Chile Box Office

[salvador-232]

Rank	Movie	Weekend	Change	Total
1	Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	54.340	-16%	141.933
2	The Angry Birds Movie 2	50.179	New	50.299
3	The Lion King	49.674	-17%	2.367.519
4	Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw	22.221	-24%	409.320
5	Angel has Fallen	14.741	-30%	42.768
6	Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark	10.938	-32%	91.056
7	Paw Patrol: Mighty Pups	10.644	-37%	147.879
8	Toy Story 4	9.640	-29%	3.196.330
9	Ready or Not	7.782	-31%	23.396
10	Araña	6.555	-40%	53.006

 

Data Courtesy of Dada as always. 

 

After last weekend apocalypsis this frame brought very soft drops, even for the weakest releases. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is doing very well. Should continue to have solid drops. Next weekend it should pass both Django Unchained (158k admissions) and Inglorius Bastards (173k) to become the most viewed Tarantino's movie in the market.

 

Angry Birds 2 barely beated TLK and suffered a 65% decline from the first one OW. It could still save some face if it weathers Dora decently enough next weekend. 

 

Speaking of the Lion King, it passed Infinity War and now is the third most viewed movie of all time. Amazing result, but as in the rest of LA it was clearly held back by TS4

Edited September 3, 2019 by salvador-232

[salvador-232]

It: Chapter 2, 2 days before release, 17% of the Market. FINAL PREVIEWS.

 

67 showings for OD | 15.509 seats available | 752 ticket sold.

 

IT 2 final presale came in 9% behind Anabelle 3 presales but Anabelle didn't have Wednesdays previews, which deflate IT OD PS (I'm sorry, I didn't have time to track those properly. They do look fine BTW, nothing groundbreaking but not bad either). Now, If we only know how much Anabelle did on OW...

 

Maybe a comp worth exploring could be Hobbs and Shaw, which would give a 1,1m USD opening. 

 

Well, It is not like WB is going to report its gross anyway...

 

 

[salvador-232]

 

Weekend September 5-8th 

 

#	Movie	Weekend	Change	Total
1	It:  Chapter Two	223.357	New	233.645
2	The Angry Birds Movie 2	31.405	-37%	90.009
3	Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	28.320	-48%	187.867
4	The Lion King	25.307	-49%	2.404.705
5	Yesterday	13.483	New	14.400
6	Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw	7.300	-67%	422.631
7	Angel has Fallen	5.514	-63%	52.660
8	The Little Mermaid( re-release)	4.232	New	4.232
9	Paw Patrol: Mighty Pups	3.062	-71%	152.614
10	K-12	2.072	New	2.077

 

It 2 opened 21% behind the first movie (17% counting the previews) but it is still an excellent result. The first movie did 1,291m admissions in total. If it 2 can sustain the ratio it could still crack a million admission. Angry Birds 2 still hasnt reached the OW of the first one and could miss it if Dora does decently this weekend

 

OUATIH suffered a lot from competition with IT, despite this, it is now oficially the most successful Tarantino Movie.

 

 

 

[salvador-232]

Top of the year so far

1. Toy Story 4: 3.196.330
2. Avengers Endgame: 3,094,876
3. The Lion King: 2.404.705*
4. Captain Marvel: 1,388,264
5. Spider-Man Far from Home: 1,086,451
6. How to Train your Dragon: The Hidden World: 1,059,714
7. Aladdin 807,512**
8. Dragon Ball Super Broly: 800,617
9. Pokemon Detective Pikachu 629,144
10. Dumbo: 608,842

All movies should be slightly higher with the final numbers, specially Aladdin. 

 

The top 3 of the year is also the all time top 3, that is just pure insanity. Other million admissions contenders are Frozen, It 2 and Joker. Star Wars and Jumanji could do it too but not on calendar year, so Chile will probably have to wait to see a year with 10 movies over million admissions. 

 

 

[salvador-232]

 

Weekend, September 12-15th.

 

#	Movie	Weekend	Change	Total
1	It Chapter Two	179.408	-20%	477.896
2	Dora and the Lost City of Gold	31.331	New	31.331
3	The Angry Birds Movie 2	16.365	-48%	113.632
4	The Art of Racing in the Rain	16.335	New	16.335
5	Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	15.499	-45%	212.255
6	Extremely Wicked. Shockingly Evil and Vile	14.637	New	14.637
7	The Lion King	8.703	-66%	2.420.754
8	Yesterday	8.206	-39%	27.223
9	Missing Link	5.751	New	5.751
10	Araña	2.096	/	62.737

 

It 2 continues to dominate with a solid hold while Dora bombs hard, tough that didn't stop the explorer from destroying Angry Birds 2 and specially The Lion King. This is somewhat surprising as it had done fairly well in Perú.  Another bomb is Missing Link, altough it have very limited showings (one per day in some cases) the result is still very bad considering it did go wide. 

 

Angry Birds 2 passed the OW of the first one but the first full week seems unreachable. Just ssad. Once Upon a Time can't stabilize but due its nature it should get a small boost from the arthouse system. 

Edited September 18, 2019 by salvador-232

[salvador-232]

Joker, 11 days before release,17% of the market

 

62 showings for OD | 14.742 seats available | 730 tickets sold

 

Excellent presales for the Joker, outpacing Spiderman FFH by 10% and could target Captain Marvel final PS or maybe even more. Also, on the ground I sense a lot of excitement about the movie. I expect great things from its BO. 

[The Chad DC]

39 minutes ago, salvador-232 said:

Joker, 11 days before release,17% of the market

 

62 showings for OD | 14.742 seats available | 730 tickets sold

 

Excellent presales for the Joker, outpacing Spiderman FFH by 10% and could target Captain Marvel final PS or maybe even more. Also, on the ground I sense a lot of excitement about the movie. I expect great things from its BO. 

Thats hot.

[salvador-232]

Weekend from September 19-22th 

 

Rank	Movie	Weekend	Change	Total
1	It Chapter Two	101.411	-43%	650.500
2	Dora and the Lost City of Gold	32.353	3%	80.209
3	Crawl	26.236	New	26.236
4	The Angry Birds Movie 2	17.322	6%	140.079
5	The Art of Racing in the Rain	12.377	-24%	36.710
6	Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	12.086	-22%	231.171
7	Extremely Wicked. Shockingly Evil and Vile	10.677	-27%	32.425
8	The Lion King	8.519	-2%	2.433.853
9	Good Boys	6.338	New	6.338
10	Yesterday	5.140	-37%	35.919

 

This was a 5 day holiday weekend but it was Fiestas Patrias (National Holiday) which depress the Box Office and indeed, total admissions were down 23% vs last weekend. 

 

Most of that is due to IT 2 which had an awful hold and will probably miss 1m admissions given that the Joker will likely steal most of its thunder. 

 

Kid's movies stayed flat but should be destroyed by Abominable next weekend.  Everything else had good holds but on very low numbers. 

 

 

 

[salvador-232]

Joker, 8 days before release, 17% of the market

 

62 showings for OD | 14.742 seats available | 1312 tickets sold

 

Joker now is beating Captain Marvel by 20% at the same point of presales. I think this basically guarantees an opening above 1m USD and with this level of presales, 2m USD (equivalent to 168m OW domestic) are clearly in play. 

Edited September 26, 2019 by salvador-232

[salvador-232]

Joker, 2 days before release, 17% of the market

 

62 showings for OD | 14.742 seats available | 3975 tickets sold

 

100,02% of Captain Marvel  ($2,3m USD) and 106% of Spider-Man FFH ($1,7m USD). Joker faded a bit in the comps but there is a catch. Both CM and FFH had twice as many seats as Joker (over 29k seats and over one hundred showings). The fact that it still managed to remain ahead of them show a great strenght. It does, however, face worse ER (basically at record lows right now) 

[salvador-232]

Well, I haven't updated this on a while. At first it was because I was very busy, but now is because there's literally no Box Office in the country. 

 

Since October 18th Chile has been in the middle of massive protests and social unrest, the spark was a subway fare hike but the underlining problem is the economic system and sistematic inequality. Showings started being canceled on Friday 18th and by Saturday evening all Cinema chains had canceled all the functions in all the country and they haven't reopened so far. 

 

There's currently a State of Emergency and Curfrew (the first since Pinochet) in the capital Santiago and in cities of 13 regions. 

 

I was in Santiago when everything started and honestly the whole experience felt like being an extra in a post-credit scene of the Joker. 

Edited October 22, 2019 by salvador-232

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, salvador-232 said:

Well, I haven't updated this on a while. At first it was because I was very busy, but now is because there's literally no Box Office in the country. 

 

Since October 18th Chile has been in the middle of massive protests and social unrest, the spark was a subway fare hike but the underlining problem is the economic system and sistematic inequality. Showings started being canceled on Friday 18th and by Saturday evening all Cinema chains had canceled all the functions in all the country and they haven't reopened so far. 

 

There's currently a State of Emergency and Curfrew (the first since Pinochet) in the capital Santiago and in cities of 13 regions. 

 

I was in Santiago when everything started and honestly the whole experience felt like being an extra in a post-credit scene of the Joker. 

Take care @salvador-232. There are bigger things than Box office. I hope country comes out of this in a better state.

[salvador-232]

After 13 days with almost all cinemas closed, the major chains have started to reopen theaters in less conflictive zones and with limited schedules (no night or even evening showings, etc.). A problem that the chains face is that the vast majority of theaters in Chile are placed in malls and thus are dependent on them to be able to reopen.

 

The effect of the protest on the BO can be seen for example with "Abominable", (protest started on October 18th) 

Oct 10-13	-	$208,136	-29.7%	74	+4	$2,812	$1,024,105	3
Oct 17-20	2	$55,134	-73.5%	71	-3	$776	$1,104,304	4
Oct 24-27	-	$4,350	-92.1%	19	-52	$228	$1,109,558	5

 

The silver lining however is that 2019 was so far ahead of 2018 that it might still manage a (very small) increase in admissions, but that depends on how fast the reopening process goes. Before everything started yearly BO was on track to a 7-10% increase. 

 

Given the complex situation, many releases have moved: 

 

Most notably Terminator 6 (Nov 14th), Adam's Family (Nov 7th). Frozen II (Nov 21th) has not moved but everything remain uncertain. 

[salvador-232]

Well, I haven't updated this because there isn't much info and the BO has been a wasteland in the last month and a half. 

Cinemas hoped that Frozen 2 could bring life back to the box office but the results are middling to say at least. 

 

Rank	LW	Release	Distributor	Gross	%± LW	Theaters	Change	Average	Total Gross	Weeks

1	-	Frozen II	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures	$691,384	-	-	-	-	$691,384	1
2	2	Terminator: Dark Fate	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures	$89,580	-36%	-	-	-	$279,355	2
3	1	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures	$85,151	-40%	-	-	-	$1,371,050	7
4	-	Zombieland: Double Tap	Sony Pictures Releasing	$39,192	-	47	-	$833	$39,192	1
5	3	The Addams Family	N/A	$29,399	-61%	56	-15	$524	$336,316	4
6	4	Abominable	-	$731	-90.6%	3	-17	$243	$1,215,485	10

 

 

Frozen 2 opened to 691k, this is down 35% from the original Frozen opening (1m USD). Now, basically all of it is because of the ER. The exchange rate has fallen 12% since the start of the crisis to a record low and is down 35% since 2014. Frozen II is basically flat in local currency, however that still bad considering the strong growth it experienced in many markets and the 10% increase in the average ticket price since then.  (Frozen II is down adjusted by inflation).

 

But the question is, could it have really done better considering the circunstances? Record low ER+ Mass Riots and Protest + The economy entering recession because of all of this. It has so much going against it that it could have done a lot worse. I still think that January was a better release date, but if it can survive until Summer then it has a chance of a long run a la Ralph 2. 

[The GOAT]

How big has the peasant revolution affected the Chilian boxoffice? 

[salvador-232]

On 12/5/2019 at 10:57 PM, The GOAT said:

How big has the peasant revolution affected the Chilian boxoffice? 

Well, is not a "peasant revolution", but people had enough of neoliberalism and the brutal repression led to mass riots and destruction. Also the president declared that the country was at war with the protesters, and the right was apparently very enthusiastic about bringing back the dictatorship, state of emergency, and human rights violations. Kinda hard to go to the cinema when the police and the army is shooting you in the eye with pellet guns and cities' centers are full of tear gas and pepper spray. (and barricades...) 

 

As I said before, Cinemas were closed completely for around 10 days and after that attendance has been dismal. To give you and idea of how devastating for the Box Office the whole situation has been, a standard weekday before the protests was bringing around 58k admissions nationwide. After the protest, a "normal weekday" of November was around 12k admissions nationwide and that fell to only 1k admission the day of the general strike on mid month.

 

Until October 17th, Joker had reached 1m admissions. After that, and despite leading the whole month after that day, it had only reached 1,352m Admission until November 16th. Just 350k admissions for the #1 release in a month. The protest killed its chances to reach the all time top 10 when it was locked to do so. 

[salvador-232]

Well, not everything was bad for Frozen 2 in Chile. The press reported 192k admissions on OW. This is 28% higher than Frozen 1 and the best OW for a Disney Animation film. This, of course, languish compared to TS4 (558k) or Incredibles 2 (271k) but is very good given the circunstances. The reason it didn't increase in local currency is because Disney (smartly in my opinion) didn't put restrictions to discounts. 

 

Being opimistic, The Good Dinosaur multiplier would give Frozen 2,~1,350.000 admissions which would be an excellent finish and a significant increase from the first one (930k admissions). Even if it doesn't do that good, I think that 1m admission is looking fairly good. Who would have tought?

Edited December 7, 2019 by salvador-232

[jornacio]

Amazing Thread, also Chilean here.

 

Couldn't agree more with what you said about the social unrest, even though most violent protests have calmed down, cinemas still feel pretty empty this days.

[salvador-232]

I will try to revive this thread, no promises though. For now, let's take a look at what the press reported about 2019. 

 

Admissions reached 29,5 million in Multiplexes, a growth of 6% versus 2018 and the first major increase since 2016 (The last two years saw very anemic growth). This was achieved despite the social uprising that devastated the industry over October-November, with 13 days of almost total closure of all cinemas and very weak numbers since then until recently. Without the protests, the Chilean BO would have likely seen an increase of over 10%.  Top movies were these: 

 

Chile yearly top 10 

1. Toy Story 4: 3.190.000 (#1 all time)
2. Avengers: Endgame:  3.096.000 (#2 all time)
3. The Lion King: 2.435.000 (#3 all time)
4. Joker 1.571.000 (Record for +14 movie)
5. Captain Marvel: 1.369.000
6. Spider-man: Far From Home: 1.092.000
7. How to Train Your Dragon 3: 1.050.000
8. It 2: 864.000
9. Frozen 2: 824.000 (still on release) 
10. Aladdin: 812.000

2020 will have a hard time keeping the impressive streak of 13 years of increases in admissions. 2006 was the last time the Chilean BO saw a year-to-year decline. Not only the lineup of movies is weaker, but next year there are a lot of elections and cinemas have to close on election day (which is always Sunday, the second strongest day of the week). But considering that 2019 lost 13 days, 2020 has nothing to complain about losing 3 Sundays. 

 

My biggest fear is that one should never, never, underestimate the infinite incompetence of this government and the authoritarian tendencies of the Chilean right. Protests are likely to reignite in March and if the government responds as well as last time then there's nothing that can save cinemas next year. 

[salvador-232]

Weekend December 26-29th

Rank	LW	Release	Gross	%± LW	Theaters	Change	Average	Total Gross	Weeks	Distributor

1	1	Star Wars: Episode IX - The Rise of Skywalker	$707,682	-48.4%	-	-	-	$2,403,842	2	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
2	-	Jumanji: The Next Level	$612,738	-	180	-	$3,404	$612,738	1	Sony Pictures Releasing
3	2	Frozen II	$329,249	+6.2%	-	-	-	$3,103,202	5	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
4	3	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	$11,842	-36.5%	-	-	-	$1,576,373	11	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
5	4	Downton Abbey	$10,042	-24.5%	6	-4	$1,673	$69,462	3	N/A

 

 

SW had a slightly better drop than TLJ (-53%) but is significantly behind in total gross because of its weekdays being deflated by Christmas. 

Frozen recovered after a bad drop last week. The Good Dinosaur also increased this equivalent weekend. It needs to weather Spies in Disguise, if it manages that then 4m USD is in play. 

 

Jumanji TNL is very good, almost the same as the first one despite much worse ER.