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AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

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6 minutes ago, GOATPeterJackson said:

Can't we factor in at least a minimal FFH bump domestic or is that not going to be a thing?

I don't see why a studio that did crazy stuff to bring freaking Wrinkle in Time above the 100M mark won't give this movie some push to let it get the WW crown if it stops 10-15 millions behind. And of course FFH would be the best backing.

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5 minutes ago, Omni said:

I don't see why a studio that did crazy stuff to bring freaking Wrinkle in Time above the 100M mark won't give this movie some push to let it get the WW crown if it stops 10-15 millions behind. And of course FFH would be the best backing.

Far From Home is distributed by Sony though.

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3 hours ago, Juby said:

 

No chance at this point. $860M is max. domestic at this moment (I think it will finish in $848-852M range). China also won't get as high as $640-645 mln, it would be like $10 mln less. Endgame needs at least $1.295B from the rest of the markets to beat Avatar and I think it will manage to cross $1.3B.

 POTUS is an expert on China BO and he's got it projected at 636 million, and that's with the uncertainty of extension/how long extension would be for. 
I leave China box office to the experts, and 640 is certainly within the realm of possibility when considering their estimations. 

Edited by VanillaSkies
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3 hours ago, Omni said:

I don't see why a studio that did crazy stuff to bring freaking Wrinkle in Time above the 100M mark won't give this movie some push to let it get the WW crown if it stops 10-15 millions behind. And of course FFH would be the best backing.

And an IMAX, PLF expansion over labour day weekend, which historically adds 5 - 10 million to a film's total box office. 

And before people jump in with "but it will be available to buy digitally", that didn't stop Avatar from earning 10+ million from it's labour day weekend release when it had already been available on home video from May to September. 

Yeah, Disney has every incentive to push...

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The total cume until 3rd weekend of OS-China = 1.155B. The estimate below is based on the total cume till 3rd weekend of each country, the prediction for number of tickets sold at the end, the discussion of members in BOT:

UK: 105M -> 125M, +20M

SK: 96.6M ->106.6M, +10M

BRAZIL: 72.5M ->88M, +15.5M

MEXICO: 69.5M ->76.5M, +7M

INDIA: 60M -> 65M, +5M

GERMANY: 54.5M -> 62.5M, +8M

AUSTRALIA: 52.2M -> 59.2M, +7M

FRANCE: 51.8M -> 60M, + 8.2M

JAPAN: 42.7M -> 53.5M, +11M

RUSSIA: 41.3M -> 46M, + 4.7M

INDONESIA: 33.3M-> 35M, +1.7M

ITALIA: 31.6M -> 33.5M, +1.9M

PHILIPIN: 31.2M -> 33M, +1.8M

SPAIN: 28.5M -> 34.5M, +6M

HONGKONG: 26.5M -> 28.5M, + 2M

TAIWAN: 26M -> 28M, +2M

THAILAND: 25.6M -> 27M, +1.4M

So, OS-China can be 1.155B + number of countries above = 1.268B

For the rest countries, I don't know.

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2 hours ago, VanillaSkies said:

 POTUS is an expert on China BO and he's got it projected at 636 million, and that's with the uncertainty of extension/how long extension would be for. 
I leave China box office to the experts, and 640 is certainly within the realm of possibility when considering their estimations. 

I do think 635M in China is more realistic. ER has been adjusted up quite a bit so it'll affect the late collections.

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41 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

The total cume until 3rd weekend of OS-China = 1.155B. The estimate below is based on the total cume till 3rd weekend of each country, the prediction for number of tickets sold at the end, the discussion of members in BOT:

UK: 105M -> 125M, +20M

SK: 96.6M ->106.6M, +10M

BRAZIL: 72.5M ->88M, +15.5M

MEXICO: 69.5M ->76.5M, +7M

INDIA: 60M -> 65M, +5M

GERMANY: 54.5M -> 62.5M, +8M

AUSTRALIA: 52.2M -> 59.2M, +7M

FRANCE: 51.8M -> 60M, + 8.2M

JAPAN: 42.7M -> 53.5M, +11M

RUSSIA: 41.3M -> 46M, + 4.7M

INDONESIA: 33.3M-> 35M, +1.7M

ITALIA: 31.6M -> 33.5M, +1.9M

PHILIPIN: 31.2M -> 33M, +1.8M

SPAIN: 28.5M -> 34.5M, +6M

HONGKONG: 26.5M -> 28.5M, + 2M

TAIWAN: 26M -> 28M, +2M

THAILAND: 25.6M -> 27M, +1.4M

So, OS-China can be 1.155B + number of countries above = 1.268B

For the rest countries, I don't know.

The countries you listed above accounted for 73.5% (edit: 849M here) of the current total (849M). Assuming similar ratio for the increases, 133/73.5% = 153M. Around 1.308B total. I do expect a little more late legs, so i'll go with 1.320B.

Edited by nguyenkhoi282
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8 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

The countries you listed above accounted for 73.5% of the current total (849M). Assuming similar ratio for the increases, 133/73.5% = 153M. Around 1.308B total. I do expect a little more late legs, so i'll go with 1.320B.

What does this mean? How to know it is 73.5%?

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