salvador-232 Posted December 18, 2018 Author Share Posted December 18, 2018 Week from November 22th to 28th (Ralph Opening) Spoiler Admission Gross in CLP Change Total Admission Total Gross Week # 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet 155.248 568 M New 155.248 568 M 1 2 Bohemian Rhapsody 119.601 371 M -27% 789.107 2,671 B 4 3 FB: The Crimes of Grindelwald 113.653 351 M -30% 289.144 1,110 B 2 4 First Man 10.757 37 M New 10.757 37 M 1 5 The Nutcracker 4.681 12 M -79% 121.082 383 M 4 6 Smallfoot 3.450 7 M -85% 579.533 1,545 B 9 7 Venom 2.679 8 M -77% 671.767 2,304 B 8 8 Calzones Rotos 2.359 6 M New 2.359 6 M 1 9 The Girl in the Spiderweb 1.472 5 M -85% 11.086 33 M 2 10 Juliet, Naked 1.359 4 M New 1.359 4 M 1 Week from November 29th to December 5th (BTS Madness) Spoiler Admission Gross in CLP Change Total Admission Total Gross Week # 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet 182.387 525 M 17% 337.635 1,039 B 2 2 Bohemian Rhapsody 88.671 280 M -26% 877.778 2,951 B 5 3 FB: The Crimes of Grindelwald 73.017 230 M -36% 362.161 1,340 B 3 4 Burn The Stage: The Movie 53.559 213 M New 54.095 215 M 1 5 Robin Hood 34.492 102 M New 34.492 102 M 1 6 Instant Family 19.158 54 M New 19.158 54 M 1 7 Widows 8.961 33 M New 8.961 33 M 1 8 My Hero Academia: Two Heroes 7.101 21 M New 7.101 21 M 1 9 First Man 4.511 18 M -58% 15.268 55 M 2 10 Gauguin: Voyage de Tahiti 670 2 M -13% 1.438 5 M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted December 18, 2018 Author Share Posted December 18, 2018 (edited) Week December 6-12th. Admission Gross in CLP Change Total Admission Total Gross Week # 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet 136.276 379 M -25% 474.446 1,474 B 3 2 The Grinch 103.386 305 M New 103.386 305 M 1 3 Bohemian Rhapsody 67.446 217 M -24% 945.390 3,169 B 6 4 FB: The Crimes of Grindelwald 49.643 152 M -32% 411.971 1,493 B 4 5 The Possession of Hanna Grace 35.379 104 M New 35.379 104 M 1 6 Robin Hood 20.878 65 M -39% 55.456 167 M 2 7 My Hero Academia: Two Heroes 10.154 38 M 43% 17.255 60 M 2 8 Aquaman 8.391 37 M - 8.391 37 M - 9 Instant Family 7.952 22 M -58% 27.236 77 M 2 10 Widows 4.076 14 M -55% 13.037 47 M 2 Well, ALELUYA. A lot to unpack here. Ralph 2 opened way lower than expected (tough with high avge ticket price) but has held well, until this latest weekend. It should be able to see the new year if the upcoming weekly hold is better than the weekend. Still, disappointing. Bohemian Rhapsody has been holding excellently and will be just the 20th non-animated movie to reach 1.000.000 admissions. Clearly the surprise of the year. Gross is around $4,7M USD. Fantastic Beasts 2 is doing fine, the drops are typical for blockbusters but it is going to end lower than the original since that had ridiculous legs, gross is $2,2M USD. The Grinch bombs with the lowest opening for Illumination since the original Despicable Me. Will be destroyed by Spiderverse and Bumblebee. Other notables are the madness that was Burn The Stage: 50k admissions in just 3 days of release on a single chain, just wow. Also, My Hero Academia did amazing business on its limited release, better than many Hollywood bombs that did go wide. Edited December 18, 2018 by salvador-232 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted December 20, 2018 Author Share Posted December 20, 2018 (edited) Some Actuals: TW Movie Studio Weekend Gross Change Screens Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week 2 Ralph Breaks the Internet Disney $258,628 -36.3% n/a - n/a $2,444,735 4 3 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) UPI $248,524 -23.6% 68 -2 $3,655 $737,064 2 6 The Possession of Hannah Grace Sony $47,850 -55.5% 33 -19 $1,450 $201,682 2 7 Robin Hood (2018) Sarava $17,420 -73.5% 26 -24 $670 $229,930 3 Ralph held better than DL predicted but that only netted it 20k USD. Definitely is going to end up lower than the original in dollars, extremely disappointing performance. It would have done *much* better if Disney released this on January because that November release date is pure poison. Coco success last year was in spite of it. The Grinch drop is merely ok, a bit higher than the standard animated drop (sub-20) but that wouldn't be too worrying if it hadn't opened so low. Theater chains were very kind with it, this upcoming weekend and won't lose many showtimes but is the prime candidate to get slashed to make space for Bumblebee (unless Ralph drops below it this week). Furthermore, Christmas and New Year really don't help the Chilean Box Office, quite the opposite, especially Christmas, so it can't spect a bump. Spider-verse opens today and I'm very bullish on its BO chances given the Chilean love for animation + being popular with kids. It also helps that the dreaded Christmas eve and Christmas itself don't fall on its opening weekend. Besides, unlike Ralph and Grinch, it will be able to take advantage of Summer. Fun fact: I checked and there has not been a week without an animated movie on the top ten since at least 2014. I still don't know Aquaman numbers, when they are updated I will post them (Tough with the recent track record of the weekly admission data it could take a while...) Edited December 20, 2018 by salvador-232 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted December 21, 2018 Author Share Posted December 21, 2018 (edited) Week December 13-19 Admission Gross in CLP Change Total Admission Total Gross Week # 1 Aquaman 246.585 884 M New 254.976 921 M 1 2 Ralph Breaks the Internet 94.934 261 M -30% 569.380 1,735 B 4 3 The Grinch 89.633 250 M -13% 193.099 555 M 2 4 Bohemian Rhapsody 43.580 140 M -35% 988.970 3,308 B 7 5 FB: The Crimes of Grindelwald 19.903 56 M -60% 431.874 1,549 B 5 6 The Possession of Hanna Grace 16.370 48 M -54% 51.749 152 M 2 7 Robin Hood 5.996 17 M -71% 60.955 180 M 3 8 Wildling 3.901 11 M New 3.901 11 M 1 9 Instant Family 2.192 7 M -72% 29.428 83 M 3 10 Lizzie 1.705 7 M New 1.705 7 M 1 Aquaman debuted with 246k admissions and 1,33M USD. This opening is in the middle of the road of the DCEU and is similar to Logan and Thor Ragnarok. These two movies ended in the 650-700K range in admissions which would be again, middle of the road for the DCEU. Justice League legs would get it to 930k but Aquaman didn't have restrictions and should be more frontloaded. Ralph had a much nicer weekly hold and is on track to outsell the first one but it still won't reach the standard WDA level. It fell behind The Grinch on daily placements so it will be the prime target for screens cuts next weekend. Speaking of the Grinch, hold is fine, but again, very low base, won't make much of an impact. Bohemian Rhapsody started to fell more significantly after six -25% drops in a row. It will pass the 1M admission milestone next week but won't go much further since it suffered severe showtime cuts and will be out of wide release in 2 weeks. Still, very impressive performance for a non-family movie. Cume so far is 4,88M USD. Fantastic Beast 2 indeed suffered from the competition, and it suffered a lot. It had brutal screens cuts despite the fact it was still doing 50k admission per week (The usual threshold for annihilation is 30K). The decrease from the first one is significant but this one had to deal with so much more. Total is 2,3M USD. Edited December 22, 2018 by salvador-232 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted December 28, 2018 Author Share Posted December 28, 2018 Some actuals from last weekend (20-23 December) (USD) 2.-Spider-verse $182,825 3.-The Grinch $153,552 -38.2% $974,476 4.-Ralph 2 $141,374 $141,374 -45.3% $2,707,275 So sad for Spiderverse. It was deflated by Christmas but is less than Sing's 290K which faced an even more unfavorable calendar constellation in 2016. It got its screen slashed and was left without many evening showtimes. It HAS to increase a lot this weekend if it wants to have a chance to come back Grinch and Ralph's holds are awful but that's just Christmas effect. (It makes Coco -14% hold last year look even more impressive). I would say that Ralph could miss 3M USD but it appears to be recovering this weekend. Weekly admission data could be out very soon or very late, no one knows. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted December 31, 2018 Author Share Posted December 31, 2018 (edited) Weekend Placements. December 26-30th Aquaman Bumblebee Wifi Ralph Spider-verse The Grinch Bumblebee couldn't unseat Aquaman. Aquaman seems to have excellent WOM so I could see it remaining first until Dragon Ball Super opens. I tracked Ralph and Spiderverse extensively over the weekend and they must have increased, by a lot. This weekend usually isn´t much of a boost other than a reversion to the norm after the black hole that is Christmas. In any case, while an increase is good for Spiderverse, is still vulnerable to screens cuts. To its favor is that it has a higher avge ticket price than Ralph. Next weekend has Mortal Engines and a local comedy that will likely open wide (even though they will probably bomb). The Grinch is the weakest link and should be out of wide release soon. Edited December 31, 2018 by salvador-232 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 4, 2019 Author Share Posted January 4, 2019 (edited) Last weekend Actuals (minus Aquaman) 2.- Bumblebee $421,406 - 74 - $5,695 $568,228 3.-Ralph Breaks the internet $201,919 +42.8% - - - $2,984,171 4.-Spider-Verse $157,562 -13.8% 81 -85 $1,945 $427,554 5.- The Grinch $135,549 -11.7% 68 -1 $1,993 $1,201,932 Bumblebee gross is fine, not huge but enough to put a respectable gross. Ralph post-Christmas bump is one of the largest I've seen after Sing, very good. Matching the first one in dollars is out of reach but will survive a few more weeks. WB doesn't report numbers from Chile so no Aquaman unless admission data is updated (big if) Spider-verse couldn't manage an increase because of the huge screen loss. I was misled because while the PTA jumped 76% it wasn't enough to offset the losses. This weekend it lost 30% of its showtimes but remains on wide release and that's what matters. Weekly gross was very close to Ralph tough (245k vs 277k) Should survive just fine for now because there are other prime targets for showtimes cuts... The Grinch held well but as the weakest wide release, it was destroyed to make space for Mortal Engines and local comedy No Quiero Ser Tu Hermano. Unsurprisingly both of them bombed hard yesterday on OD, but they managed to bomb even harder than expected. Mortal Engines was fifth behind spiderverse and No quiero ser tu hermano was eight!!! behind Bohemian Rhapsody that only has a few night showtimes left. Edited January 5, 2019 by salvador-232 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 7, 2019 Author Share Posted January 7, 2019 Weekend Placements January 2-6th Aquaman Bumblebee Ralph 2 Spider-Verse Mortal Engines Aquaman stayed at the top for its third consecutive weekend. Bumblebee and Ralph were on a close fight for second place (Ralph briefly overtook it on Friday). Unless Ralph increased again that's very troubling for the transformer spinoff, my "respectable gross" assumption was that it was going to behave like a family film. If it starts to drops like a Transformers film on a much smaller scale then it could potentially go to Solo-like bombing territory. Spider-verse dropped 24% per DL, or 120K USD for the weekend. It lost 25% of its showtimes this weekend so it basically remained flat on its remaining screens. Still, is dangerously close to the "annihilation" territory. I think it should still survive for at least another week but after that, it will be hard. I hope the Golden Globes give it a boost. Mortal Engines bombed to the shock of no one. The same for local comedy No Quiero ser tu hermano which was a pathetic 8th. The Grinch collapsed to ninth place despite having almost as much showtimes as Spider-Verse. Between these three movies, there are over 500 showtimes up for grabs, mainly for Dragon Ball Super. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 Week December 20-26th (Spiderverse Opening) Spoiler Admission Gross in CLP Change Total Admission Total Gross Week # 1 Aquaman 184.452 616 M -25% 439.428 1,538 B 2 2 Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse 57.674 186 M New 57.674 186 M 1 3 The Grinch 55.290 155 M -38% 248.389 711 M 3 4 Ralph Breaks the Internet 52.873 147 M -44% 622.253 1,882 B 5 5 Bohemian Rhapsody 29.016 96 M -33% 1.017.986 3,403 B 8 6 Hell Fest 14.663 41 M New 14.923 42 M 1 7 FB: The Crimes of Grindelwald 6.648 20 M -67% 438.522 1,570 B 6 8 The Possession of Hanna Grace 3.823 11 M -77% 55.572 163 M 3 9 Once Upon a Deadpool 2.363 7 M New 2.363 7 M 1 10 Fleuve Noir 1.274 5 M New 1.274 5 M 1 Week December 27th to January 2nd. Admission Gross in CLP Change Total Admission Total Gross Week # 1 Aquaman 194.835 603 M 6% 634.263 2,140 B 3 2 Bumblebee 115.034 393 M New 115.055 393 M 1 3 Ralph Breaks the Internet 70.722 199 M 34% 692.975 2,080 B 6 4 Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse 52.265 153 M -9% 109.939 340 M 2 5 The Grinch 43.735 124 M -21% 292.124 835 M 4 6 Bohemian Rhapsody 32.075 105 M 11% 1.050.061 3,508 B 9 7 Hunter Killer 14.095 43 M New 14.095 43 M 1 8 Hell Fest 6.895 41 M -53% 14.923 42 M 2 9 FB: The Crimes of Grindelwald 4.099 13 M -38% 442.621 1,582 B 7 10 Fleuve Noir 1.474 5 M 16% 2.748 10 M 2 Very nice week of post-Christmas recovery. Aquaman increased and is on track to become the highest grossing DC movie. Is almost locked, only a collapse on the following weekends could prevent it. Total in USD is 3,14M Bumblebee has an "ok" opening. Legs will be the key. Spider-verse bombed hard on its OW but managed to stay almost flat despite losing half of its showtimes. I hope the Golden Globes effect show because is running out of time if it wants to stay on wide release. Bohemian Rhapsody continues to resist and is showing great late legs. 1,1M admissions could happen and cume in USD is 5,15M. Fantastic Beasts 2 is also doing impressive numbers considering the number of screens it has left, the total is ~2,3M USD. It will fall 20% compared to the first one but I think that is mostly because of the increased competition because its holds were fairly normal. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 (edited) Now we have data for all 2018. The year had 28.018.917 admissions and a gross of 90.852.542.221 CLP (142M USD). These are all-time highs for both numbers. Admissions were up 1,37% from 2017 and marked the twelfth consecutive year of growth. Gross in local currency was up 2,41% from 2017 and 0,05% from 2016 record. Despite the records, these numbers show a clear stagnation in the market. Gross in lc would be down adjusted for inflation since 2016 and this year didn't have many excuses unlike 2017 which faced 2 elections and one census (with cinemas closed). The only factor (although not that minor) was the temporary closure for 3 months of the most attended and largest complex of the country, Cine Hoyts La Reina, which reopened this week. And despite that, the number of total screens was up to 433 from 410 last year. Netflix could be a factor, but it really isn't that different from the rampant piracy that has affected the market since the massification of internet. The other could be the lack of animated offering from Hollywood (No Dreamworks movie, Illumination was a Dr. Seuss movie...). Chains so far keep expanding and opening new multiplexes because there's still a lot of population that doesn't have access to a nearby theater. That can keep a rachitic growth rate for a time. Anyway: TOP TEN by Calendar Year (January 1st to December 31st) Infinity War: 2.334.956 (#1 All time) Incredibles 2: 1.832.467 (#6 All Time) Jurassic World FK: 1.466.065 Hotel Transylvania 3: 1.333.710 Coco*: 1.295.692 (2.241.155 total) (#2 All time) Deadpool 2: 1.107.673 The Nun: 1.042.883 Bohemian Rhapsody**: 1.041.817 (1.050.061 total) Black Panther: 880.137 Jumanji*: 776.288 (875.377 total) *2017 release **Still on release Record number of movies over a milion, 3 new entries to the top 10. Coco was also 7th on the 2017 list and is the only movie ever to be on the top ten of two years. TOP TEN (so far) 2018 Releases Only. Infinity War: 2.334.956 Incredibles 2: 1.832.467 Jurassic World FK: 1.466.065 Hotel Transylvania 3: 1.333.710 Deadpool 2: 1.107.673 Bohemian Rhapsody**: 1.050.061 The Nun: 1.042.883 Black Panther: 880.137 Ferdinand: 753.835 The Meg: 740.354 **Still on release Aquaman is locked to enter this ranking and Ralph has a 90% chance. I will start doing a year re-cap and what to expect for 2019 inspired by the Mexico thread, so stay tuned! Edited January 8, 2019 by salvador-232 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 Tomorrow opens Dragon Ball Super : Broly Title Admissions Gross LC Resurrection F (2015) 291.280 915 M (~1,5M USD) Battle of Gods (2013) 267.108 671 M (~1,3M USD) The Dragon Ball is the only non-Hollywood franchise that receives Blockbuster treatment. It opens big thanks to the fanbase but is extremely frontloaded, barely making 2x its opening week. Dragon Ball Super Broly was given a full month of pre-sales, and for the first time, it will have subtitled showings alongside the dubbed ones plus Imax and premium screens. The presales for this are crazy, I'm not kidding when I say that these are the biggest presales ever bar Infinity War. I tracked the presales of one of the chains (the easiest to check) which put 45 showtimes for OD. With 6 hours to go until tomorrow right now there are: 16 sellouts 15 near sellouts (<10 seats available) 11 at high capacity (appears as yellow in the website) 3 at medium capacity (~half of the seats sold) 1 at low capacity This level of presales indicates a breakout to me. I think Broly could open well north of 200K admission on its first week, and, like in Brazil, totally demolish the previous entries. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scabab Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 What kind of money do you think it could make in total there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 37 minutes ago, scabab said: What kind of money do you think it could make in total there? 2-3M USD. Maybe more. In fact the only reason I'm not predicting that for opening weekend alone is because DBZ is the most frontloaded and fan driven franchise in the country, because otherwise this levels of pre-sales would indicate and historic opening Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scabab Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 I'd be happy with anything above $2 million. So you say Resurrection F did $1.5 million but Box Mojo has it at $1.39 million so are they wrong? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 hour ago, scabab said: I'd be happy with anything above $2 million. So you say Resurrection F did $1.5 million but Box Mojo has it at $1.39 million so are they wrong? Mojo doesn't have any gross for Resurrection F. Maybe you are confusing it Battle of the Gods? The gross is a rough estimated based on the exchange rate at that time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scabab Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 hours ago, salvador-232 said: Mojo doesn't have any gross for Resurrection F. Maybe you are confusing it Battle of the Gods? The gross is a rough estimated based on the exchange rate at that time. Oh actually it does but it's under a different title. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/intl/?page=&country=CL&wk=2015W16&id=_fDRAGONBALLZFUKKA01 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 (edited) 4 hours ago, scabab said: Oh actually it does but it's under a different title. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/intl/?page=&country=CL&wk=2015W16&id=_fDRAGONBALLZFUKKA01 Oh, that number seems correct based on the ER. Side note: As a Marketing gimmick, 10 thousand Dragon Ball Super-themed transport cards were put on sale in Santiago's subway and they sold out in a few hours, so they are going to print 8 thousand more. Edited January 10, 2019 by salvador-232 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 11, 2019 Author Share Posted January 11, 2019 Some Actuals form Last Weekend: Minus Aquaman as Always TW LW Movie Studio Weekend Gross Change Screens Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week 2 Bumblebee PPI $236,294 -43.9% 72 -2 $3,282 $869,179 2 3 Ralph Breaks the Internet Disney $200,441 -0.7% n/a - n/a $3,269,096 7 4 N Mortal Engines UPI $115,403 - 70 - $1,649 $130,439 1 5 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $114,608 -27.3% 72 -9 $1,592 $604,795 3 Bumblebee hold is awful. It can't have the luxury of dropping like a blockbuster with the numbers is doing. Ralph late legs are nothing short of impressive, really. It will probably end outgrossing the first one! Mortal Engines bombed and Spiderverse is beyond any possible recovery. Will be mostly gone after this current weekend. Now about this weekend: TOP10 #taquilla #Estrenos Jueves 10 Enero 1. DragonBallSuper:Broly 2. Aquaman 3. WifiRalph 4. ElRegresoDeMaryPoppins 5. Bumblebee 6. Spider-man:UnNuevoUniverso 7. Creed2 8. BohemianRhapsody 9. Terremoto 10. MáquinasMortales — Comscore Movies CHL (@cSMoviesChile) January 11, 2019 OD for Dragon Ball Super was 92k admissions, with an average of 202 people per screening. This OD alone would be enough to win the weekend. This is totally opening above 1M USD. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Top Weekend. TOP10 #taquilla Fin de semana 09-13 Enero 1. DragonBallSuper:Broly 2. Aquaman 3. WifiRalph 4. ElRegresoDeMaryPoppins 5. Bumblebee 6. BohemianRhapsody 7. Terremoto 8. Creed2 9. Spider-man:UnNuevoUniverso 10. MáquinasMortales — Comscore Movies CHL (@cSMoviesChile) January 14, 2019 Dragon Ball Super Broly grossed 1,7M USD, outgrossing Resurrection F by 20% just in OW. As DL reported, this is the third biggest animated opening of all time. Just a 2x multiplier would suffice to challenge the annual top 10. Is also by far the best anime movie of all time. Ralph also grossed 160K for a 21% drop. Very impressive late legs I must say. Mary Poppins went below that, so it probably won't even match the Nutcracker numbers. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scabab Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 You think Broly could get to $3 million? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
