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Shazam! OS Thread - 221.5M OS - 357.8M WW

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On 4/3/2019 at 10:47 AM, raulbalarezo said:

A little bit lower now

$325m OS

$175m Dom

$500m WW

still pretty good 

Lowering my prediction again

$225m OS (I was expecting China and SK to be bigger)

$150m DOM

$375m WW

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44 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:

Lowering my prediction again

$225m OS (I was expecting China and SK to be bigger)

$150m DOM

$375m WW

The rate at which you are lowering your predictions, in a few hours it might go as low as 100M WW

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1 hour ago, raulbalarezo said:

Lowering my prediction again

$225m OS (I was expecting China and SK to be bigger)

$150m DOM

$375m WW

 

OS makes sense since as of now it's not really doing that well anywhere(but hopefully that can change), but why lower its DOM take when it's doing better than expected?🤔

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Internationally, Shazam! has totaled $15.7 million across 53 markets in two days of release. Those figures exclude $16.4 million flash estimates from China’s opening day on Friday, trailing only Aquaman and Batman v Superman among other WB films.

Other Shazam! international opening highlights from the studio include:

  • Taking advantage of Wednesday’s Isra Minaj public holiday in the market, Indonesia launched to an estimated IDR 15.9b ($1.1m) from 971 screens, dominating at #1 with a 73% share of the Top 5 films and claiming the 3rd Highest Grossing WB Film Opening Day Ever!  These results are also +10% ahead of Ant-Man and more than double Guardians of the Galaxy.  The 2 day cume is now IDR 31.5b ($2.2m).
  • Russia debuted to an excellent RMB 62m ($946k) on 3,072 screens with a 57% share of the Top 5 films.  These results are tracking on par with Ant-Man, 22% ahead of Wonder Woman and more than double Captain America: The First Avenger.
  • Also taking the top spot with a 40% share of the Top 5 films, Korea debuted on a non- traditional Wednesday to an estimated Won 759m ($668k) from 1,134 screens.  These results exceeded opening day numbers for First Avenger by +53% and were on par with Thor.  The running cume is now KRW 1.2b ($1.1m).
  • Australia debuted on Thursday to an estimated A$895k ($636k), including previews, on 507 screens with a 48% share of the Top 5 five films.  These results are tracking 4% ahead of First Avenger.
  • UAE opened on Thursday to an estimated AED 2.3m ($630k) on 110 screens, dominating the market with over 50% share of the Top 5 films.  Opening day is 46% ahead of Wonder Woman, 69% ahead of Ant-Man and more than double Guardians of the Galaxy.
  • Brazil opened to an estimated R$ 2.2m ($564k) on 1,509 screens with over 60% share of the Top 5 films.  These opening day results are coming on par with ANT-MAN and 10% over Guardians of the Galaxy.  Including previews, the running cume is now R$ 3.3m ($848k).
  • France took in an estimated €366k ($411k) on 566 screens on its opening day, ranking #1 into Thursday. The running cume, including previews, is €691k ($777k). 
  • Taiwan dominated the market with 65% share of the Top 5 films, taking in an estimated NT$11.4m ($371k) on Wednesday from 220 screens.  These results are +60% ahead of Ant-Man and +55% ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy.  Including previews, the 2 day running cume is now NT$40.5m ($1.3m).

https://www.boxofficepro.com/thursday-night-shazam-strikes-5-9m-thursday-night-launch-pet-sematary-digs-up-2-3m-start/

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2 hours ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Didn't expect such low OS results so far tbh

It's all about context, reading the Deadline breakdown for the territories, it's good. The film has a production budget "around" 100 M, so between 90 and 100. It's ahead of Captain America: TFA which made 370 M WW, ahead of Ant-Man or on par in the current markets, etc. 

 

 

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Posted (edited)
23 minutes ago, TimmyRiggins said:

It's all about context, reading the Deadline breakdown for the territories, it's good. The film has a production budget "around" 100 M, so between 90 and 100. It's ahead of Captain America: TFA which made 370 M WW, ahead of Ant-Man or on par in the current markets, etc. 

 

 

The OD is fine but let's not act like the breakdown isn't totaly scewed by comparing it with movies that didn't do great in most markets.

France, Brazil, SK are bad.

Australia is meh.

Russia, Taiwan, UAE, Indonesia are good.

 

But for the budget this movies will be a hit.

 

Edited by pepsa
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Yeah the smart budgeting decision by Hamada will ensure Shazam will get a decent profit but at the same time I don't think many here were predicting under $300M OS for Shazam. 

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Posted (edited)
24 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Yeah the smart budgeting decision by Hamada will ensure Shazam will get a decent profit but at the same time I don't think many here were predicting under $300M OS for Shazam.

The predictions from before any numbers came in:

Spoiler


On 7/21/2018 at 4:07 PM, pepsa said:

early guess 380m OS

 

On 3/23/2019 at 2:30 PM, fabiopazzo2 said:

Its a superhero movie.

 

Im expecting 730-840M

 

 

On 3/23/2019 at 2:33 PM, MrGlass2 said:

Probably around $300M, which would be fantastic given the budget.

 

On 3/24/2019 at 1:37 AM, Charlie Jatinder said:

$450mn plus.

 

On 3/24/2019 at 7:10 AM, Lucasmessi12 said:

$400M.

 

On 3/24/2019 at 7:14 AM, LeoC said:

380m

 

On 3/24/2019 at 7:35 AM, Ent said:

I would have said $450M - $500m without Dumbo and Endgame.

 

I will go for $400 - $420M for now.

 

On 3/24/2019 at 4:57 PM, raulbalarezo said:

$350m OS

$250m Dom

$600m WW


 

 

Edited by Thanos Legion
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11 hours ago, mulderfox said:

its only for thursday

Through Thursday !

 

Many markets opened on Wednesday and report what they made in two days.

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Quote

Saturday Update: Warner Bros.’ Shazam! is living up to expectations this weekend as the studio reports the film earned $20.5 million on opening day Friday — including Thursday night’s $5.9 million, but excluding March 23’s $3.325 million Fandango preview earnings.

Comp-wise, the first day is similar to Ant-Man‘s $22.65 million back in July 2015, while coming in well ahead of Power Rangers‘ $14.9 million two years ago.

Internationally, Shazam! added $29.2 million from 79 markets on Friday, bringing the total overseas cume to $44.0 million. Those figures include a $15.3 million opening day in China on Friday, while excluding that country’s flash estimate of $9.8 million on Saturday.

Other overseas highlights from the studio include:

  • Confirmed Friday results out of China came in at RMB 102.5m ($15.3m) on approximately 20,520 screens, ranking as the #1 U.S. Film in the market (rank #2 overall behind the opening of a local title).  Saturday Flash Figures are coming in at an estimated RMB 66m ($9.8m) taking the running cume to RMB 168.5m ($25.1m).  Note that the flash Saturday numbers are not included in the running international cume reported above.
  • Mexico opened to an excellent Ps 30.1m ($1.6m) on 2,829 screens with a nearly 50% share of the Top 5 films.  These opening day results are ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy by +22%, Ant-Man by +21% and Captain America: First Avengerby +13%.
  • UK alsoopened to strong results, generating an estimated £1.2m ($1.5m) on 620 screens, taking the top spot with a 35% share of the Top 5 films.  These results are coming in +4% over Captain America: First Avenger and roughly on par with Ant-Man.  Including previews, the running cume is now £1.3m ($1.7m). 
  • India released to an estimated INR 35.3m ($511k) on 1,138 screens, ranking as the #1 U.S. Film in the market.  Opening day results are more than double Ant-Man and Guardians of the Galaxy and +19% ahead of Wonder Woman.
  • And Spain debuted to an estimated €340k ($382k) on 441 screens, narrowly ranking #2 and tracking +27% ahead of Ant-Man.
  • Russia (Day 2): RMB 60m ($915k) on 3,072 screens and maintaining a clear #1 with over 50% share of the Top 5 films.  The cume to date is RMB 122m ($1.9m). 
  • Brazil (Day 2): R$ 3.0m ($774k) on 1,509 screens, continuing at #1 with a 55% share of the Top 5 films.  The running cume is now R$ 3.3m ($848k).
  • Australia (Day 2): A$957k ($681k) on 507 screens, holding at #1 with a 45% share of the Top 5 five films.  The cume is currently A$1.9m ($1.3m).
  • UAE (Day 2): AED 2.1m ($572k) on 110 screens, #1 with a cume of AED 4.4m ($1.2m).
  • Korea (Day 3): Won 642.4m ($565k) on 1,143 screens, rank #1 with the 3-day cume coming to Won 1.9b ($1.6m).  
  • Taiwan (Day 3): Rank #1 with NT$15.0m ($486k) from 248 screens and bringing the cume to date to NT$55.5m ($1.8m).
  • Indonesia (Day 3): IDR 6.1b ($430k) on 1,029 screens, holding a 67% share of the Top 5 films.  The running cume is now IDR 37.7b ($2.6m).
  • Thailand (Day 2): Baht 11.8m ($373k) on 632 screens capturing a massive 82% share of the Top 5 films.  The running cume is Baht 31.9m ($1.0m).
  • France (Day 3): €317k ($356k) on 566 screens, continuing to rank #1 on Friday.  The 3-day cume stands at £1.0m ($1.1m).

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-estimates-shazam-pet-sematary-best-enemies-dumbo/

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Posted (edited)

Jesus, Deadline is spinning this one hard.

 

Missed the source, was BOP but presumably just conveying WB’s PR. That’s more understandable then.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Jesus, Deadline is spinning this one hard.

Why? Because they're using context to tell you how exactly the film is doing? It's got a 80-100 M production budget, it's making bank either way, it's tracking ahead of Ant-Man (519 M WW) and CA: TFA (370 M WW) in most territories, it's a good result. There's no reason the film shouldn't get good legs, I get that it's not hitting as hard as we would want overseas, but we need to think of Shazam ! as the Ant-Man of DC in terms of brand recognition, although Shazam is definitely more well know than Ant-Man. 

 

It's going to be a very solid foundation for the sequel, and I'm sure home video will also add a lot of converts. Enough with the cynicism

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Posted (edited)
41 minutes ago, TimmyRiggins said:

Why? Because they're using context to tell you how exactly the film is doing? It's got a 80-100 M production budget, it's making bank either way, it's tracking ahead of Ant-Man (519 M WW) and CA: TFA (370 M WW) in most territories, it's a good result. There's no reason the film shouldn't get good legs, I get that it's not hitting as hard as we would want overseas, but we need to think of Shazam ! as the Ant-Man of DC in terms of brand recognition, although Shazam is definitely more well know than Ant-Man. 

 

It's going to be a very solid foundation for the sequel, and I'm sure home video will also add a lot of converts. Enough with the cynicism

It's not tracking ahead of Antman in most markets, that would mean it would do over $300m os. Every country that they compare to the first Captain america movie it's behind Antman. 

 

And ofc it's going to be profitable, it only need $350m WW or so including marketing. 

Edited by pepsa
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