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FlashMaster659

Wed #s IW - 16.8m

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That's the same percentage drop as Black Panther on its first Wednesday.

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15m Thurs (-9%) 

33m Fri (+120%) 

54m Sat (+64%) 

41m Sun (-24%) 

 

128m (-50.4%) / 465m 10-day 

 

Assuming a slightly lower Friday bump than Avengers because of the stronger Monday hold. 

 

Its Saturday/Sunday are gonna be on par with Guardians 2's opening Saturday/Sunday this weekend last year...

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Avatar daily was $16,445,291, just saying.

 

my brain too foggy (just woke up) to try and do classic BOT what this means for the entire run now so take it away someone else.

 

heres 1: Black Panther also dropped 30% from tues to wens and made $14.7m on wens and went on to make $111m, same multi from wens to weekend for AIW gives $123m, I'm not sure it's as straight forward as that though as I think Black Panther's rather had an unreal weekend.

Edited by IronJimbo
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A 50% something drop would be amazing..who could have thought it'd be play like TA few weeks ago :circles:

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So, exactly same Sun-Wed drop as TA. Should follow TA closely from here.

Using TA drop:  $130M     2nd weekend - $468.3M  10 days

Using BP drop:  $130.7M   2nd weekend - $469M  10 days

Using CW drop: $130.7M

Using AOU drop:$136.3M  2nd weekend - $476.6M  10 days

 

Edited by bladels
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7 minutes ago, XO21 said:

A 50% something drop would be amazing..who could have thought it'd be play like TA few weeks ago :circles:

I'm going with $125m

 

4 minutes ago, bladels said:

So, exactly same Sun-Wed drop as TA. Should follow TA closely from here.

Using TA drop: $145M  2nd weekend - $482M  10 days

Using BP drop: $130.7M  2nd weekend - $469M  10 days

 

think BP drop is more likely

Edited by IronJimbo

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5 minutes ago, bladels said:

So, exactly same Sun-Wed drop as TA. Should follow TA closely from here.

Using TA drop: $145M      2nd weekend - $482M  10 days

Using BP drop: $130.7M    2nd weekend - $469M  10 days

Using AOU drop:$136.3M  2nd weekend - $476.6M  10 days

 

If it follows TA closely from here, it would have a 2nd weekend of 125m, instead of 145m.

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2 minutes ago, LeoC said:

If it follows TA closely from here, it would have a 2nd weekend of 125m, instead of 145m.

It's $130M. I added Thursday to the weekend, my bad :)

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Top first Wednesdays for weekend released movies 

 

Force Awakens :      38,022    +1.8%   ( December )   ( 3.77 )  ( weekend to total gross multiplier )

Hunger Games 2 :   20,808    +30%    ( November )   ( 2.68 )

Jurassic World :      19,895    -18.3%   ( June )           ( 3.12 )

Dark Knight  :         18,377    -11.9%   ( July )            ( 3.36 )

Finding Dory :         18,085    -22%     ( June )           ( 3.59 )

The Last Jedi :        16,889    -16.6%   ( December )   ( 2.81 )

Avatar :                  16,445   +2.2%    ( December )   ( go next )

Rogue One :           14,965    -14.9%   ( December )   ( 3.43 )

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This number is not super exciting in either direction. Wouldn’t mind if actuals could come in like .5 higher.

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3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

This number is not super exciting in either direction. 

This number is fucking huge.

 

Especially with projected ~120-140% (or even 150, who knows) jump on Friday and ~60% on Saturday. Especially after enormous 258 mln opening.

1 hour ago, IronJimbo said:

Avatar daily was $16,445,291, just saying.

It was another period, another opening and another times. Absolutuly nothing here for comparasion.

Edited by KeepItU25071906
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6 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

This number is fucking huge.

 

Especially with projected ~120-140% (or even 150, who knows) jump on Friday and ~60% on Saturday. Especially after enormous 258 mln opening.

Oh, sure. I mean, if you had given me this Wednesday number 2 weeks ago I would have flipped out. Sat and Sun and Mon and Tues were fucking huge though, and this drop is pretty in line with the other smash-hit, huge-OW, surprisingly-leggy MCU films.     

 

In the context of previous known numbers, I feel this one adds very little information, it’s just a result of “IW didn’t have  an

bonkers good Wed hold, and IW didn’t have  abonkers bad Wed drop.”

Edited by Thanos Legion
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7 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

It was another period, another opening and another times. Absolutuly nothing here for comparasion.

I didn't know that! I thought comparing holiday weekdays to non-holiday weekends was a fair thing to do (sarcasm by the way)

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5 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Oh, sure. I mean, if you had given me this Wednesday number 2 weeks ago I would have flipped out. Sat and Sun and Mon and Tues were fucking huge though, and this drop is pretty in line with the other smash-hit, huge-OW, surprisingly-leggy MCU films.     

 

In the context of previous known numbers, I feel this one adds very little information, it’s just a result of “IW didn’t have  an

bonkers good Wed hold, and IW didn’t have  abonkers bad Wed drop.”

Yeah, this Wed means IW following pattern of other big openers which is not very exciting. Relatively speaking of course, that number is still freaking huge

Edited by bladels

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Nothing impressive nor depressing. 30% drop was expected.

 

If Thursday gross stays over 15M it bodes well for over 115M+ second weekend

 

FRI 33M (+120%)

SAT 49M (+50%)

SUN 33M (-35%)

 

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Yeh I agree, nothing impressive or depressing about the drop. 30% is standard. 

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52-53% drop on 2nd weekend and 2,8-2,9 OW multiplier

 

Take that to the Mousebank Disney

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