Weekend Thread | Hotel 3 $44.1 Skyscraper 25.4, Ant Man’s size does matter with $28.8M

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

😎 Hotel Transylvania 3 - 650 m

It ain’t too late for that one...

[TalismanRing]

25 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

It has no major US distribution.  No matter what the reviews were like, it wasn't going to do overly well.  That's besides my point.  I was mentioning that in a different box office era this would have opened in 3000 theatres. 

If it had great or even solid reviews it would have got a distributor even in this era.     Last year Reiner's LBJ pick starring Harrelson got distribution and opened in 650+ theaters.

 

Even a very positive reviewed movie like Spotlight didn't initially open wide and never got wider than 897 theaters.   The Post didn't start off wide and that  had Spielberg/Hanks/Streep.

 

The era for a movie like this with poor to mediocre reviews opening wide is closer to 15+ years ago.  Largely that's because marketing wide movies has become very expensive and the home video market isn't nearly as huge as it once was - especially in supporting low and mid tier adult driven dramas (thrillers, romances etc)

 

Edited July 15, 2018 by TalismanRing

[Jandrew]

11 minutes ago, John Marston said:

looks like IW will not pass 680m especially with the Blu ray release coming soon. Oh well

They need to just go ahead and put a plastic bag over Panther's head and call it a day. This slow drag on is ridiculous. Just end the shit at 699.9 already so I can frame it and trigger my ocd for good.

 

 

Edited July 15, 2018 by Jandrew

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Jandrew said:

They need to just go ahead and put a plastic bag over Panther's head and call it a day. This slow drag on is ridiculous. Just end the shit at 699.9 already so I can frame it and trigger my ocd for good.

 

 

 

It makes no sense.  They Puerto Rico A Wrinkle to 100 mill and they can't just say that BP is playing with AMATW at a few drive ins?  It has to go over 700.

[fastclock]

1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:

The AATW number in Indonesia is crazy.

Indonesia is pretty crazy for Marvel movies. Probably as crazy as S. Korea.. except it doesn't quite have the legs.

[estebanJ]

17 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Look, let's call a spade a spade.  If it makes it to 195 and the original did 180, that's not exactly a massive increase.  That's about 8%.

 

Let's face it: AM2 is a disappointment. I liked it a lot, but it's box office is poor.

[Moviefanatic]

If Hawkeye was also in Ant Man the film would already be over 200 million domestic. Shame! 

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Moviefanatic said:

If Hawkeye was also in Ant Man the film would already be over 200 million domestic. Shame! 

 

I agree with this.  I think they were foolish not to have another Avenger in the movie.

[fastclock]

1 hour ago, meriodejaneiro said:

That's begging for an urgent fudge.

Maybe Disney wants to get to 699,999,999

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

It makes no sense.  They Puerto Rico A Wrinkle to 100 mill and they can't just say that BP is playing with AMATW at a few drive ins?  It has to go over 700.

I think it's because $100M solidifies stronger TV deals, while they have nothing to gain from $700M (only two movies in history have crossed the mark). But yeah, gonna be funny if they let it stop so close to that finish line.

[Jake Gittes]

One thing for sure, when inflation gets us to the point where BOM has to create a "slowest to 700m" chart Black Panther will hold the #1 position on it until the end of time. 

[Jandrew]

2 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

It makes no sense.  They Puerto Rico A Wrinkle to 100 mill and they can't just say that BP is playing with AMATW at a few drive ins?  It has to go over 700.

Yeah, I fail to see the thought process going on at Disney. It's just 100k. Just do a quick Tangled then yank it already. You can even get one more headline out of it, "Black Panther still making history: only 3rd movie to pass 700m."

 

Like damn I'm serious, when I pump gas it has to end on .00, the TV volume has to be an even number or a 5, I have to wash my hands twice. I'm being serious, this 699.99999 is legit getting on my nerves.

[WrathOfHan]

Skyscraper:

Remainder of this week: 12.8M (38.3M Total)

Jul 20: 12.6M (7.1M weekdays, 58M Total)

Jul 27: 6.6M (3.6M weekdays, 68.2M Total)

Aug 3: 2.7M (1.7M weekdays, 72.6M Total)

Aug 10: 1.5M (700k weekdays, 74.8M Total)

Aug 17: 800k (400k weekdays, 76M Total)

Final Total: 79M (3.1x)

 

I don't see this missing a 3x unless The Equalizer and/or MI hit it hard. The TC drop is going to be horrible on August 3, but I think it can hang in there until then.

 

I don't feel like doing HT3 or AM right now, so maybe later lol

[Moviefanatic]

Disney laughing at our OCD like

 

Edited July 15, 2018 by Moviefanatic

[Premium George]

39 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

It's not going to increase all that much from the first one, domestically.  Internationally it's doing very well....no doubt.  But if this misses 200 mill, that would be a disappointment imo.  Right now, I have it on track to increase less that ten percent from the first one.  Not so great.

At least it's not decreasing massively from first one like JW.

[TwoMisfits]

40 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Fun fact...

 

Only 3 non-Disney movies might have a bigger DOM gross than Ant-man 2 by August in 2018:

 

Jurassic World, Deadpool and Mission Impossible.

 

And its questionable whether Deadpool counts against Disney or if Mission Impossible 6 will join that exclusive club.

 

So only JW? Lmao.

Well, to be fair, how many non-Disney movies had production budgets of $162M or higher...isn't it sitting right where it should with movies of the same budget?

 

I mean, some $7M production budget I Can Only Imagine can only go SO high above expectations:)...

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

Disney better fudge its 200M if needs be considering they made fools of themselves trying to get super bomb AWIT to 100M. At least people care for AM&TW. Oh, and just fuckin fudge BP's 700M and call it a day. I bet that BP lost some due to AWIT fudge. 

Are you even half serious ?

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Premium George said:

At least it's not decreasing massively from first one like JW.

 

Come on buddy.  Think about what you just said here.  

[Premium George]

1 minute ago, baumer said:

 

Come on buddy.  Think about what you just said here.  

No, I am serious. You are being hypocrite right now.

[Blaze Heatnix]

So, how does it work for Skyscraper?

 

It seems the budget is 125/129 million, but in reality it's a co-production between Universal and Legendary. So, I assume each one spent 60-65 million.

 

If Skyscraper makes 100 million in China, what happens? Legendary keeps 75% and Universal keeps 25%? What about the rest of the world? Does Universal keep 40% of overseas numbers ( minus China )?

 

I'm very curious to see how can Skyscraper end up being profitable.