Weekend Actuals (Page 92): Ant-Man and the Wasp 75.8M (#CRUMBLING EVEN MORE) | Jurassic World 28.6M | Incredibles 2 28.4M | The First Purge 17.4M

[Wonder Midget]

Baba Yaga should have been in the post credits scene.

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, Nova said:

Unprecedent for a film

Blade Runner 2049 went from 43-45m prediction with headline like ‘Blade Runner 2049’ Pacing Faster In Advance Ticket Sales Than ‘Gravity’ & ‘Mad Max: Fury Road’

to sustain that 43-45 estimate after 4m previews night number to an 32.7m actual weekend.

Edited July 7, 2018 by Barnack

[Zakiyyah6]

5 minutes ago, Barnack said:

2.5 multi would be disappointing and Dr Strange dbo is a nice bar of unqualified success for this.

 

Recent MCU sequel multi

 

Thor 3: 2.566

Guardian 2: 2.66

Civil War : 2.27

 

Considering those movies level of hype and size of their OW, Ant Man could easily do 2.65 and 210 with an 78-79 OW I would imagine.

 

 

Well yeah I'd be surprised if it got under 2.6 simply because it's a July release. It won't have the same legs as the original because that just doesn't happen outside of Winter Soldier. Of course a 3.0 multi isn't the same as a 2.7 multi and one could argue that the first Cap's multi was hurt by Harry Potter. 

[La Binoche]

Is there a link to the Gravity weekend thread? That must have been fun.

 

I remember reading articles about negative test screening reactions and thinking it would pull a Solaris. 

[sfran43]

7 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Is there a link to the Gravity weekend thread? That must have been fun.

 

I remember reading articles about negative test screening reactions and thinking it would pull a Solaris. 

Oct 4–6	1	$55,785,112	-	3,575	-	$15,604	$55,785,112	1
Oct 11–13	1	$43,188,256	-22.6%	3,660	+85	$11,800	$122,323,175	2
Oct 18–20	1	$30,027,161	-30.5%	3,820	+160	$7,861	$169,563,291	3
Oct 25–27	2	$20,135,387	-32.9%	3,707	-113	$5,432	$199,649,748	4
Nov 1–3	5	$12,825,346	-36.3%	3,024	-683	$4,241	$218,891,359	5
Nov 8–10	6	$8,535,339	-33.4%	2,720	-304	$3,138	$231,249,831	6
Nov 15–17	6	$6,104,096	-28.5%	2,560	-160	$2,384	$240,379,710	7
Nov 22–24	8	$3,210,155	-47.4%	1,845	-715	$1,740	$245,407,759	8
Nov 29–Dec 1	11	$2,556,188	-20.4%	1,016	-829	$2,516	$249,699,049	9
Dec 6–8	12	$1,211,279	-52.6%	900	-116	$1,346	$251,486,533	10
Dec 13–15	14	$745,457	-38.5%	503	-397	$1,482	$252,779,065	11
Dec 20–22	17	$431,497	-42.1%	302	-201	$1,429	$253,567,282	12
Dec 27–29	23	$508,150	+17.8%	175	-127	$2,904	$254,593,554	13

2014

Date (click to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
Jan 3–5	21	$477,241	-6.1%	165	-10	$2,892	$255,621,667	14
Jan 10–12	21	$419,092	-12.2%	155	-10	$2,704	$256,224,796	15
Jan 17–19	16	$1,867,037	+346%	944	+789	$1,978	$258,277,706	16
Jan 17–20	16	$2,307,261	+451%	944	+789	$2,444	$258,717,930	16
Jan 24–26	16	$2,025,493	+8.5%	1,260	+316	$1,608	$261,208,962	17
Jan 31–Feb 2	12	$2,022,028	-0.2%	1,132	-128	$1,786	$263,989,374	18
Feb 7–9	13	$1,671,437	-17.3%	701	-431	$2,384	$266,474,237	19
Feb 14–16	18	$1,036,659	-38.0%	355	-346	$2,920	$267,958,269	20
Feb 14–17	18	$1,251,316	-25.1%	355	-346	$3,525	$268,172,926	20
Feb 21–23	17	$847,195	-18.3%	348	-7	$2,434	$269,275,323	21
Feb 28–Mar 2	19	$889,300	+5.0%	340	-8	$2,616	$270,478,831	22
Mar 7–9	15	$902,190	+1.4%	384	+44	$2,349	$271,814,796	23
Mar 14–16	19	$547,289	-39.3%	320	-64	$1,710	$272,672,181	24
Mar 21–23	22	$225,092	-58.9%	202	-118	$1,114	$273,089,375	25
Mar 28–30	29	$121,981	-45.8%	135	-67	$904	$273,312,639	26
Apr 4–6	22	$242,006	+98.4%	255	+120	$949	$273,605,314	27
Apr 11–13	29	$133,931	-44.7%	202	-53	$663	$273,838,269	28
Apr 18–20	43	$71,447	-46.7%	145	-57	$493	$273,980,132	29
Apr 25–27	47	$39,367	-44.9%	105	-40	$375	$274,052,110	30
May 2–4	60	$19,331	-50.9%	65	-40	$297	$274,084,951	31

Italics indicate four day weekend

[Zakiyyah6]

I thought that Gravity looked lame and would flop and I ended up loving it when I saw it and it was a huge hit. 

[John Marston]

26 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Well yeah I'd be surprised if it got under 2.6 simply because it's a July release. It won't have the same legs as the original because that just doesn't happen outside of Winter Soldier. Of course a 3.0 multi isn't the same as a 2.7 multi and one could argue that the first Cap's multi was hurt by Harry Potter. 

 

 

Harry Potter opened before the first Avenger 

[TwoMisfits]

See, what you are all supposed to say is, "The World Cup - its power"...followed by some semblance of "It's coming home"....that is all you need to explain why Ant Man has had decreasing weekend estimate numbers.  English fans would be totally convinced that this is 100% true b/c everyone was cheering for them this morning:)...

 

(This post is mostly in jest - I don't really cheer for any WC team, except the US, so I didn't have a rooting interest this tourney:)...

[KP1025]

It looks like Black Panther did get a noticeable bump this weekend from Ant-Man 2 although not nearly as much as I was expecting. It's so close to $700 million now that it could probably still reach it if just left in theaters for the rest of summer.

[Moviefanatic]

If I2 has another strong hold against HT3 then 600 million is locked IMO 

[Moviefanatic]

23 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

It looks like Black Panther did get a noticeable bump this weekend from Ant-Man 2 although not nearly as much as I was expecting. It's so close to $700 million now that it could probably still reach it if just left in theaters for the rest of summer.

Disney could literally just expand it for like one Friday and it would get there. So irritating. 

[MrGlass2]

1 hour ago, Nova said:

 

Under $80M now? 

 

Went from $85M-$95M. Then to $81M. And now it’s under $80M. By the end of the weekend, AMTW is going to be the negatives isn’t. Unprecedent for a film let alone an MCU film. 

Honey, I Shrunk the MCU Average!

[narniadis]

So much Eye Roll in this thread.....

 

The only point proven is that it is rare for a sequel to DOUBLE the OW of it's predecessor (particularly excluding decade long gaps ala Dory and I2)

 

5-day versus 3-day OW have to also be considered since several of the above mentioned films were 4/5 day openings versus 3 for their sequels.

 

Off the top of my head the biggest recent example is probably Pitch Perfect 2? Which opened in the Spirit of Austin Powers (OW above the final domestic gross of it's predecessor)

(now that I think about it John Wick is probably pretty close as well.)

 

Generally speaking @baumer is right in that it is normally small films that made a killing on HV that exploded with their sequels and nearly to a fault (not perfect) the final gross for the 1st film was under 100m. You have exceptions such as Twilight (New Moon rode the wave of fan hysteria but the series never grew beyond that OW) but they are the exception.

 

Pirates / Matrix / Fockers - all films that were WOM monsters  with extended openings that make the comparison harder but the same phenomena - huge HV hits that fanned the flames for the next installment. Ant-Man got a 3x in the middle of fine summer for film but never set the world on fire on HV so I don't get how it is comparable. And again, the argument being raised is that this film should fit into a mold that a finite amount of films have ever fallen into? It makes no sense.

[narniadis]

7 minutes ago, Moviefanatic said:

If I2 has another strong hold against HT3 then 600 million is locked IMO 

For numbering purposes, part of me wants it to end in the 580-590 range...

700m-1

600m-1

500m-1

400m-1

300m-1

200m-1

 

one film in each level at the end of summer.... it's like a OCD dream...

[YM!]

Curious to see how the November/December season plays out box office wise. I can see a lot of movies over $200M+ DOM (Bohemian, Grinch, Beast 2, Ralph 2, Spiderverse, Aquaman, Bumblebee, and Poppins)

[Legion Again]

This “double” talk is silly. NOBODY is or would be disappointed if this “missed” 115, FFS. I’m only going to be disappointed if the actuals come in under 85 —which is literally closer to exactly flat than doubling, lol.

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

This “double” talk is silly. NOBODY is or would be disappointed if this “missed” 115, FFS. I’m only going to be disappointed if the actuals come in under 85 —which is literally closer to exactly flat than doubling, lol.

How is $30M over the original OW nearly flat? 

[KC7]

1 hour ago, La Binoche said:

Is there a link to the Gravity weekend thread? That must have been fun.

 

 

 

Edited July 7, 2018 by KC7

[YM!]

5 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

This “double” talk is silly. NOBODY is or would be disappointed if this “missed” 115, FFS. I’m only going to be disappointed if the actuals come in under 85 —which is literally closer to exactly flat than doubling, lol.

?

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

This “double” talk is silly. NOBODY is or would be disappointed if this “missed” 115, FFS. I’m only going to be disappointed if the actuals come in under 85 —which is literally closer to exactly flat than doubling, lol.

 

4 minutes ago, Nova said:

How is $30M over the original OW nearly flat? 

Reading, use it.