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sfran43

Wednesday numbers: MI6 $6.33M

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I2 and HT3 also had huge increases today from Monday. It feels like the Tuesday drops this summer have been even bigger than past summers, but Wed drops haven’t grown to compensate, so the Mon:Wed ratios are >1 (sometimes significantly) rather than ~= or <1.

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1 MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FALLOUT
Paramount

4,386
$6,838,935

-59.8% / $1,559
$68,075,469 / 4
$9,451,166

+38.2% / $2,155
$77,526,635 / 5
$6,328,934

-33% / $1,443
$83,855,569 / 6

N/A
2 MAMMA MIA! HERE WE GO AGAIN
Universal

3,514
$2,602,225

-44.4% / $741
$73,126,845 / 11
$3,866,650

+48.6% / $1,100
$76,993,495 / 12
$2,863,700

-25.9% / $815
$79,857,195 / 13

N/A
3 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: SUMMER VACATION
Sony / Columbia

4,005
$1,870,542

-48.7% / $467
$121,047,683 / 18
$3,077,345

+64.5% / $768
$124,125,028 / 19
$2,253,664

-26.8% / $563
$126,378,692 / 20

N/A
4 THE EQUALIZER 2
Sony / Columbia

3,388
$1,575,933

-63.2% / $465
$65,827,295 / 11
$2,301,064

+46% / $679
$68,128,359 / 12
$1,545,485

-32.8% / $456
$69,673,844 / 13

N/A
5 ANT-MAN AND THE WASP
Buena Vista

3,013
$1,278,835

-53.2% / $424
$184,769,062 / 25
$1,908,663

+49.3% / $633
$186,677,725 / 26
$1,376,054

-27.9% / $457
$188,053,779 / 27

N/A
6 INCREDIBLES 2
Buena Vista

2,616
$1,147,888

-47.9% / $439
$574,028,649 / 46
$1,667,541

+45.3% / $637
$575,696,190 / 47
$1,325,380

-20.5% / $507
$577,021,570 / 48

N/A
7 TEEN TITANS GO! TO THE MOVIES
Warner Bros.

3,188
$1,189,426

-55.5% / $373
$11,600,615 / 4
$2,039,886

+71.5% / $640
$13,640,501 / 5
$1,250,000
(estimate)
-38.7% / $392
$14,890,501 / 6

N/A
8 JURASSIC WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM
Universal

2,685
$930,910

-54.2% / $347
$398,439,145 / 39
$1,324,985

+42.3% / $493
$399,764,130 / 40
$1,024,875

-22.7% / $382
$400,789,005 / 41

N/A
9 SKYSCRAPER
Universal

2,773
$701,280

-55.7% / $253
$59,792,495 / 18
$1,109,605

+58.2% / $400
$60,902,100 / 19
$782,975

-29.4% / $282
$61,685,075 / 20

N/A
10 THE FIRST PURGE
Universal

1,400
$361,840

-44.5% / $258
$65,831,115 / 27
$452,690

+25.1% / $323
$66,283,805 / 28
$346,175

-23.5% / $247
$66,629,980 / 29

N/A
11 UNFRIENDED: DARK WEB
BH Tilt

1,547
$279,010

-36.3% / $180
$7,643,350 / 11
$371,625

+33.2% / $240
$8,014,975 / 12
$276,080

-25.7% / $178
$8,291,055 / 13

N/A
12 SORRY TO BOTHER YOU
Annapurna Pictures

802
$196,626

-50.7% / $245
$13,471,838 / 25
$240,406

+22.3% / $300
$13,712,244 / 26
$217,382

-9.6% / $271
$13,929,626 / 27

N/A
- EIGHTH GRADE
A24

158
$184,749

-47.7% / $1,169
$3,102,632 / 18
$221,487

+19.9% / $1,402
$3,324,119 / 19
$209,290

-5.5% / $1,325
$3,533,409 / 20

N/A
- BLINDSPOTTING
Lionsgate/Summit

523
$170,677

-49.7% / $326
$1,921,209 / 11
$253,510

+48.5% / $485
$2,174,719 / 12
$190,813

-24.7% / $365
$2,365,532 / 13

N/A
- WON'T YOU BE MY NEIGHBOR?
Focus Features

464
$113,905

-49.9% / $245
$20,162,287 / 53
$125,215

+9.9% / $270
$20,287,502 / 54
$133,295

+6.5% / $287
$20,420,797 / 55

N/A
- SICARIO: DAY OF THE SOLDADO
Sony / Columbia

574
$85,173

-58.5% / $148
$48,811,738 / 32
$105,015

+23.3% / $183
$48,916,753 / 33
$85,550

-18.5% / $149
$49,002,303 / 34

N/A
- LEAVE NO TRACE
Bleecker Street

289
$62,018

-54.5% / $215
$4,709,638 / 32
$73,996

+19.3% / $256
$4,783,634 / 33
$83,066

+12.3% / $287
$4,866,700 / 34

N/A
- UNCLE DREW
Lionsgate/Summit

532
$75,039

-48.1% / $141
$41,450,499 / 32
$106,732

+42.2% / $201
$41,557,231 / 33
$78,694

-26.3% / $148
$41,635,925 / 34

N/A
- AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR
Buena Vista

292
$61,889

-51% / $212
$677,623,975 / 95
$74,496

+20.4% / $255
$677,698,471 / 96
$60,912

-18.2% / $209
$677,759,383 / 97

N/A
- DEADPOOL 2
Fox

267
$39,210

-53.2% / $147
$317,717,032 / 74
$47,897

+22.2% / $179
$317,764,929 / 75
$41,142

-14.1% / $154
$317,806,071 / 76

N/A
- SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY
Buena Vista

165
$23,985

-49.5% / $145
$212,754,633 / 67
$28,968

+20.8% / $176
$212,783,601 / 68
$27,602

-4.7% / $167
$212,811,203 / 69

N/A
- HEREDITARY
A24

127
$21,553

-45.1% / $170
$43,768,153 / 53
$24,786

+15% / $195
$43,792,939 / 54
$23,051

-7% / $182
$43,815,990 / 55

N/A
- BOOK CLUB
Paramount

145
$14,753

-45.1% / $102
$68,428,611 / 74
$18,596

+26% / $128
$68,447,207 / 75
$18,958

+1.9% / $131
$68,466,165 / 76

N/A
- MCQUEEN
Bleecker Street

5
$15,012

-43.2% / $3,002
$261,795 / 11
$15,284

+1.8% / $3,057
$277,079 / 12
$17,192

+12.5% / $3,438
$294,271 / 13

N/A
- A QUIET PLACE
Paramount

158
$19,582

-38.1% / $124
$187,973,852 / 116
$17,036

-13% / $108
$187,990,888 / 117
$11,556

-32.2% / $73
$188,002,444 / 118

N/A
- SANJU
FIP

44
$7,522

-70.8% / $171
$7,823,633 / 32
$17,407

+131.4% / $396
$7,841,040 / 33
$10,986

-36.9% / $250
$7,852,026 / 34

N/A
- ADRIFT
STX Entertainment

75
$4,367

-51% / $58
$31,425,070 / 60
$6,732

+54.2% / $90
$31,431,802 / 61
$4,956

-26.4% / $66
$31,436,758 / 62

N/A
- FIRST REFORMED
A24

10
$2,874

+13.1% / $287
$3,441,723 / 74
$1,909

-33.6% / $191
$3,443,632 / 75
$2,983

+56.3% / $298
$3,446,615 / 76

N/A
- THE CATCHER WAS A SPY
IFC

23
$2,011

-60.2% / $87
$678,458 / 39
$2,397

+19.2% / $104
$680,855 / 40
$2,671

+11.4% / $116
$683,526 / 41

N/A
- FAR FROM THE TREE
IFC

3
$1,153

-51.2% / $384
$40,970 / 11
$1,638

+42.1% / $546
$42,608 / 12
$1,648

+0.6% / $549
$44,256 / 13

N/A
- CHAPPAQUIDDICK
Entertainment Studios

1

N/A

N/A
$628

-- / $628
$17,395,520 / 118

N/A
- BLACK PANTHER
Buena Vista

15
$404

-37.9% / $27
$699,955,339 / 165
$693

+71.5% / $46
$699,956,032 / 166
$400

-42.3% / $27
$699,956,432 / 167

N/A
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6 minutes ago, Captain Craig said:

Meanwhile, Black Panther is down there at charts bottom going...I need $44K more!!!

 

 

Looks like Disney gave it an expansion this weekend for Christopher Robin double features. 🤣

 

> EXPANDING
1 1 Mission: Impossible - Fallout Paramount 4,395 +9 +0.2% 2
12 25 Eighth Grade A24 1,084 +926 +586.1% 4
21 24 Solo: A Star Wars Story Buena Vista 200 +35 +21.2% 11
26 61 McQueen Bleecker Street 34 +29 +580.0% 3
28 46 Black Panther Buena Vista 25 +10 +66.7% 25
31 75 Woman Walks Ahead A24 6 +3 +100.0% 6
Edited by KP1025
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9 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

 

Looks like Disney gave it an expansion this weekend for Christopher Robin double features. 🤣

 

> EXPANDING
1 1 Mission: Impossible - Fallout Paramount 4,395 +9 +0.2% 2
12 25 Eighth Grade A24 1,084 +926 +586.1% 4
21 24 Solo: A Star Wars Story Buena Vista 200 +35 +21.2% 11
26 61 McQueen Bleecker Street 34 +29 +580.0% 3
28 46 Black Panther Buena Vista 25 +10 +66.7% 25
31 75 Woman Walks Ahead A24 6 +3 +100.0% 6

What in the entire fuck?! That's not going to do anything. AWIT part 2 has begun 

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3 minutes ago, Moviefanatic said:

Hmm maybe I should reread the IW threads. I thought a good amount of posters thought it would be big. 

There were numerous folks saying that agreed it would be biggish, meaning $400m or so but dismissing $500m+ because a superhero team up movie was no longer new or niche enough to draw people into the theater. That word of mouth would be bad when it was revealed to be a cliffhanger and a stealth Part One film.  The fact it got so close to $700m proved a lot of those folks wrong. 

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1 hour ago, Jake Gittes said:

Can we get a 10m OW?

It's been getting a very heavy ad push around me. Not sure about its exact potential but I do feel confident that it will at least avoid the miserable fate of Detroit last year.

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1 hour ago, Barnack said:

The range for a 10m budget movie P+A can vary a lot (Get Out had a giant P+A budget with a 4-5m or something type of budget, low budget movie can have close to blockbuster type P+A cost in the USA, not having product placement to help), but that one with a pre-establish fan-base with pre-awareness aiming only at said  fabanse could be on the lower range of it.

 

But it is still a studio release and getting over 3,000 theater, who knows what kind of targeted online push it got and how much those cost.

 

Very fanbanse driven / low budget production example of P+A cost, actual prints for them can be close to $0 now, but you often have some fee to pay for theater chain to transfer to digital conversion still.

 

If we look at something like

 

One Direction: This is Us

 

The 40m or so guess would make sense:

 

DIRECT PRODUCTION COSTS (13,220)

 

Theatrical release cost of 37m

DTH MARKETING (18,070)

DTH PRINTS (COS) (3,025)

DTH WPF, DUES, OTHER (COS) (2,020)

ITH MARKETING (9,000)

ITH PRINTS (COS) (3,500)

ITH WPF, FREIGHT, OTHER (COS) (1,500)

 

Home:

DHE MARKETING (3,225)

IHE MARKETING (4,508)

TV MARKETING (200)

 

Totals marketing cost of 35m.

 

 

 

 

So, let's say the cost is 10M production + $35 P&A, that means it probably needs, say $30M DOM (about $15M income), $25M international (about $10M) and $30M ancillary (about $20M) just to break even?

 

The axiom 2xproduction budget to profit definitely would not work for the smaller budget movies, right?

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4 minutes ago, fastclock said:

 

So, let's say the cost is 10M production + $35 P&A, that means it probably needs, say $30M DOM (about $15M income), $25M international (about $10M) and $30M ancillary (about $20M) just to break even?

 

The axiom 2xproduction budget to profit definitely would not work for the smaller budget movies, right?

 

Smaller the movie often mean also a larger proportion of the movie revenues being post theatrical. But yes in general for very small budget getting wide theatrical release, the production budget become such a small proportion of the movie total cost that the rules of thumb using the production budget cannot really be use.

 

A 4m horror movie getting a 35, 40 if not 50+m world release cannot turn a profit making 9m WW, for example.

 

If you take my One Direction example

 

Net prodution cost: 13.2m

At a planned world theatrical release cost of : 31.837

 

They estimated they would need to make around 39.6m WW (so 3 time the budget instead of 2, despite being domestic heavy) to break even.

 

With 18.23m in revenues from theater, 38m after.

 

 

 

 

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Incredibles 2 has a higher PTA than Ant-Man and the Wasp, Equalizer 2, and Teen Titans, for the fourth best PTA in the top 12. It and Fallen Kingdom have been riding strong legs together through this summer.

 

Looking forward to when Black Panther passes 700M so I don't have to read any more complaining about how Black Panther hasn't passed 700M yet.

 

Peace,

Mike

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