BOX OFFICE THEORY WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM WEEKEND THREAD | 150 OW OFFICIAL ESTIMATE | No Spoilers, Read Rules First Post! | First Post Updated with Sale Info

[RealLyre]

9 minutes ago, a2k said:

tons of reviews added last 24 hours (193 right now)

54%

Average Rating: 5.7/10

Reviews Counted: 193

Fresh: 104

Rotten: 89

 

as someone rooting for jw2 to do well using DMC's rt as my opium

54%

Average Rating: 6/10

Reviews Counted: 222

Fresh: 119

Rotten: 103

Highest grossing movies with a rotten RT score

 

1.Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace $474M

2.Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $423M

3.Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen $402M

4.The Passion of the Christ $370M

5.Transformers: Dark of the Moon $352M

6.Minions $336M

7.Alice in Wonderland $334M

8.Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $330M

9.Suicide Squad $325M

10.Shrek the Third $322M 

11.Transformers $319M

12.Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $309M

13.The Twilight Saga: Eclipse $300M

14.The Twilight Saga: New Moon $296M

15.The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 $292M

16.Man of Steel $291M

17.The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 $281M

18.Meet the Fockers $279M

19.Despicable Me 3 $264M

20.How the Grinch Stole Christmas $260M
 

 

I think JW 2 will finish in the low end of this list with about $290M If it maintains a $110M-$115M opening 

 

[Sam]

Looking like 14-15M Thu previews for FK base on my local theaters presales in comparison with Solo/DP2/I2. 

 

Let’s see how things shape up.

[dxmatrixdt]

I2 did not have 18.5 in previews last week ahead of time reported by Deadline, but they might report early today if JW is even eclipsing 10m.

Edited June 21, 2018 by mathemetrics

[The Panda]

5 minutes ago, Sam said:

Looking like 14-15M Thu previews for FK base on my local theaters presales in comparison with Solo/DP2/I2. 

 

Let’s see how things shape up.

14-15m would be okay, it’ll really depend on how frontloaded this one is compared to the first.

[TwoMisfits]

In the "it's better than nothing" category of news, my local Regal has added a 5th show for Jurassic World tonight at 9pm.  Now, it's only a 50 seater, so don't get your hopes up.

 

This theater was my predictor that Solo was going low...and if JW continues to not get seats here, I'll be saying JW will also be going low...although I'm not sure what people would now actually consider low b/c we've had some really low guesstimates for the weekend...

[WrathOfHan]

First shows of the night:

 

114/124

61/78

Total: 175/202

Edited June 21, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Mekanos]

3 hours before the 7 PM 2D IMAX at Irvine Spectrum:

 

 

Don't have any comparisons offhand except that Homecoming was already full at this point. 

[John Marston]

If JW does as bad as some think I’m guessing the early release overseas release date and the movie likely being online for two weeks might have something to do with it. Doesn’t make much sense for a sequel to a leggy monster to drop so badly 

[dxmatrixdt]

as long as it keeps up above Thor: Ragnarok, I think it will out-open DP2.

[filmlover]

Just now, John Marston said:

If JW does as bad as some think I’m guessing the early release overseas release date and the movie likely being online for two weeks might have something to do with it. Doesn’t make much sense for a sequel to a leggy monster to drop so badly 

Or Jurassic World was just a total anomaly. It largely banked on everyone's nostalgia for the original film (which was never going to apply to this).

[Avatree]

JP1 broke the OW record. JP2 broke the OW record.

 

JW broke the OW record.

JW2 will break the OW record. Just wait for the WALK-UPS.

[Rebeccas]

7:15pm IMAX 3D showing at AMC Empire starting in 3 minutes is not remotely full.

[MikeQ]

MT Update (7:15PM EDT / 4:15PM PDT):

 

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: 44.7%

Incredibles 2: 41.6%

Ocean's 8: 2.9%

Tag: 1.6%

Solo: A Star Wars Story: 1%

 

Peace,

Mike

[Avatree]

2 minutes ago, Rebeccas said:

7:15pm IMAX 3D showing at AMC Empire starting in 3 minutes is not remotely full.

So what? General audience (main target of JW) don't care about IMAX.

[Sam]

4 minutes ago, Avatree said:

JP1 broke the OW record. JP2 broke the OW record.

 

JW broke the OW record.

JW2 will break the OW record. Just wait for the WALK-UPS.

Let’s see, current record is $257.7M, JW will get there for sure, but I don’t think it counts as breaking the OW record if it takes 10-20 days to pass the mark. Just a hunch. 

[Rebeccas]

1 minute ago, Avatree said:

So what? General audience (main target of JW) don't care about IMAX.

Okay but the regular showings are also.. not good. The 7:30 in the huge theater is like actually rather empty 

[excel1]

it isn't breaking record. signed, the person who knew the last one was. 

[WrathOfHan]

21 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

First shows of the night:

 

114/124

61/78

Total: 175/202

7:00: 114/124

7:00: 61/78

7:15 3D: 45/60

Total: 220/262 (175 2D/45 3D)

Edited June 21, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Cap]

The 7:30PM at our Reserved Stadium Theater. 

 

[Brainbug]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

7:00: 114/124

7:00: 61/78

7:15 3D: 45/60

Total: 220/262 (175 2D/45 3D)

 

Doesnt that seem...quite solid?