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Thursday Numbers ~ A:IW $15.5

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-7.5% from Wednesday

 

If it follows TA1 thru the weekend

 

Fri: 37M (+136%)

Sat: 54M (+47%)

Sun: 39M (-28%)

Second weekend: 130M (-49.6%)

 

Still can’t see IW dropping anything over 55%.

 

Even following BP which has the softest Fri jump among all Spring/early Summer MCU releases, weekend projection for IW would still end around 122.7M (-52.4%)

 

Edit: Dang it @aabattery

Edited by Sam
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26.7% above Avengers Thursday, which as aa and sam already went through translates to a 130.5 weekend.    

I'll outline an even more optimistic possibility, since it has had better day-to-day % than Avengers every day except Wednesday so far.   

 

Fri: 37.7 (+140%)  
Sat: 56.9 (+49%)  

Sun: 41.5 (-27%)  

2nd weekend: 136.1 (-47.2%)  

 

Shockingly possible, though I'd take the under.  

And of course, this sets a new record for a non-opening schoolday Thursday.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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Prett expected.. like i said a few days ago. This is going to run like TA until films actually start being released then it slow down. Problem is most of its gross is made by then, im still expecting around 700m

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6 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Prett expected.. like i said a few days ago. This is going to run like TA until films actually start being released then it slow down. Problem is most of its gross is made by then, im still expecting around 700m

Great for AIW

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18 minutes ago, Jessie said:

Its a good drop, not quite Avatar level, but good none-the-less. Could end with around 0.9A which would be great

Fyi 0.9A means 2.5b as worldwide is a far more important value.

 

Agree it was a good drop but not quite Avatar anti gravity which is why this will fall short of it DOM. It will be almost a billion away from from Avatar WW without china but thanks to china it could beat titanic WW. Which is a shame because Avatar held the highest grossing record in China for 4 years even despite how much smaller the market was in china in 2009. It's fair to assume Avatar would have grossed atleast 700m in china now but it only made 200m. 3.2b btw

 

Honestly speaking the higher IW gets is just more potential for A2, i've actually started thinking 4b is in play.

Edited by IronJimbo
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22 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

26.7% above Avengers Thursday, which as aa and sam already went through translates to a 130.5 weekend.    

I'll outline an even more optimistic possibility, since it has had better day-to-day % than Avengers every day except Wednesday so far.   

 

Fri: 37.7 (+140%)  
Sat: 56.9 (+49%)  

Sun: 41.5 (-27%)  

2nd weekend: 136.1 (-47.2%)  

 

Shockingly possible, though I'd take the under.  

And of course, this sets a new record for a non-opening schoolday Thursday.

Since you did an optimistic scenario, just for fun, I’m gonna go the total opposite way for an extra pessimistic scenario. 

 

I chose the worst jumps/drops from each 2nd weekend day among the MCU Spring/early Summer movies. 

 

Fri: 31.7M (+102% BP)

Sat: 45.55M (+43.7% IM1)

Sun: 28.74 (-36.9% IM2)

 

Total: 106M (-59%)

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13 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Fyi 0.9A means 2.5b as worldwide is a far more important value.

 

Agree it was a good drop but not quite Avatar anti gravity which is why this will fall short of it DOM. It will be almost a billion away from from Avatar WW without china but thanks to china it could beat titanic WW. Which is a same because Avatar held the highest grossing record in China for 4 years even despite how much smaller the market was in china in 2009. It's fair to assume Avatar would have grossed atleast 700m in china now but it only made 200m. 3.2b btw

I was talking more domestic. WW its unhighly likely to get 0.9Godmovie as you really need to be on another level for that and the GA naturally were more invested in camerons masterpiece than the MCU

Edited by Jessie
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3 minutes ago, Jessie said:

I was talking more domestic. WW its highly likely to get 0.9Godmovie as you really need to be on another level for that and the GA naturally were more invested in camerons masterpiece than the MCU

Unlikely you meant im sure but yeah im in agreement, well said

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12 minutes ago, Eldenfirefly said:

I think we will have a better idea when we see second weekend numbers. Its still school for most kids right now and work days for adults. So, I got a feeling a lot of return viewers will come in on the weekends.

Just imagine how many more people would be returning if this was an Avatar sequel

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