Wednesday Numbers: Solo 4.9M | Deadpool 3.9M | Book Club 1.6M | Infinity War 1.5M

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, Nova said:

Mad Max Fury Road dropped 42.5% the weekend after MD. I'm not saying that IW is going to drop that well but I really don't see why it's going to fall off a cliff when literally every single weekend IW has had great drops. And it's weekday drops this week indicate another solid hold for it especially with literally no competition this weekend (which usually has competition) 

I didn't say fall of a cliff. I said GotG2's 35% 6th weekend drop is virtually impossible for IW to do in the weekend after MD. Unless it defies prior holdover rules of that weekend. 

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, Nova said:

Mad Max Fury Road dropped 42.5% the weekend after MD. I'm not saying that IW is going to drop that well but I really don't see why it's going to fall off a cliff when literally every single weekend IW has had great drops. And it's weekday drops this week indicate another solid hold for it especially with literally no competition this weekend (which usually has competition) 

The way AIW is pacing this week it should drop better.  It's numbers are ahead of AOU's and that did $11.4m which would be a drop in the low 30%s for AIW

[JB33]

10 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

That was its 5th weeknd. This is IW's 6th. You're right it will break away though, since it won't have as good of a hold as GotG2's 35%, since it's virtually impossible for holdovers to drop sub 40% the weekend after MD. 

Yeah I know, both movies are a week apart in terms of their release but the drops and holds have been similar anyway when I align the actual calendars and not where each film is in their release (aka IW's 5th Wednesday drop is almost identical to GotGV2's 4th Wednesday drop, as both are ultimately coming off Memorial Day weekend, which seems more relevant than week of release).

Edited May 31, 2018 by JB33

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I didn't say fall of a cliff. I said GotG2's 35% 6th weekend drop is virtually impossible for IW to do in the weekend after MD. Unless it defies prior holdover rules of that weekend. 

Right but why would it follow GOTG2 weekend holds when they weren't released the same weekend? I would more or less compare the actual weekends that they're in at this point (i.e. post MD weekend) than what number weekend they're in. I'd say a 40% drop for IW is possible 

Edited May 31, 2018 by Nova

[Thrylos 7]

6 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

hmpf, I wonder if 2 billies is still on the table?

Locked and with ease.

 

The IW number is actually quite good, only a 23% week to week drop, maybe the fact that the book club is holding better is blinding some people.

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

The way AIW is pacing this week it should drop better.  It's numbers are ahead of AOU's and that did $11.4m which would be a drop in the low 30%s for AIW

I hope so. But it would be one of the only movies that ever made over 5m this weekend and dropped under 40% in that case. Only one from this decade is Bridesmaids. 

[IronJimbo]

5 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said:

Locked and with ease.

 

The IW number is actually quite good, only a 23% week to week drop, maybe the fact that the book club is holding better is blinding some people.

Well damn it's actually going to do it! I stopped following it 2 weeks ago when it cemented itself as #4 WW and #4 DOM

[ZattMurdock]

 

39 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

34 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

$1.9 last Wed. 23% week to week drop

 

AOU did $1.429m on it's comparative MD Wed and made $11.4m that w/e with $54m San Andreas opening.

Exactly. I don't know why some are acting sad with Infinity War numbers, this is a fucking excellent drop. Solo and DP2 tho.... ouch.

 

[JB33]

19 minutes ago, Nova said:

Right but why would it follow GOTG2 weekend holds when they weren't released the same weekend? I would more or less compare the actual weekends that they're in at this point (i.e. post MD weekend) than what number weekend they're in. I'd say a 40% drop for IW is possible 

Compare the data. Regardless of the fact IW was released one week earlier, its behaviour in May is still strikingly similar to GotGV2. I thought the same as you at first but the more I've aligned the two, the more I've realized IW being one week ahead doesn't matter. Memorial weekend, and the subsequent weekdays, for IW behaved just like GotGV2, even though one was in its 5th week and one in its 4th week.

 

But, as @MovieMan89 and I were saying, and to your point, IW will likely veer off that comparison tomorrow. At the same point on the calendar - not in their release - GotGV2 only jumped 91.2% on Friday due to WONDER WOMAN, and only 55.1% on Saturday. I expect IW to perform much better than that given what it's up against this weekend in comparison.

Edited May 31, 2018 by JB33

[TalismanRing]

10 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I hope so. But it would be one of the only movies that ever made over 5m this weekend and dropped under 40% in that case. Only one from this decade is Bridesmaids. 

There's no competition this w/e.  There usually is.  It's a dead zone and right now AIW is holding at lower than 30% drop from weekdays.

 

 

AOU

 

$1,429,415 -26.7% / -38.6% 3,727 / $384 $414,747,982 / 27	28 4   4 $1,402,043 $32,979,546 -1.9% / -40.4% -549 / -34% 3,727 / $376 $8,849 $416,150,025 / 28	29 6  $2,883,572 105.7% / -46.2% 3,228 / $893 $419,033,597 / 29	30 5  $4,917,855 70.5% / -40.7% 3,228 / $1,523 $423,951,452 / 30
31 5   5 $3,599,975 $11,401,402

 

AIW would have to have a slightly bigger Thur drop, a smaller Friday jump and significantly lower internal multiplier to do under $10.5m which would still be slightly under a 40% drop

 

1.4 x 100% (2.8)  x 3.75

[sfran43]

 

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

That's great for them but I vividly remember that BvS 4DX article

 

The Batman v Superman 4DX Experience is brutish, unapologetic capitalism sprayed directly in your face

 

https://www.theverge.com/2016/4/1/11347528/batman-v-superman-movie-4dx-experience-torture

 

 

No thanks. 

[GraceRandolph]

32 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

hmpf, I wonder if 2 billies is still on the table?

My guess is NO. BOT being wrong once again - what else is new?

[Rebeccas]

Yikes. RIP Solo

[Thrylos 7]

4 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said:

My guess is NO. BOT being wrong once again - what else is new?

It will end with around 2.020 

[WrathOfHan]

1	SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY Buena Vista 4,381	$18,596,323 -23.9% / $4,245 $103,016,812 / 4	$7,295,767 -60.8% / $1,665 $110,312,579 / 5	$4,855,886 -33.4% / $1,108 $115,168,465 / 6	N/A
2	DEADPOOL 2 Fox 4,349	$10,367,286 -32.7% / $2,384 $218,537,681 / 11	$5,346,203 -48.4% / $1,229 $223,883,884 / 12	$3,866,312 -27.7% / $889 $227,750,196 / 13	N/A
3	BOOK CLUB Paramount 2,810	$3,049,479 -19.2% / $1,085 $35,329,170 / 11	$1,960,360 -35.7% / $698 $37,289,530 / 12	$1,665,043 -15.1% / $593 $38,954,573 / 13	N/A
4	AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR Buena Vista 3,768	$5,159,885 -21.7% / $1,369 $627,649,180 / 32	$1,978,217 -61.7% / $525 $629,627,397 / 33	$1,464,526 -26% / $389 $631,091,923 / 34	N/A
5	LIFE OF THE PARTY Warner Bros. (New Line) 2,937	$1,496,263 -25.4% / $509 $40,860,739 / 18	$801,547 -46.4% / $273 $41,662,286 / 19	$628,941 -21.5% / $214 $42,291,227 / 20	N/A
6	BREAKING IN (2018) Universal 1,985	$1,216,110 -20.5% / $613 $37,089,080 / 18	$621,425 -48.9% / $313 $37,710,505 / 19	$448,990 -27.7% / $226 $38,159,495 / 20	N/A
7	SHOW DOGS Global Road 3,212	$1,063,185 -18.2% / $331 $11,925,075 / 11	$436,942 -58.9% / $136 $12,362,017 / 12	$371,400 -15% / $116 $12,733,417 / 13	N/A
8	A QUIET PLACE Paramount 1,524	$697,388 -24% / $458 $180,830,910 / 53	$348,671 -50% / $229 $181,179,581 / 54	$299,939 -14% / $197 $181,479,520 / 55	N/A
9	OVERBOARD (2018) Pantelion 1,196	$1,004,830 -23.4% / $840 $42,632,810 / 25	$383,851 -61.8% / $321 $43,016,661 / 26	$278,267 -27.5% / $233 $43,294,928 / 27	N/A
10	RBG Magnolia 415	$340,257 -41.2% / $820 $6,242,778 / 25	$163,000 (estimate) -52.1% / $393 $6,405,778 / 26	$183,000 (estimate) +12.3% / $441 $6,588,778 / 27	N/A
11	RAMPAGE (2018) Warner Bros. (New Line) 688	$252,844 -22.2% / $368 $94,192,405 / 46	$116,880 -53.8% / $170 $94,309,285 / 47	$97,310 -16.7% / $141 $94,406,595 / 48	N/A
12	I FEEL PRETTY STX Entertainment 551	$139,747 -21.5% / $254 $47,818,453 / 39	$82,849 -40.7% / $150 $47,901,302 / 40	$65,444 -21% / $119 $47,966,746 / 41

[WrathOfHan]

Hotel Artemis' TC: 2,000

 

Still waiting for A24 on Hereditary's

[TalismanRing]

 

Wednesday, May 30, 2018
 

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TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 Solo: A Star Wars Story BV $4,855,886 -33% - 4,381 $1,108 $115,168,465 6 2 2 Deadpool 2 Fox $3,866,312 -28% -52% 4,349 $889 $227,750,196 13 3 4 Book Club Par. $1,665,043 -15% -19% 2,810 $593 $38,954,573 13 4 3 Avengers: Infinity War BV $1,464,526 -26% -23% 3,768 $389 $631,091,923 34 5 5 Life of the Party WB (NL) $628,941 -22% -7% 2,937 $214 $42,291,227 20 6 6 Breaking In (2018) Uni. $448,990 -28% -16% 1,985 $226 $38,159,495 20 7 7 Show Dogs Global Road $371,400 -15% +23% 3,212 $116 $12,733,417 13 8 9 A Quiet Place Par. $299,939 -14% -21% 1,524 $197 $181,479,520 55 9 8 Overboard (2018) PNT $278,267 -28% -24% 1,196 $233 $43,294,928 27 10 10 RBG Magn. $183,000 +12% +5% 415 $441 $6,588,778 27 11 11 Rampage (2018) WB (NL) $97,310 -17% -28% 688 $141 $94,406,595 48 12 12 I Feel Pretty STX $65,444 -21% -52% 551 $119 $47,966,746 41 - - Pope Francis - A Man of His Word Focus $59,660 +9% -25% 385 $155 $1,364,185 13 - - Disobedience BST $48,628 -1% -20% 224 $217 $2,795,053 34 - - Black Panther BV $43,627 -12% -45% 440 $99 $698,838,368 104 - - First Reformed A24 $28,971 -2% +159% 29 $999 $574,866 13 - - Tully (2018) Focus $26,950 +2% -63% 191 $141 $9,044,555 27 - - Isle Of Dogs FoxS $26,672 -6% -34% 162 $165 $31,239,270 69 - - Sherlock Gnomes Par. $26,515 +17% +10% 298 $89 $42,697,644 69 - - A Wrinkle in Time BV $24,611 -0% +10% 202 $122 $97,785,103 83 - - Super Troopers 2 Fox $24,249 -23% -46% 221 $110 $30,009,930 41 - - Ready Player One WB $24,189 -22% -38% 241 $100 $135,787,203 63 - - Pandas WB $22,360 -6% +11% 35 $639 $1,679,862 55 - - Blockers Uni. $19,875 -20% -50% 197 $101 $59,480,360 55 - - Truth or Dare Uni. $14,990 -12% -43% 153 $98 $40,563,375 48 - - 2001: A Space Odyssey (2018 re-release) WB $13,880 -35% -66% 0 $0 $487,410 13 - - On Chesil Beach BST $11,234 +3% +155% 25 $449 $199,366 13 - - Chappaquiddick ENTMP $6,727 +2% -23% 74 $91 $17,298,105 55 - - Traffik LGF $6,040 -20% +14% 75 $81 $9,180,422 41 - - Game Night WB (NL) $5,324 -7% +24% 60 $89 $68,911,064 97 - - The Miracle Season Mirr/LD $5,276 -13% +13% 53 $100 $10,100,853 55 - - Tomb Raider WB $4,001 +2% -29% 75 $53 $57,417,577 76 - - Tyler Perry's Acrimony LGF $3,539 -36% -55% 40 $88 $43,471,330 62 - - The Greatest Showman Fox $2,777 -17% -35% 35 $79 $173,996,352 162 - - How to Talk to Girls at Parties A24 $1,746 +27% - 2 $873 $18,799 6 - - Lean on Pete A24 $1,564 +56% -30% 23 $68 $1,145,088 55 - - Death Wish (2018) MGM $1,271 -8% +36% 16 $79 $34,016,073 90 - - Beirut BST $1,192 -25% -37% 12 $99 $4,983,748 50 - - Love, Simon Fox $604 -44% -70% 32 $19 $40,819,370 76
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[WrathOfHan]

Won't You Be My Neighbor? is opening in 29 theaters next weekend. I can see it hitting 1,500-2,000 theaters at the end of June if the PTAs are strong.

[dudalb]

5 minutes ago, Rebeccas said:

Yikes. RIP Solo

I think Solo died (as far as breaking even goes, forget making a profit) after the first 3 days BO was in. This is just filling in the grave....