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Weekend Thread: Weekend Actuals - JW: $60.91M - I2: 46.42M - Sicario: $19.00M - Uncle Drew: $15.24M

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Runtimes without credits and trailer attachments for next week:

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp: 1:51. Attachments are Dumbo and The Nutcracker (new trailer) for 2D shows and Wreck-It Ralph and The Nutcracker for 3D shows.

Sorry to Bother You: 1:45. Attachments are The Sisters Brothers (new trailer) and Creed 2

The First Purge: 1:30. Attachments are Halloween (NEW TRAILER), BlacKkKlansman, and Unfriended

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1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Maybe 20M isn't impossible? I know WOM is mixed between what people on here are saying and the audience score, but that's a pretty sizable number

 

I really hope it does hit 20.

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Sicario's marketing has been heavily targeting Hispanics (there have even been billboards along I-95 for a while now), which are an underserved market in general, so I wouldn't be too surprised if it opened to really solid numbers due to that marketing plan paying off.

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3 minutes ago, Rebeccas said:

I have no idea what to compare these numbers to? Maybe deepwater horizon (860K preview)?

 

Can we compare it to Baby Driver?  That got 2.10 and did 20.6 million.

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3 minutes ago, Rebeccas said:

Doesn't this skew way older though?

 

Probably.  I'm just not sure there is a viable comparison.  This is a sequel to a mild box office hit and it skews more to adults than teens.  So what film can we compare this to?

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Uncle Drew

- 1.1m previews

~ 2,200 theaters

= approx. $500 avg,/theater  

 

additional 3.9m Friday required to make 5.0m full day.

 

$3,900,000 Friday with 2,742 theaters is $1,422 per theater average.  This would be about +2.84x the average of the previews.  

At $9.16 avg. ticket price, *Thursday night saw 54.6 purchases per location.  

For reference, a 3.9m Friday is 155 purchases/location +2.84x on the 54.6.

 

In this scenario, adding +100 purchases/location over Thursday in the scenario presents a reasonable multiplier close to 3 and then seeing what the multiplier is which is what Sicario could be looking at.

 

I'm gonna guess 4.9m Friday for now.  13.77 weekend.  

 

 

Edited by mathemetrics
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6 minutes ago, filmlover said:

That opened on a Wednesday though so that comparison won't really work.

 

Damn!  You're right.

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Just now, Rebeccas said:

Actually 12 Strong seems like a similar movie/comparison, which opened to $15.8m off a 950k preview?

 

But Sicario doubled that.  So, now what?

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1 minute ago, mathemetrics said:

Uncle Drew

- 1.1m previews

~ 2,200 theaters

= approx. $500 avg,/theater  

 

additional 3.9m Friday required to make 5.0m full day.

 

$3,900,000 Friday with 2,742 theaters is $1,422 per theater average.  This would be about +2.84x the average of the previews.  

At $9.16 avg. ticket price with $1,422 per theater average, you get 54.6 purchases per location Thursday night.  

A 3.9m Friday is 155 purchases/location +2.84x

Or just +100 over Thursday which is what Sicario could be looking at.

 

I'm gonna guess 4.9m Friday for now.  13.77 weekend.  

 

 

 

RemoteInformalAlligatorsnappingturtle-si

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