Derby power has now been unleashed, you can’t put it back in the box | Week 26

[AndyLL]

https://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

 

[BobDole]

A look at where things stand after Round Robin:

 

Leagues are bunched together in terms of score with 2 ppts separating the average score of the top & bottom leagues:

2 - 84.21%

1 - 83.87%

5 - 83.3% <-- also the average player score among those who've played at least 1 game. We are a very average league.

3 - 82.96%

4 - 82.26%

Incidentally, league 2 is the most competitive with 10 active players (save for a few off weeks here and there), all other leagues have 2-4 inactive players.

 

Sheikh's (L3) the last undefeated player standing while Bates (L4) has the best score at 89.72%, Sheikh's 88.48% currently places him right off the medal podium at 4th.

 

Most under-ranked player is Exxdee with the third best score among league players (88.83%), but ranks a lowly 7th, 5 places below where they would be in their league (2nd) if judging solely by %, granted they missed 3 games so their score could fluctuate lower (or higher) if they had played those weeks. Also under-ranked at 7th is ZeeSoh, who, based on their 86.34%, would place fourth in League 2 (and 16th overall). Can't say the same for Fast and Furiosa who, just a few weeks ago, was near the bottom of the rankings at 1-3 despite the top % in their league (87.85%) including a 91.3-93.2 loss in week 3; they've managed to climb back to 3rd place, under-ranked by only 2 places.

[Rolling Thunder]

The top half of every league is competitive, and really, getting to the playoffs is all that matters. In our league, Sheikh is certainly a serviceable player who's worked hard to put distance ahead of me. The playoffs roll around and it's a brand new ballgame. 

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

7 hours ago, BobDole said:

A look at where things stand after Round Robin:

 

Leagues are bunched together in terms of score with 2 ppts separating the average score of the top & bottom leagues:

2 - 84.21%

1 - 83.87%

5 - 83.3% <-- also the average player score among those who've played at least 1 game. We are a very average league.

3 - 82.96%

4 - 82.26%

Incidentally, league 2 is the most competitive with 10 active players (save for a few off weeks here and there), all other leagues have 2-4 inactive players.

 

Sheikh's (L3) the last undefeated player standing while Bates (L4) has the best score at 89.72%, Sheikh's 88.48% currently places him right off the medal podium at 4th.

 

Most under-ranked player is Exxdee with the third best score among league players (88.83%), but ranks a lowly 7th, 5 places below where they would be in their league (2nd) if judging solely by %, granted they missed 3 games so their score could fluctuate lower (or higher) if they had played those weeks. Also under-ranked at 7th is ZeeSoh, who, based on their 86.34%, would place fourth in League 2 (and 16th overall). Can't say the same for Fast and Furiosa who, just a few weeks ago, was near the bottom of the rankings at 1-3 despite the top % in their league (87.85%) including a 91.3-93.2 loss in week 3; they've managed to climb back to 3rd place, under-ranked by only 2 places.

Great recap, finally out of the cellar

[Wrath]

7 hours ago, BobDole said:

A look at where things stand after Round Robin:

 

Leagues are bunched together in terms of score with 2 ppts separating the average score of the top & bottom leagues:

2 - 84.21%

1 - 83.87%

5 - 83.3% <-- also the average player score among those who've played at least 1 game. We are a very average league.

3 - 82.96%

4 - 82.26%

Incidentally, league 2 is the most competitive with 10 active players (save for a few off weeks here and there), all other leagues have 2-4 inactive players.

 

Sheikh's (L3) the last undefeated player standing while Bates (L4) has the best score at 89.72%, Sheikh's 88.48% currently places him right off the medal podium at 4th.

 

Most under-ranked player is Exxdee with the third best score among league players (88.83%), but ranks a lowly 7th, 5 places below where they would be in their league (2nd) if judging solely by %, granted they missed 3 games so their score could fluctuate lower (or higher) if they had played those weeks. Also under-ranked at 7th is ZeeSoh, who, based on their 86.34%, would place fourth in League 2 (and 16th overall). Can't say the same for Fast and Furiosa who, just a few weeks ago, was near the bottom of the rankings at 1-3 despite the top % in their league (87.85%) including a 91.3-93.2 loss in week 3; they've managed to climb back to 3rd place, under-ranked by only 2 places.

Good notes.

 

One thing I'd note is that Exxdee's underperformance isn't unexpected. S/he missed at least 3 weeks, and those 0's aren't averaged into the overall score. When Exxdee has played, the results have been terrific.

 

Edit - Also, prior to this last week's result, I compared the various ranking players against each other from each league (So, all the #1s from each league against each other, then all the #2s, etc. based on average%, not head-to-head score). League 4 had the top player at each slot from 1-4, but League 2 had the top player at slots 5-9, and then League 3 had franfar leading the pack at #10.

Edited June 27, 2018 by Wrath

[Keanu]

13 hours ago, BobDole said:

A look at where things stand after Round Robin:

 

Leagues are bunched together in terms of score with 2 ppts separating the average score of the top & bottom leagues:

2 - 84.21%

1 - 83.87%

5 - 83.3% <-- also the average player score among those who've played at least 1 game. We are a very average league.

3 - 82.96%

4 - 82.26%

Incidentally, league 2 is the most competitive with 10 active players (save for a few off weeks here and there), all other leagues have 2-4 inactive players.

 

Sheikh's (L3) the last undefeated player standing while Bates (L4) has the best score at 89.72%, Sheikh's 88.48% currently places him right off the medal podium at 4th.

 

Most under-ranked player is Exxdee with the third best score among league players (88.83%), but ranks a lowly 7th, 5 places below where they would be in their league (2nd) if judging solely by %, granted they missed 3 games so their score could fluctuate lower (or higher) if they had played those weeks. Also under-ranked at 7th is ZeeSoh, who, based on their 86.34%, would place fourth in League 2 (and 16th overall). Can't say the same for Fast and Furiosa who, just a few weeks ago, was near the bottom of the rankings at 1-3 despite the top % in their league (87.85%) including a 91.3-93.2 loss in week 3; they've managed to climb back to 3rd place, under-ranked by only 2 places.

@AndyLL This is  so much fun!! Thanx for organizing it.

[AndyLL]

No log in issues that I know of.

Remember to use your email/password that you use to log into the forums.  If you use twitter/facebook to log into the forums you need to contact me.

 

I case anyone has problems PM me your picks:

 

Sicario 2	1	$0.00M
Uncle Drew	1	$0.00M
Jurassic World 2	2	$0.00M
Incredibles 2	3	$0.00M
Ocean's 8	4	$0.00M
Tag	3	$0.00M
Deadpool 2	7	$0.00M
Solo: A Star Wars Story	6	$0.00M
Hereditary	4	$0.00M
Superfly	3	$0.00M

[POTUS 2020]

Player sheet

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/194gphnGWoQ9pu67szBOAEPTj5Iccs_Cm8DxfOnUC9IU/edit?usp=sharing

Rank

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1HsB5juBPoFZRjsPFh2kKZRlDl9DeFKi53hbM5zBlOFU/edit?usp=sharing

[WrathOfHan]

I wasn’t taking any chances on the new releases, so I put 14M down for both. Let’s see what happens

[WrathOfHan]

On 6/29/2018 at 7:08 AM, WrathOfHan said:

I wasn’t taking any chances on the new releases, so I put 14M down for both. Let’s see what happens

Welp, I'm in the bottom 5  

[AndyLL]

Congrats @Bates

 

|

	Rank	Player	Total Score	New Release Score	Holdover Score	Difference from Avg. Score	Total Points	Predicted Movies

	1	Bates	95.614%	90.712%	96.839%	5.610%	38	10
	2	8wombi7	94.258%	95.998%	93.823%	4.255%	37	10
	3	lilmac	93.453%	84.329%	95.734%	3.450%	36	10
	4	Wrath	93.191%	85.939%	95.005%	3.188%	35	10
	5	mathemetrics	93.188%	91.635%	93.576%	3.184%	34	10
	6	Keanu	92.973%	93.031%	92.959%	2.970%	33	10
	7	Rolling Thunder	92.845%	93.100%	92.781%	2.842%	32	10
	8	Litio	92.578%	88.939%	93.487%	2.574%	31	10
	9	POTUS	92.513%	91.296%	92.818%	2.510%	30	10
	10	ZeeSoh	92.189%	91.296%	92.412%	2.185%	29	10
	11	TalismanRing	91.960%	96.673%	90.782%	1.957%	28	10
	12	Sheikh	91.523%	91.072%	91.636%	1.520%	27	10
	13	Fancyarcher	91.513%	88.007%	92.390%	1.510%	26	10
	14	kayumanggi	91.509%	92.448%	91.274%	1.505%	25	10
	15	GambitPool	91.432%	85.184%	92.994%	1.429%	24	10
	16	feasby007	91.398%	82.104%	93.722%	1.395%	23	10
	17	Wildbill	91.328%	90.372%	91.567%	1.325%	22	10
	18	Samarus	90.815%	78.934%	93.786%	0.812%	21	10

[Rolling Thunder]

Oh wow, I assuredly believed I won. 

[GambitPool]

I went from bottom 10 to top 15. Feels good. 

[8wombi7]

2nd again! Superfly just wouldn't fall hard enough to let me succeed!

 

Congrats @Bates for winning!