Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - OS Thread - 270.2M OS - 390.7 WW

[PanaMovie]

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Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again grossed $42.4m over the weekend from 41 markets as the musical sequel rounded out the session on $76.8m worldwide and Universal crossed the $1bn North American mark for the eighth consecutive year.

 

The film opened higher than 2008 original Mamma Mia in 34 markets, let by the UK on $13.1m, featuring the second highest musical opening day (approximately $4.8m) and opening weekend of all time.

 

The musical arrives in France, Switzerland, Croatia and Poland this week. It lands in China on August 3 during the Hollywood blackout. Executives are tempering expectations given that the original did not open there theatrically and so awareness may be limited, despite the efforts of counterfeiters at the time.

 

Source and more numbers: Screen Daily 

 

Edited October 6, 2018 by PanaMovie

[StephenN18]

I don't understand how it can be at $20.7 million on Friday internationally but only up to $42.4 million by Sunday? It did $21.7 million on Saturday and Sunday? That doesn't seem right. 

[George Parr]

29 minutes ago, StephenN18 said:

I don't understand how it can be at $20.7 million on Friday internationally but only up to $42.4 million by Sunday? It did $21.7 million on Saturday and Sunday? That doesn't seem right. 

International starts don't happen on a Friday everywhere, in many European countries it is Thursday or even Wednesday. So you are comparing 2-3 days to 2 days, which makes it much more even. Especially when opening day + eventual previews can be pretty big. Then there is also the possibility of the weather influencing things in such a way that Saturday and Sunday are being smaller than expected, putting them on more equal footing with the earlier workdays which may have had more fitting weather. Or much of the respective nation is on summer holiday, in which case the weekends are of lower importance as well.

[Godzilla]

$500 million+ worldwide is a great target. 

[PanaMovie]

1 hour ago, Godzilla said:

$500 million+ worldwide is a great target. 

I think 400M+ is more probable 

[DeWeese]

400+ is a strong number given the budget 

[PanaMovie]

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again stands on the cusp of $100m internationally after a $26.6m weekend haul from 46 territories boosted the running total to $96.8m, and $167.3m worldwide.

 

The musical sequel, which arrives this week in China and Brazil, dropped 38% internationally and arrived in France on $1.7m at number four, and opened in Poland on $1.3m at number one.

 

In its second weekend, the Abba-inspired film easily retained stop spot in the UK on $8.6m for $34.6m to track 19% ahead of the 2008 original by the same stage. A $2.9m number one hold in Australia elevated the running total there to $9.5m, while Germany produced $2.1m in the number two slot despite the ongoing heat wave for $8.2m. Norway generated $1.2m for number one and a $4.9m running total, and Abba heartland Sweden delivered $863,000 for number one and $5.1m. The Netherlands has produced $3.3m.

 

Source: Screen Daily

[PanaMovie]

With the Dom drop...

 

265M OS

115M DOM

 

380M WW

 

Could pass 400M..

[StephenN18]

Why $200 million less than the first? I thought this would do as well if not better than the first.

[TalismanRing]

1 hour ago, StephenN18 said:

Why $200 million less than the first? I thought this would do as well if not better than the first.

The first was based on a widely successful theater musical that played WW for a decade, had most all of the top ABBA songs, starred Meryl Streep as the lead, and had crazy legs in most markets.  

 

It's difficult to re-create a phenomenon - most sequels to one decrease.

[fastclock]

1 hour ago, StephenN18 said:

Why $200 million less than the first? I thought this would do as well if not better than the first.

The sequel seems to decrease in Dom. There are still so many countries to open, including the ones that did not play the first one (China, Brazil) that it is still difficult to predict the final number. Also it is still early and we don't know the legs on this one yet.

 

How much total do you think this one will do in the UK?

[StephenN18]

I don't know, maybe about $70 million.

[fastclock]

9 minutes ago, StephenN18 said:

I don't know, maybe about $70 million.

The first one did $94M in UK. So, that is potentially a big drop.

The first one did 25M in Sweden, this one will likely not reach that.

So, if things work out really well maybe $500-600M.

If things work out well, maybe $400-500M.

At this point, the conservative prediction is a little below $400M.

[Valonqar]

This is doing great for a sequel nobody asked for, which is saying something cause sequels nobody asked for tend to do poorly (see PRU). As already stated, MM is a ultra popular musical so basically a one-off thing. 

[The Dark Alfred]

It’s a smashing hit. Considering it’s based on less known ABBA songs, the numbers are amazing. Obviously the first one won’t be matched but film itself better so it will have decent legs. 400m is the floor. 450-470m is probable, maybe 500m depending on China.

[Jonwo]

6 hours ago, fastclock said:

The first one did $94M in UK. So, that is potentially a big drop.

The first one did 25M in Sweden, this one will likely not reach that.

So, if things work out really well maybe $500-600M.

If things work out well, maybe $400-500M.

At this point, the conservative prediction is a little below $400M.

The £ to $ exchange has fallen so if Mamma Mia were to match the first's total in GBP, it'll still be lower in dollars, $89.3m to be precise. I think $70-75m is realistic and still a fantastic total.

[Heretic]

The first Mamma Mia actually made around $130m in the UK. BOM’s exchange rate calculations are trash. If a film is re-releaed they automatically adjust the $ total to the current ER at the time, which makes no sense at all. 

[Jiffy]

33 minutes ago, Heretic said:

The first Mamma Mia actually made around $130m in the UK. BOM’s exchange rate calculations are trash. If a film is re-releaed they automatically adjust the $ total to the current ER at the time, which makes no sense at all. 

Yes that is patently absurd lol.

[fastclock]

2 hours ago, Heretic said:

The first Mamma Mia actually made around $130m in the UK. BOM’s exchange rate calculations are trash. If a film is re-releaed they automatically adjust the $ total to the current ER at the time, which makes no sense at all. 

Ugh, so the second one will drop to almost half of the original?

I agree that $70M is very respectable.

But it does make the significant drop from the original almost certain.

[PanaMovie]

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again added $19.3m from 53 territories for $139.2m and $230.5m worldwide. The musical sequel debuted in seven markets including Brazil on $1.2m at number three, Taiwan on $400,000 at number two, and China on $300,000 at number 11.

 

The running total is tracking approximately 28% ahead of 2008 release Mamma Mia! by the same stage. In the third weekend, the UK generated the top holdover, staying at number one on $5.6m for $51.7m. Australia delivered $1.8m at number two on $12.3m, and Germany $1.7m at number two for $11.3m. The film stands at $7.2m in Abba’s native turf Sweden and is some 58% ahead of the original.

 

After two weekends, Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again has amassed $3.3m in France. After three sessions it has grossed $4.5m in the Netherlands, and $6.7m in Spain.

 

Source: Screen Daily 

Edited August 5, 2018 by PanaMovie