AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

[danhtruong5]

13 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Judging from domestic and overseas performance, even if end game follow IW's run from here, it will not beat Avatar, it will stuck at 2784m. And the trend is not looking good to have better hold than IW.

 

Despite John Wick 3 is not as big as Deadpool 2, EG still drops >50%, this kind of set the tone that how much will EG drop in the face of competition.  With Aladdin coming next week, which sure will be a bigger OS hit than bombed Solo. (Solo only did 170m OS-Ch), I can see next week drops harsher than IW's 55% when it faced Solo.

 

IW's droped only 27% OS-Ch in its 6th week when it faced zero competition, while EG needs to deal with could-be-gigantic Godzilla 2 and Rocketman in many markets. 

 

The 7th week doesn't seem to be in favour of EG, when EG need to battle two front with X-men and SLOP 2 while IW only need to deal with Ocean 8 which wasn't an OS-friendly film.   

 

All in factor could cause EG total to dip to 2.76b, it is totally now up to Marvel whether to top the crown or not. 

 

        

I just want it to finish at $2.77X B

[youcantseemyname]

6 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

Memorial Day weekend in the states. The 2nd(or 3rd) busiest movie going holiday of the year. 

Sure, but it is an US only thing. Even IW last year only managed to get a 41% drop weekend. Not counting weekday drops and OS drops, don't think it's happening.

Edit: There's no weekend for China starting from next week either so even lower.

Edited May 19, 2019 by youcantseemyname

[JimiQ]

18 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Judging from domestic and overseas performance, even if end game follow IW's run from here, it will not beat Avatar, it will stuck at 2784m. And the trend is not looking good to have better hold than IW.

 

Despite John Wick 3 is not as big as Deadpool 2, EG still drops >50%, this kind of set the tone that how much will EG drop in the face of competition.  With Aladdin coming next week, which sure will be a bigger OS hit than bombed Solo. (Solo only did 170m OS-Ch), I can see next week drops harsher than IW's 55% when it faced Solo.

 

IW's droped only 27% OS-Ch in its 6th week when it faced zero competition, while EG needs to deal with could-be-gigantic Godzilla 2 and Rocketman in many markets. 

 

The 7th week doesn't seem to be in favour of EG, when EG need to battle two front with X-men and SLOP 2 while IW only need to deal with Ocean 8 which wasn't an OS-friendly film.   

 

All in factor could cause EG total to dip to 2.76b, it is totally now up to Marvel whether to top the crown or not. 

 

        

You might be forgetting soccer worldcup that was the reason for lack of competion being competition in itself

[titanic2187]

1 minute ago, JimiQ said:

You might be forgetting soccer worldcup that was the reason for lack of competion being competition in itself

At least IW still had those screens in its hand, when IW did drop only 27% in the week that it faced no competition.

 

People are overestimating the worldcup effect on the box office especially to the holdover. It is not like EG debut in the week when worldcup season. Worldcup or not will have minimal effect to both IW and EG.     

[fabiopazzo2]

2 hours ago, MaxAggressor said:

https://deadline.com/2019/05/john-wick-chapter-3-hits-35m-in-overseas-bow-pikachu-nears-300m-global-as-endgame-tops-2-6b-ww-international-box-office-1202618380/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

 

Play is still strong in Asia where China has now grossed $625M; in the UK and Korea it has crossed $100M. In the latter, Endgameis now the biggest Western movie of all time in terms of admissions.

 

In IMAX, Endgame has hit $207M global, including $145M overseas and $81.2M in China alone. The result in China is now double the IMAX box office of Avengers: Infinity War.

Great

[fabiopazzo2]

 

China, where Disney has Aladdin next session, is far and away the top offshore play now at $625M. Both the UK and Korea have also crossed the $100M mark. This weekend saw Endgamebecome the highest grossing all-time industry release in Bolivia and Korea (Western/admissions). 

It is also the highest grossing movie ever in Latin America ($257M) and Asia-Pacific ($1.094B) as well as the No. 7 biggest in Europe ($493M). During the 4th overseas frame, Endgame held No. 1 in several Latin American markets, as well as five in Europe.

Strong holds came from Japan (-33%), Peru (-36%), Denmark (-41%), Spain (-43%), Chile (-43%), Colombia (-43%), Australia (-46%), Poland (-48%), Ecuador (-48%), Singapore (-49%), UK (-50%), Norway (-50%) and South Africa (-50%).

After China, the rest of the Top 5 overall includes UK ($109M), Korea ($101.5M), Brazil ($79.2M) and Mexico ($73.9M)

[Taruseth]

2 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

 

China, where Disney has Aladdin next session, is far and away the top offshore play now at $625M. Both the UK and Korea have also crossed the $100M mark. This weekend saw Endgamebecome the highest grossing all-time industry release in Bolivia and Korea (Western/admissions). 

It is also the highest grossing movie ever in Latin America ($257M) and Asia-Pacific ($1.094B) as well as the No. 7 biggest in Europe ($493M). During the 4th overseas frame, Endgame held No. 1 in several Latin American markets, as well as five in Europe.

Strong holds came from Japan (-33%), Peru (-36%), Denmark (-41%), Spain (-43%), Chile (-43%), Colombia (-43%), Australia (-46%), Poland (-48%), Ecuador (-48%), Singapore (-49%), UK (-50%), Norway (-50%) and South Africa (-50%).

After China, the rest of the Top 5 overall includes UK ($109M), Korea ($101.5M), Brazil ($79.2M) and Mexico ($73.9M)

2

What? 

what films are bigger?

Avatar

Titanic

TFA?

 

[fabiopazzo2]

2 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

What? 

what films are bigger?

Avatar

Titanic

TFA?

 

Maybe Spectre or Skyfall??! 

[druv10]

12 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

What? 

what films are bigger?

Avatar

Titanic

TFA?

 

DH2 and LOTR were massive in Europe.

[Legion Again]

So it’ll probably finish with what, 530M in Europe? Wonder if that cracks the top 5.

[TalismanRing]

6 hours ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

It's interesting that Endgame has made more domestic than Avatar, but Avatar made 2 billion overseas alone, and Endgame isn't making that overseas.

 

Even if Endgame makes more than Avatar worldwide, Avatar's overseas numbers are still untouchable. 

 

On the bright side it's nice not be in a horrific dollar devaluing recession

 

 

[KP1025]

That's a pretty impressive number for Endgame considering MCU was never huge like Star Wars in Europe. I read the record for highest Europe gross is Avatar with $1.05 billion.

Edited May 20, 2019 by KP1025

[TalismanRing]

5 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

IW made another $83 million after its 4th weekend, domestically. I believe Endgame will come in lower than that, around $70 million. After it's 4th weekend, IW faced (3) $50m+ openers in the next 5 weekends. Endgame will face at least 4 (Aladdin, KOTM, SLOP2, TS4) and potentially 6 (depending on Dark Phoenix and MIB numbers.) 

IW made another $72 million after its 4th weekend, OS. Again, I'm expecting Endgame to fall a short of this as well at $65 million. 

China is a big stink in all of this, as IW went on to make about $17 million more in China after its 4th weekend. Endgame didn't get an extension and will be done on the 23rd, so it might do $3-4 million more in the next 4 days.

All in all, I think Endgame finishes around $2.755 billion.

 

On 5/21/2018 at 3:28 PM, Ephemeris said:

OS weekend came in $1.82M higher than estimated, OS total came in $2.83M higher than estimated:

 

Country (click to view chart)	Rank	Days in Wknd	Weekend Gross	% Change	Screens/ Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
FOREIGN TOTAL	2	3	$86,223,210	-69.4%	55	-	$1,567,695	$1,221,530,515	4

 

 

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$595,813,862	32.8%
+ Foreign:	$1,221,530,515	67.2%
= Worldwide:	$1,817,344,377

 

On 5/21/2018 at 7:28 PM, Quigley said:

With an $86.2M weekend and a $54.2M weekend in China, it made $32M elsewhere. That was a 60.5% drop from last week's $81M.

 

That means it's made $918.5M so far OS w/o China.

 

If I recall correctly China made $375m.  Which mean OS-China is $994.5m which means  $76m after the fourth w/e  or 2.375x

 

OS-China AEG 4th w/e is an estimated $39m (my guess it will go up since it has every w/e).  To only do $65m more it would have a 1.66x. Nothing so far indicates that kind of freefall.

 

 

 

 

[Maximum Avery]

5 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

At least IW still had those screens in its hand, when IW did drop only 27% in the week that it faced no competition.

 

People are overestimating the worldcup effect on the box office especially to the holdover. It is not like EG debut in the week when worldcup season. Worldcup or not will have minimal effect to both IW and EG.     

IW biggest competition in europe at least wasnt only wc last year.. its the same as every mcu movie... noone older than 40 cares about it 😢 titanic and avatar had some appeal(seafaring catastrophe big budget epic romance/first 3d movie from the guy that brought you titanic) for them... even tfa as an old nostalgic reminder had _some_(bolstered because it was released during xmass trust me)...there is no way you could get my still vital parents of 58+ to watch that during summer.. and i imagine if they were 20 years younger the story would be the same.. and they are non intelectual/ordinary/moderately educated middle class... its just hard to break thru them with so much colors in the world i guess..pitty, they are missing out:/ TTVOMJ 

[Jiffy]

41 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

 

 

If I recall correctly China made $375m.  Which mean OS-China is $994.5m which means  $76m after the fourth w/e  or 2.375x

 

OS-China AEG 4th w/e is an estimated $39m (my guess it will go up since it has every w/e).  To only do $65m more it would have a 1.66x. Nothing so far indicates that kind of freefall.

 

 

 

 

$65m more after a $39m weekend would be a 2.67x multiplier. 

[Jiffy]

3 hours ago, Taruseth said:

What? 

what films are bigger?

Avatar

Titanic

TFA?

 

 

These are the top 10 films I found in the European markets BOM records as of last year:

 

		Title	Year	Total Gross ($)
1	)	Avatar	2009	$1,049,806,194
2	)	Titanic	1997	$765,573,145
3	)	The Force Awakens	2015	$606,301,019
4	)	Skyfall	2012	$500,288,469
5	)	Return of the King	2003	$481,536,373
6	)	Deathly Hallows - Pt. 2	2011	$469,765,210
7	)	Ice Age 3	2009	$468,073,247
8	)	The Last Jedi	2017	$439,210,586
9	)	The Hobbit	2012	$437,837,288
10	)	The Hobbit 2	2013	$417,792,859

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, Jiffy said:

$65m more after a $39m weekend would be a 2.67x multiplier. 

$76m more off a $32m w/e  would s 3.375x.

 

The comparison stands whether you include the w/e number or not. 

 

AEG isn't likely to make 17% less off a a w/e that's 21% higher

[nguyenkhoi282]

8 hours ago, danhtruong5 said:

Why can it only drop under 50% from the next week? Lots of competition in some next weeks

The smaller raw number, the less likely to be affected by competition

[nguyenkhoi282]

7 hours ago, Juby said:

Another good hold for Endgame overseas. It still has small chances to beat Avatar's record by a few million.

 

Domestic: $842M

China: $627M

Rest: needs to be at least $1.319B to beat Avatar!

Your rest will be hard to happen. Dom need to be at least 10M higher. 

Infinity War added 2.25x its 4th weekend of 32M OS-China. This weekend, assuming actuals increase, touches 40M. However FSS should only be 38M. 

So 1222 + 38*2.25 = 1308. It'll need to hold better than IW to touch 1315 or so 

[Legion Again]

10 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

Your rest will be hard to happen. Dom need to be at least 10M higher.

Infinity War added 2.25x its 4th weekend of 32M OS-China. This weekend, assuming actuals increase, touches 40M. However FSS should only be 38M.

So 1222 + 38*2.25 = 1308. It'll need to hold better than IW to touch 1315 or so

The 32 for IW was the official weekend figure rather than the FSS, so 40*2.25 would be right.