AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

[charlie Jatinder]

Quick updates/changes

 

Here's my projection for the weekend

 

 

China - $285m (5 days)

 

United Kingdom - $47m

South Korea - $46m

 

Mexico - $34m

 

India - $26m

Brazil - $26m

Australia - $25m

France - $20m

Germany - $20m

 

Philippines - $16m 

Indonesia - $15m

Italy - $15m

Spain - $13m

Thailand - $13m

Japan - $12m

Taiwan - $12m

Malaysia - $10m

Hong Kong - $10m

 

Chile - $5m

Singapore - $5m

Colombia - $5m

Netherlands - $5m

 

Rest - $110m

 

Total - $775m Approx

[Ledmonkey96]

Hmmm so either Dom needs 325mil OW or we need some slight over performances on these already insane numbers.

 

1 Bill OW get.

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Hmmm so either Dom needs 325mil OW or we need some slight over performances on these already insane numbers.

 

1 Bill OW get.

Only 225 DOM needed off Charlie’s post above  

[Ledmonkey96]

Just now, Thanos Legion said:

Only 225 DOM needed off Charlie’s post above  

I can't into math..... that said an OW larger than CM WW is fine with me.

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Hmmm so either Dom needs 325mil OW or we need some slight over performances on these already insane numbers.

 

1 Bill OW get.

 

$775m + $325m = $1.1b

Domestic would only need $225m if OS hits Charlie's numbers  

[charlie Jatinder]

5 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Hmmm so either Dom needs 325mil OW or we need some slight over performances on these already insane numbers.

 

1 Bill OW get.

China has still room to go $30-40mn up but these numbers are already with normal/okay response so I won't really increase people expectations.

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Only 225 DOM needed off Charlie’s post above  

 

2 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

$775m + $325m = $1.1b

Domestic would only need $225m if OS hits Charlie's numbers  

 

How not-bold my club was. Huh.

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

 

 

How not-bold my club was. Huh.

 

Endgame through Sunday > Captain Marvel through Sunday

[Legion Again]

775-285=490   

 

490/360-> +~36% adjusted for today’s rates.       

 

My gut is shying away from it, but the presales have been insane and OS-C has 2 different types of territories where it could plausibly grow more than DOM or China:

1) countries where IW already did insane but HW is fast-growing (SE Asia, India)   

2) countries where IW did great for a SH movie, but SH isn’t a huge genre. If AEG can play past its genre even more than IW, there’s a proven capacity for more % growth (Japan, Australia(?), Europe)     

 

So, I won’t go that high on OS-C, but I won’t say it’s beyond the limit either.

[MattW]

Infinity War's overseas numbers for the opening (there's never a Saturday update that's why Sat-Sun are blank, probably something like ~115/89 for those days):

	OS Cume	Overseas
April 25	39	39
April 26	95	56
April 27	178.5	83.5
April 28
April 29	382.823
Weekend 1
Opening		382.823

 

 

If it does 250m in China and 400m everywhere else then it will easily hit a billion total on monday the 29th (that's 6 days to a billion, down from Infinity War's 11 days), and will move on to a billion overseas and 1.5b worldwide easily by the second sunday, May 5th

[Ledmonkey96]

2 minutes ago, MattW said:

Infinity War's overseas numbers for the opening (there's never a Saturday update that's why Sat-Sun are blank, probably something like ~115/89 for those days):



	OS Cume	Overseas
April 25	39	39
April 26	95	56
April 27	178.5	83.5
April 28
April 29	382.823
Weekend 1
Opening		382.823

 

 

If it does 250m in China and 400m everywhere else then it will easily hit a billion total on monday the 29th (that's 6 days to a billion, down from Infinity War's 11 days), and will move on to a billion overseas and 1.5b worldwide easily by the second sunday, May 5th

Tuesday is labor day which is probably good for 100mil by itself. Or is that Wednesday?

Edited April 23, 2019 by Ledmonkey96

[XXR vs XXR]

1 minute ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Tuesday is labor day which is probably good for 100mil by itself. Or is that Wednesday?

 

Wednesday, May 1. 

[Apollo2xx]

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Quick updates/changes

 

Here's my projection for the weekend

 

 

China - $285m (5 days)

 

United Kingdom - $47m

South Korea - $46m

 

Mexico - $34m

 

India - $26m

Brazil - $26m

Australia - $25m

France - $20m

Germany - $20m

 

Philippines - $16m 

Indonesia - $15m

Italy - $15m

Spain - $13m

Thailand - $13m

Japan - $12m

Taiwan - $12m

Malaysia - $10m

Hong Kong - $10m

 

Chile - $5m

Singapore - $5m

Colombia - $5m

Netherlands - $5m

 

Rest - $110m

 

Total - $775m Approx

26m in Brazil is impossible with current ER. 20 million is more realistic.

[FilmBuff]

Take about 20% off of your predictions and you got Fabio’s negative predictions.

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 minutes ago, Apollo2xx said:

26m in Brazil is impossible wih current ER. 20 million is more realistic

I mean even if a bunch of places come below his guess it'll still be enough to hit 1 billion easily

[Purple Minion]

 

[terrestrial]

4 hours ago, FilmBuff said:

Take about 20% off of your predictions and you got Fabio’s negative more cautious predictions.

FIFY

[expensiveho]

They just updated showtimes on the biggest theater here in Medellin. 

 

Shazam and Llorona have 1 screen (while Dumbo has the morning shows on those screens). Everything else is Endgame. 

[terrestrial]

Gavin Feng‏ @gavinfeng97 3 minutes ago

More

Yes, Avengers: Endgame has sold $100M in China. It's the first time in history that a film earn $100M-plus in both North America & China before debut. Official box office system shows Chinese midnights for Endgame just reached $20M at 6:30pm, Apr.23 Beijing Time. #AvengersEndgame

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[terrestrial]

Gavin was so nice to post this update (asked for an update, was seemingly a bit early see MN not done)

 

maybe someone wants to use the quote link and give likes there?

 

10 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: