Infinity War — 39.0 million (36.8%)
5. The Dark Knight Rises — 30.6 million (40.4%)
6. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 — 30.4 million (42.7%)
7. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 — 30.25 million (42.2%)
8. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse — 30.1 million (43.9%)
9. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story — 29.0 million (40.8%)
10. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 27.7 million (34.0%)
11. Avengers: Age of Ultron — 27.6 million (32.7%)
12. The Twilight Saga: New Moon — 26.27 million (36.1%)
13. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire — 25.26 million (35.6%)
14. Black Panther — 25.2 million (33.2%)
15. Captain America: Civil War — 25 million (33.1%)

 

Top Opening Weekends of All-Time & Share from Previews

 

Rank / Title / Opening Weekend Gross / Share of Opening Weekend from Previews/Midnights

1. Avengers: Infinity War — 250.0 million (15.6%)
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 248.0 million (23.0%)
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi — 220.0 million (20.5%)
4. Jurassic World — 208.8 million (8.9%) 
5. Marvel’s The Avengers — 207.4 million (9.0%)
6. Black Panther — 202.0 million (12.5%)
7. Avengers: Age of Ultron — 191.3 million (14.4%)
8. Captain America: Civil War — 179.1 million (14.0%)
9. Beauty and the Beast — 174.8 million (9.3%)
10. Iron Man 3 — 174.1 million (9.0%)
11. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 — 169.2 million (25.7%)
12. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 166.0 million (16.7%)
13. The Dark Knight Rises — 160.9 million (19.0%)
14. The Dark Knight — 158.4 million (11.7%)
15. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire — 158.1 million (16.0%)

 

Peace,

Mike

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The only downside is now Marvel will be under pressure to break this record again with A4.

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On 4/21/2018 at 8:24 AM, spizzer said:

Feels like summer 07.

 

TFA OW ticket sales with identical 3D/IMAX/PLF splits + 2.67% annual inflation @ 2.5 years is ~264M.  I think ticket sales end up being about the same for AIW (weaker previews/presales, stronger Fri-Sun/walk-ups).  I expect a 265M OW (+/- 10M for varying 3D/IMAX/PLF splits).

 

Unfortunately I won't have time to do a sellout tracker, but I will post ticket price comps for TA, AOU, TFA/RO/TLJ and anything else I have on record.

On 4/28/2018 at 9:55 AM, spizzer said:

 

Yup.

 

39.0M Thurs

68.0M Fri (+74.3%) (Empire saying figure could be 108.0M which would mean 69.0M Fri which is a 76.9% jump)

80.0M Sat (+17.6%) (With demand-level this high and massive Thursday preview, this jump could be >20%)

67.2M Sun (-16.0%) 

 

254.2M Weekend.  Sat/Sun jump/hold could be softer with spillover, and Friday could be another 1M higher which would push it into the mid 260s.

 

39.0M Thurs

67.0M Fri (+71.8%)

83.0M Sat (+23.8%) So Saturday jump indeed ended up >20%

70.0M Sun (-15.5%) Still could be softer but 70M is the :OMG: number.

 

259.0M Weekend.  Will come in just under the 265M target.  220.0M Fri-Sun and with strong reaction, should pull a 3X multi from there which puts it at 660 + 39M Domestic - photo finish for $700M and photo finish with Black Panther for #1 for the year.

 

Did not see 3D/2D splits on deadline or BOM, but deadline did mention an estimated 22.5M IMAX opening / 9% of total gross (could be revised after Sunday is complete), which is lower than TFA/TLJ.  Meaning this should hold its own in OW attendance arguments with TFA (both right above the 22.0M level - TDK/TA/SM3 around mid 21M).

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8 minutes ago, a2knet said:

I think 2.35-2.45x is a safe multi range. using 255 it gives 600-625.

I think it will do better. The WOM I am hearing from people is WOM I have not heard from a Marvel movie since The Avengers 1 and prior to Avengers 1 the original Toby Spider-Man.

 

(Please note- most of the people I am references are casual Marvel fans, they see most of the movies in the theater, maybe skip a few but makes sure to catch on BluRay)

 

With every other Marvel it has ranged from that was cool to that was great, but then the conversation immediately movies on to how it fits into the bigger MCU. With IW I am seeing a big change, people are discussing the movie and the elements within. I mean I spent an hour on messenger yesterday with my 2 brothers dissecting the movie, we never did this for any other Marvel movie besides TA1, and maybe GoTG1 to a lessor extent. 

 

This movie is generate you have to see this NOW buzz, people are getting told if they don't see it now someone is bound to ruin it for them. 

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Just now, EmpireCity said:

Can we also talk about the incredible fact that Ready Player One is going to do nearly $600m overall? 

 

That is a huge number for that film.  

It's had a very good run, especially when considering it got overshadowed by other movies (A Quiet Place and then of course Infinity War).

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3 minutes ago, bladels said:

All of them are absolutely nuts, don't bother to compare :redcapes:

Well except for the Germany's one :P

And Japan's One:lol:

 

In how many markets can this be #1 of all time (or Top 3 or Top 10)

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1 minute ago, bladels said:

Ugh, hello

 

tumblr_mln0ia0gRm1rwt2uzo1_250.gif

That chin and jowl wobble on Peter Parker will never not be disturbing

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Just now, EmpireCity said:

Can we also talk about the incredible fact that Ready Player One is going to do nearly $600m overall? 

 

That is a huge number for that film.  

It's a great number for it. Especially considering the media and fake woke twitter were rooting so hard for it to bomb.

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Rampage died this weekend. 100M are DEAD. 400M WW are beyond DEAD.

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2 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

I'll think you find I'm entirely reasonable, it's just I talk about Avatar a lot and people seem to have super low expectations for it.

 

Or a few have super high expectations ;)

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630 mill? :ohmygod:

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3 minutes ago, manny1234 said:

 

BUT WHAT IS THE NUMBER

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29 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

28 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

dc76e612a691c16f58148a922d4f3c31.gif

 

Just wow.  

2nd viewing in 7 hours at the Metreon Dolby 

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5 minutes ago, MAKKALUL said:

Yes but consider with BvS legs its only 500m.

WOM indicates CW-AOU legs are the worst case scenario.

 

I'm willing to bet IW gets at least 2.5 legs.

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Just broke the record but there is only 19 people in this thread. Wtf BOT

 

:hahaha:

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