The Lion King OS Thread

[charlie Jatinder]

A very rough trajectory;

		USA	China	Rest	OS	WW	GTD	Change
12/07	Week 0		77.25	54.00	131.25	131.25	131.25
19/07	Week 1	275.51	32.25	319.75	352.00	627.51	758.76
26/07	Week 2	115.00	8.50	198.25	206.75	321.75	1,080.51	-48.73%
02/08	Week 3	63.25	2.00	109.03	111.03	174.28	1,254.79	-45.83%
09/08	Week 4	36.69		81.78	81.78	118.46	1,373.25	-32.03%
16/08	Week 5	22.01		53.15	53.15	75.17	1,448.42	-36.55%
23/08	Week 6	14.31		42.52	42.52	56.83	1,505.25	-24.39%
30/08	Week 7	13.59		27.64	27.64	41.23	1,546.48	-27.45%
06/09	Week 8	6.80		17.97	17.97	24.76	1,571.24	-39.94%
13/09	Week 9	4.21		11.68	11.68	15.89	1,587.13	-35.82%
20/09	Week 10	2.61		7.59	7.59	10.20	1,597.34	-35.80%
	Rest	7.84		30.36	30.36	38.20	1,635.54
	Total	561.81	120.00	953.72	1,073.72	1,635.54

[Finnick]

19 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

A very rough trajectory;

		USA	China	Rest	OS	WW	GTD	Change
12/07	Week 0		77.25	54.00	131.25	131.25	131.25
19/07	Week 1	275.51	32.25	319.75	352.00	627.51	758.76
26/07	Week 2	115.00	8.50	198.25	206.75	321.75	1,080.51	-48.73%
02/08	Week 3	63.25	2.00	109.03	111.03	174.28	1,254.79	-45.83%
09/08	Week 4	36.69		81.78	81.78	118.46	1,373.25	-32.03%
16/08	Week 5	22.01		53.15	53.15	75.17	1,448.42	-36.55%
23/08	Week 6	14.31		42.52	42.52	56.83	1,505.25	-24.39%
30/08	Week 7	13.59		27.64	27.64	41.23	1,546.48	-27.45%
06/09	Week 8	6.80		17.97	17.97	24.76	1,571.24	-39.94%
13/09	Week 9	4.21		11.68	11.68	15.89	1,587.13	-35.82%
20/09	Week 10	2.61		7.59	7.59	10.20	1,597.34	-35.80%
	Rest	7.84		30.36	30.36	38.20	1,635.54
	Total	561.81	120.00	953.72	1,073.72	1,635.54

You forgot Japan Charlie!!???

[charlie Jatinder]

10 minutes ago, Finnick said:

You forgot Japan Charlie!!???

I didn't. Why do you think 09/08 week is 75% of previous week.

Edited July 30, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[rihrey]

 

[Dale Cooper]

It's doing pretty damn good here in Sweden this week as the weather has cooled down a bit. Last week it was very, very warm and boxoffice went down because of that. For example here in Gothenburg (second largest city) it roughly did between 1500-2000 tickets last wednesday whereas today it will probably pass 4000 tickets. Haven't really had any updates from Sweden of what I've seen but I'm expecting a total over 600k tickets by Sunday.

[Sunny Max]

7 hours ago, Dale Cooper said:

but I'm expecting a total over 600k tickets by Sunday.

That's huge .... Life time any estimate ????

 

AEG total admissions 

[Dale Cooper]

1 hour ago, Sunny Max said:

That's huge .... Life time any estimate ????

 

AEG total admissions 

I have no idea really, it's hard to say what kind of legs it will have when the weather plays such an important factor. I have a hard time seeing it miss 800k though, but it could go quite a bit higher.

 

Endgame I would estimate is right around 750k maybe a tad higher

[titanic2187]

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$430,889,078	36.0%
+ Foreign:	$764,900,000	64.0%
= Worldwide:	$1,195,789,078

 

 

Added 150m overseas this week

Edited August 4, 2019 by titanic2187

[Andreas]

7 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$430,889,078	36.0%
+ Foreign:	$764,900,000	64.0%
= Worldwide:	$1,195,789,078

 

 

Added 150m overseas this week

DOM WE est. at $38.24M, probably an underestimation. Really hope it can get past $1.2B with actuals.

[XXR vs XXR]

11 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$430,889,078	36.0%
+ Foreign:	$764,900,000	64.0%
= Worldwide:	$1,195,789,078

 

 

Added 150m overseas this week

 

Just the current markets should get it to $1.5 billion, then we have Japan opening next weekend and Italy 12 days after that. 

Things are looking good for it to finish #7 worldwide right in between Jurassic World and The Avengers.

[charlie Jatinder]

Now projecting at $1650mn worldwide.

[Waffles]

 

 

[john2000]

27 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Just the current markets should get it to $1.5 billion, then we have Japan opening next weekend and Italy 12 days after that. 

Things are looking good for it to finish #7 worldwide right in between Jurassic World and The Avengers.

yep high end is 1,7 imo

[Valonqar]

54 minutes ago, Andreas said:

DOM WE est. at $38.24M, probably an underestimation. Really hope it can get past $1.2B with actuals.

Yes, both dom and OS will go up.

[Legion Again]

So it looked at the two big TLK clubs and said, “eh, lemme just split the difference.”

[peludo]

The $28.1m Spanish figure implies a 33% weekly drop. If it drops in the same way from now it would finish with about $45m. Let's say $40m for the moment and we'll see what happens during upcoming weeks.

 

The $40m would mean to be the 3rd biggest dollar gross for a Hollywood film, just behind Avatar ($111m) and Titanic ($48m), and basically tied to ROTK ($39.9m).

[Robertron]

TLK still doing huge business here.

 

3rd weekend of AU6.3m, total at AU49.75m. 

 

Equivalent to 63m/497.5m in the DOM market.

[charlie Jatinder]

10 hours ago, peludo said:

The $28.1m Spanish figure implies a 33% weekly drop. If it drops in the same way from now it would finish with about $45m. Let's say $40m for the moment and we'll see what happens during upcoming weeks.

 

The $40m would mean to be the 3rd biggest dollar gross for a Hollywood film, just behind Avatar ($111m) and Titanic ($48m), and basically tied to ROTK ($39.9m).

Can we expect sub 50mn for Avatar 2?

[Taruseth]

TLK is holding quite nicely in Germany, dropped just 10.3% after a 31.6% drop last weekend so its down 38.7% compared to OWend.

Weekend was roughly $6M.

[peludo]

4 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Can we expect sub 50mn for Avatar 2?

That is really hard to say. Spain is not very different to the rest of the world. If A2 makes huge business everywhere, it will do the same here.

 

With current ERs, Avatar's gross is $85m, so $50m would mean a 41% drop (I am not taking into account inflation). It is definitely possible, but just speculation as everything around this film.