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HAN SOLO MEMORIAL (day weekend) THREAD | Solo Flops Domestically with 83M/101M weekend. Spectacularly Bombs Overseas with 65M weekend.

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This probably isn't good for Ron Howard's career, I'll say. His last few movies have all been box office flops, and if he can't even get a Star Wars movie into the black, hard to imagine anyone else trusting him. I sure wouldn't.

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2018

Date
(click to view chart)
Rank Weekend
Gross
%
Change
Theaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#
Mar 9–11 2 $33,123,609 - 3,980 - $8,323 $33,123,609 1
Mar 16–18 4 $16,256,879 -50.9% 3,980 - $4,085 $60,751,533 2
Mar 23–25 6 $8,215,492 -49.5% 3,423 -557 $2,400 $74,058,099 3
Mar 30–Apr 1 8 $4,842,624 -41.1% 2,367 -1,056 $2,046 $83,399,038 4
Apr 6–8 12 $3,301,707 -31.8% 1,701 -666 $1,941 $90,274,463 5
Apr 13–15 15 $1,380,257 -58.2% 1,112 -589 $1,241 $92,476,477 6
Apr 20–22 18 $731,702 -47.0% 665 -447 $1,100 $93,718,321 7
Apr 27–29 13 $981,856 +34.2% 371 -294 $2,647 $94,930,902 8
May 4–6 18 $410,517 -58.2% 294 -77 $1,396 $95,496,098 9
May 11–13 11 $1,156,780 +182% 1,984 +1,690 $583 $96,812,656 10
May 18–20 25 $160,746 -86.1% 230 -1,754 $699 $97,366,188 11
May 25–27 18 $239,000
(Estimate)
+48.7% 202 -28 $1,183 $97,684,196
(Estimate)
12

 

A Wrinkle in Time's run gives me life.

 

 

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Just now, TwoMisfits said:

So, Solo's numbers almost guarantee all the June 1 releases get a wider open, right?  I'd assume there are a LOT of theaters which are gonna look for a "2-week" movie to fill unneeded Solo screens until Incredibles 2.  Maybe it will also help some June 8 releases, if they are willing to take only a 1 week guarantee window.  I know if I were any of these movies, I'd be pinging some of those 10-12 screen theaters that I didn't think I had a chance of booking now...  

No. Adrift is the only movie expected to make a dent of any kind next weekend, and even that's looking like a $12M opener at best.

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6 minutes ago, Mekanos said:

I didn't see it posted in this thread but then I saw it on the sidebar. Damn. Well... 66% is on the better end of things at least?

 Nah theres no way around the fact that that is a bad drop. 66% drop on a holiday weekend with Sunday drop being cushioned is never a good thing. Hopefully it recovers because if it doesnt then it will miss 300m

Edited by ZeeSoh
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All the studios are predicting drops on Sunday for their films, with the exception of Overboard.  Going by history, many films stay flat or increase slightly on the Sunday of Memorial weekend.  So maybe some of the films will be underestimated.  I think Book Club will go up for sure.

 

Actually , looking at the last two years, the drops on Sunday are right around what they are predicting for this weekend.  I guess the drops are feasible, but I think IW and BC will see better Sunday holds.

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top 15 of 2018 so far

 

  1. Annihilation
  2. Paddington 2
  3. Tully
  4. Unsane
  5. A Quiet Place
  6. Avengers: Infinity War
  7. Deadpool 2
  8. Ready Player One
  9. On Body and Soul
  10. Black Panther
  11. The Commuter
  12. Blockers
  13. Love, Simon
  14. The Director and the Jedi
  15. Game Night

honorable mentions: Maze Runner 3, Mom and Dad

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Just now, filmlover said:

No. Adrift is the only movie expected to make a dent of any kind next weekend, and even that's looking like a $12M opener at best.

Well, right now, neither of my 12s are preselling it...I'd expect that to change this week, especially since 1 12 has already dropped a dedicated screen for Solo starting Tuesday...

 

You can't have 4 screens empty at a 12 for 2 weeks...anything new probably will sell better than something rejected...

 

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7 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Remember when Rotten Tomatoes told us to check our expectations at the theater floor, for Solo?

 

I think checking Solo's low numbers is better. :)

That was the dumbest consensus wver

 

 

 check our expectations at the door? This is fuckkng Star Wars, not Transformers 6

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6 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

So, Solo's numbers almost guarantee all the June 1 releases get a wider open, right?  I'd assume there are a LOT of theaters which are gonna look for a "2-week" movie to fill unneeded Solo screens until Incredibles 2.  Maybe it will also help some June 8 releases, if they are willing to take only a 1 week guarantee window.  I know if I were any of these movies, I'd be pinging some of those 10-12 screen theaters that I didn't think I had a chance of booking now...  

I don’t think so. I do hope Hereditary gets a wider release though.

Edited by babz06
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4 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

2018

Date
(click to view chart)
Rank Weekend
Gross
%
Change
Theaters Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#
Mar 9–11 2 $33,123,609 - 3,980 - $8,323 $33,123,609 1
Mar 16–18 4 $16,256,879 -50.9% 3,980 - $4,085 $60,751,533 2
Mar 23–25 6 $8,215,492 -49.5% 3,423 -557 $2,400 $74,058,099 3
Mar 30–Apr 1 8 $4,842,624 -41.1% 2,367 -1,056 $2,046 $83,399,038 4
Apr 6–8 12 $3,301,707 -31.8% 1,701 -666 $1,941 $90,274,463 5
Apr 13–15 15 $1,380,257 -58.2% 1,112 -589 $1,241 $92,476,477 6
Apr 20–22 18 $731,702 -47.0% 665 -447 $1,100 $93,718,321 7
Apr 27–29 13 $981,856 +34.2% 371 -294 $2,647 $94,930,902 8
May 4–6 18 $410,517 -58.2% 294 -77 $1,396 $95,496,098 9
May 11–13 11 $1,156,780 +182% 1,984 +1,690 $583 $96,812,656 10
May 18–20 25 $160,746 -86.1% 230 -1,754 $699 $97,366,188 11
May 25–27 18 $239,000
(Estimate)
+48.7% 202 -28 $1,183 $97,684,196
(Estimate)
12

 

A Wrinkle in Time's run gives me life.

 

 

If they keep it in theaters til next year it'll crawl to 100M that Disney wants so much. :lol:

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6 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

This probably isn't good for Ron Howard's career, I'll say. His last few movies have all been box office flops, and if he can't even get a Star Wars movie into the black, hard to imagine anyone else trusting him. I sure wouldn't.

That’s too bad because from what I hear he saved the movie from being worse than it could have been 

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22 minutes ago, A2k Raptor said:

Rampage is on 413 ww should do a little over 415 ww.

 

Solo os could be

160 (65 ow * 2.5) current markets + say 25 more from remaining markets (just plain guessing. don't know what markets remaining)

= 185

 

185 os + 230 dom = 415 ww

 

So under Rampage ww is very likely.

Who'd thunk RPO, the movie everyone was clamouring to bomb would beat Solo WW? 

Edited by Jonwo
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5 minutes ago, Mekanos said:

God Black Panther is so close to 700 it's killing me. At least its drop was more favorable than last weekend.

I'll start a riot if AWIT crawls to 100M before BP crawls to 700M. Fuck you, Disney, for releasing Blue Ray so early! 

 

@tribefan695 Solo is not Howard's fault and everyone in the industry knows that. he'll be fine and he has proven to be a good sport cause agreeing to take over so late in the game was a risk for him. 

Edited by Valonqar
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