Ocean's 8 Weekend Thread | O8: 41.5...Solo 15.1...DP2: 13.6...Hereditary: 13.0

[titanic2187]

5 hours ago, Daxtreme said:

Is there a special holiday in the US next week-end? Why are people predicting 10% drop for AIW?

 

Regardless, those are some sweet-ass actuals.

father day usually give male-skewed, father-aged brand while PG-13 movie a boost

 

5 hours ago, John Marston said:

 

Father's Day on Sunday causes increases or tiny drops for action movies. Both previous Avengers movies increased on Father's Day Sunday

In fact, all marvel since the 1st avengers, iron man3, amazing spider man 2, ultron, civil war, GOTG 2 all increased in father's day 

[dxmatrixdt]

4 hours ago, Nova said:

They exist but I don't believe they're as numerous as they were before. A movie will get its dollar run towards the end of its time in theaters and if I'm not mistaken it's usually just for a week. 

 

30 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

It depends on the film. The discount theater nearest to me has been playing Game Night for almost two months.

I think most of the second-run dollar theaters have been redone and replaced by regular theaters.  Any experts that can confirm this?

[Mojoguy]

Discount/Dollar theaters are basically dying nowadays with studios releasing movies on bluray and dvd so quickly.

[dxmatrixdt]

4m Monday Oceans Eight is -64.3%

4m throughout Thursday + Tuesday 50% jump gives 4.5 weekday multiplier from 64.3% drop.

4x4.5 = 18

41.6m now

 

18m weekdays is about +20% over Saturday or 1.2xSaturday. 

Last year, GOTG2 did 1.271 of its Saturday during the weekdays.  Using this number for IW gives 3.81 weekdays, 658.95 total.  Dropping down 2/3 from Sunday to Monday for IW gives roughly 0.8m and applying a 4.5 multiplier to 0.8m gives 3.6m.  A lighter drop makes for stronger weekdays, but the Sunday number seems inflated unless the Friday number was deflated.

 

the movie market is consumer driven and premium tickets help drive up such large numbers.  it should be difficult or easy to predict what the demand will be when looking at 

 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

In 2017, when average ticket prices were $8.97, Jumanji made $404,515,480.  On calculator, this shows as 45,096,486.  If you divide this by 1.2 because of people seeing it more than once, the number goes to 37.58 million.  Possibly an extra 7.5 million or so still end up at the movies in this scenario if sold out showings of Jumanji happened everyday for months (not doing the math) at second-run dollar discount price theaters.  But that would be RIDICULOUSLY high though.  But 45 million is less than 15% of the U.S. population

[Avatree]

hoooo boy that Scott Mendelson writeup of this weekend is something else.

[pepsa]

1 hour ago, Ranger Tree said:

hoooo boy that Scott Mendelson writeup of this weekend is something else.

He predicts a 50% week to week drop for IW this monday? 

Strange to say the least.

[Lordmandeep]

5 hours ago, Mojoguy said:

Discount/Dollar theaters are basically dying nowadays with studios releasing movies on bluray and dvd so quickly.

 

 

or blue ray pirated copies being online less then 2-3 months after a movie releases is the 2018 reality. 

[a2k]

60% drop, 4.5 Modnay would be a great numer for O8. But anything above 4 is good.

Edited June 12, 2018 by A2k Saurus