sfran43 Posted April 25, 2018 Author Share Posted April 25, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 30 minutes ago, a2knet said: low-690s seems locked for BP. if it can get to mid-690s, 700 milestone is too tantalizing to let go. 684 by thu. then -60% over the weekend for 684 + 2 = 686. then 3x * 2 = 686 + 6 = 692 (including the dollar bump) seems like the minimum it will do. Black Panther looks to be getting a pre-release boost from Infinity War as fans get in their last viewings before its OW. Amazing holds since Thursday. But given how Disney is putting everything into IW and BP's home release in a couple weeks, I don't think there will be a push to get it to $700 million if it doesn't hit it naturally. The theater loss this weekend will determine where it ends up. I know some here believe it may actually continue getting boosted by IW and increase this weekend instead of dropping harshly, but I think it will start to shed theaters much faster than before for the reasons given above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 (edited) #5 is definitely the worst case scenario for BP this weekend. Edited April 25, 2018 by MovieMan89 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 41 minutes ago, a2knet said: low-690s seems locked for BP. if it can get to mid-690s, 700 milestone is too tantalizing to let go. 684 by thu. then -60% over the weekend for 684 + 2 = 686. then 3x * 2 = 686 + 6 = 692 (including the dollar bump) seems like the minimum it will do. Its gonna be 683.25ish by Thursday. BOM has it at 682.5 by Tuesday whereas the boxoffice tweet above says its at 683.1 by Tuesday so I dont know where the extra 600k came from in that tweet. Also I doubt it will fall 60% this weekend. But yeah mid 690 is where I see it landing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 Rampage could do 1.25 (-34%) Wed 1.0 (-20%) Thu gives 68.865 + 2.25 = 71.1 cume before the weekend. 8.0 FSS (-60%) gives 71.1 + 8 = 79.1 cume Then 8.0*2.0x + 79.1 = 95.1 dom Adding 2x times a low weekend is an easy task imo. In fact if it recovers after AIW's ow, then adding 2 times this FSS should be the low-end. 2.5x gives 99+ dom and near certain push to 100. This is assuming it doesn't fall much more than 60% this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 (edited) 24 minutes ago, a2knet said: 1.25 (-34%) Wed Last week was -42% and from a smaller +36% Tuesday bump too. Considering it got a +48% bump this time, is getting a much better Wednesday hold than last week a bit optimistic or something standard for movies in their second weeks to hold better ? Keeping in mind Rampage box office / fandango sales ratio has been good and it has some PLF/3d tickets, but still today sales are less than 50% of IFP, 50% of AQP, would not surprise me if IFP goes over it today and until the rest of it's run: Avengers 36957 I Feel P 1028 A Quiet 871 Black Pa 531 Super Tr 528 Deadpool 487 Rampage 441 Ready Pl 338 Blockers 252 Isle of 164 Traffik 162 Cobra Ka 98 Lol at the avengers, I had never seen anything remotely close to that yet. Edited April 25, 2018 by Barnack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 +51% Tuesday leap for I Feel Pretty, easily biggest jump in the top 15. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 A Wrinkle in Time - Walt Disney - $63,570 +23% - 665 - $96 $93,833,658 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 31 minutes ago, Barnack said: Last week was -42% and from a smaller +36% Tuesday bump too. Considering it got a +48% bump this time, is getting a much better Wednesday hold than last week a bit optimistic or something standard for movies in their second weeks to hold better ? Yeah a bit optimistic from me. I didn't check last Wed. Drop could be closer to 45% than 35%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LonePirate Posted April 25, 2018 Share Posted April 25, 2018 27 minutes ago, Krissykins said: +51% Tuesday leap for I Feel Pretty, easily biggest jump in the top 15. Nice. IFP is positioned as the ideal demographic counter programming to this weekend’s behemoth. I would not be surprised if it holds better than everything except BP. I only thought the movie was so-so but there is undoubtedly an opening in the marketplace for the film this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted April 25, 2018 Author Share Posted April 25, 2018 > NEW RELEASES 1 - Avengers: Infinity War Buena Vista 4,470 - - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
