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Monday Numbers - A:IW 24.74M

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3 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Highly doubt it. It is at 725 and will need 275m over the next 3 days which averages out to about 92m per day. Now on Tuesday the numbers are gonna rise due to the holiday but they will drop hard on Wed+Thu. 

 

So I think it will hit a billion on Friday which would make it the fastest to a billion dollar which it is gonna do in 10 days whereas TFA took 12 days. 

 

If China and Russia had opened at the same time however then I think we would have seen 1 billion on tuesday itself

Even if it doesn't hit it exactly, it's going to be damn close.  Like you said, by friday for sure.  Maybe it will take a full day on thursday to get there.  Ok so... 7 days of release plus previews.  I mean really, cmon.  Close enough.  900m by end of day Wed.

 

This much money, they're gonna have difficulty counting it up.

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TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1 1 Avengers: Infinity War BV $24,740,117 -64% - 4,474 $5,530 $282,438,300 4
2 2 A Quiet Place Par. $893,411 -69% -41% 3,565 $251 $149,421,689 25
3 4 I Feel Pretty STX $717,175 -68% -40% 3,440 $208 $30,338,006 11
4 3 Rampage (2018) WB (NL) $496,888 -78% -61% 3,508 $142 $78,527,760 18
5 9 Blockers Uni. $488,480 -37% -7% 2,324 $210 $53,735,230 25
6 5 Black Panther BV $431,177 -66% -6% 1,650 $261 $688,796,094 74
7 6 Super Troopers 2 Fox $363,530 -65% -63% 2,125 $171 $22,577,746 11
8 7 Truth or Dare Uni. $239,790 -70% -49% 2,420 $99 $35,613,930 18
9 8 Ready Player One WB $233,060 -71% -58% 2,365 $99 $131,044,603 33
10 10 Traffik LGF $162,725 -67% -47% 1,046 $156 $6,949,693 11
11 11 Isle Of Dogs FoxS $156,801 -66% -46% 1,001 $157 $27,204,799 39
12 - I Can Only Imagine RAtt. $92,000 -61% -57% 970 $95 $81,176,294 46
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19 minutes ago, YLF said:

Deadpool and Solo won't cut into its legs the week 4-5? It should get to 600M or near 600M by the 4th weekend, but won't it be hard after that with 2 movies that will be opening wide? 

It'll get to or close to 600 with its 3rd weekend. 

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2 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said:

I think Monday was larger from spillover.  

Spillover is just another word for high demand.   Avenger's also had a "spillover" Monday.  AIW's Monday was 32% higher than Avenger's Monday - higher than the the 21% AIW had over Avengers on Sunday.  It's still bubbling over.

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In India AIW did $3m on Monday. Friday was $4.5m. So less than 35% Friday-Monday drop. For huge openers 50-60% Fri-Mon drop is considered strong. 

 

The Jungle Book is the biggest Hollywood grosser in India with approx $25-30m. AIW should do at least $40m with a small but real shot at $50m.

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10 minutes ago, YLF said:

Deadpool and Solo won't cut into its legs the week 4-5? It should get to 600M or near 600M by the 4th weekend, but won't it be hard after that with 2 movies that will be opening wide? 

IW should take the biggest hit from Deadpool 2 and recover after that. Memorial Day weekend should soften the drop the following week, as well as potential double features with Solo. Incredibles 2 might also offer another opportunity for a softer drop (both are superhero movies so the combination makes sense, but it could also go to Solo). I don't have enough data points to say conclusively, but it does look like Disney's holdovers benefit when paired in double features with one of their major films releasing (despite the holdover suffering theater/screen cuts). Majority of drive-ins are only open for the summer, so this effect tends to be strongest past June when all of them are open for business (and weakest in the winter). How big the new opener is also seems to be another factor in the strength of the boost, as the paired film gets 100% of the profit from these drive-ins. Sometimes, only the biggest holdover receives the boost. Other times, it's another or both. Depends on which double feature combination is offered or most popular.

 

Most recent example is when BP dropped under 5% against IW. AWiT increased 34% the same weekend despite suffering another harsh theater drop. Granted, AWiT's weekends were already low enough that even a small boost from IW's double features would translate into an increase.

 

From 2017, there are a few examples from the summer period as well.

 

Beauty and the Beast dropped a bit over 25% when GotG2 opened in 4,347 theaters.

GotG2 dropped under 40% when PotC5 opened in 4,276 theaters.

PotC5 and GotG2 dropped 16% and under 20% respectively when Cars 3 opened in 4,256 theaters.

 

Again, this could all be coincidental but I think it's an interesting point to consider. We'll know very soon when Solo opens.

 

For 2016, it's not as clear but an obvious example was Zootopia increasing 70% when Finding Dory opened in 4,305 theaters. As far as double features go, it made sense for Disney to pair off its two biggest animated films that year. 

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27 minutes ago, a2k said:

In India AIW did $3m on Monday. Friday was $4.5m. So less than 35% Friday-Monday drop. For huge openers 50-60% Fri-Mon drop is considered strong. 

 

The Jungle Book is the biggest Hollywood grosser in India with approx $25-30m. AIW should do at least $40-45m with a small but real shot at $50m.

It actually did 3.83m plus. The 3m figure is the nett which is what usually the Indian trades report. It is already 22m plus in 4 days. Tuesday is a holiday in many places here so Tueaday gross should be high as well. If it holds well over the next few days and weekend then it should at least be 35m usd by Sunday. 

 

At this point I dont see how it misses Jungle Book which did about 255 in local currency whereas Infinity War is already at 150 in 4 days

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9 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

It actually did 3.83m plus. The 3m figure is the nett which is what usually the Indian trades report. It is already 22m plus in 4 days. Tuesday is a holiday in many places here so Tueaday gross should be high as well. If it holds well over the next few days and weekend then it should at least be 35m usd by Sunday. 

 

At this point I dont see how it misses Jungle Book which did about 255 in local currency whereas Infinity War is already at 150 in 4 days

Yeah, though reporting is done in nett. As record books go only nett matters.

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