Weekend Thread: | Estimates (per BOM) ~ M:I-F 35M, DCR 25.003M, TSWDM 12.35M, MM!HWGA 9.09M, TE2 8.83M, HT3:SV 8.2M, AMatW 6.188M, TDM 5.8M

[Sheikh]

3 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Even if you use Pete's Dragon, you get 29.45 mill.

Pete's Dragon didn't have previews. Remember CR did 1.5m in previews, back that out, use Pete's Dragon as a comp, gets you to 26.15m.

[baumer]

3 hours ago, filmlover said:

That was closer to mid-August when summer camps were starting to dwindle. We're in the first weekend of August so the multiplier won't be that high.

 

Why wouldn't it?  

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Sheikh said:

Pete's Dragon didn't have previews. Remember CR did 1.5m in previews, back that out, use Pete's Dragon as a comp, gets you to 26.15m.

 

Ok, thanks, that makes sense.  I still think it goes higher.  I think they are underestimating the Saturday bump.

[Jandrew]

8 hours ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

The Darkest Minds barely had any marketing and didn't quite look interesting enough to draw people in. I'll watch in when it's out of theaters. I'm so freaking annoyed that I didn't go with my gut and go lower on Spy. My Derby is going to be garbage this weekend but it's not like it was great the other times that I played it. I plugged in 6.87 for Minds so I'm not surprised by it's shitty opening.

It did have marketing, this genre is just super niche and people are clearly over it. Also something that's bugged me: the poster makes no sense and does 0 to sell the movie. Why are they graffiti? This is a movie about kids with powers and you make it look like some punk rock album cover.

[Curtis1986]

 Christopher Robin doesn't seem to be appealing to kids and families as much as they thought so they probably not expecting a big Saturday jump like other Disney films.

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Why wouldn't it?  

Because schools are very much still out. One of the showings yesterday afternoon at my theater was sold out, almost certainly because a big camp or group bought out multiple rows.

[YLF]

I need to catch up on movies. Which should I see first? Eighth grade, sorry to bother you, or christopher robin?

 

 

[filmlover]

Just now, YLF said:

I need to catch up on movies. Which should I see first? Eighth grade, sorry to bother you, or christopher robin?

 

 

Those two, definitely.

[Jonwo]

Christopher Robin will likely be the most successful Winnie the Pooh film since The Tigger Movie. The real money will likely merchandise sales especially with the teddy bears versions of the characters from this film. 

[a2k]

- - Deadpool 2 Fox $175,000 +423% +115% 196 $893 $318,014,529 78

 

dp2 had double shows with darkest minds? could get to 320 if it sustains. will go over ironman over the weekend.

Edited August 4, 2018 by a2k

[baumer]

Eighth Grade is not nearly as good as many are saying.  Just my opinion of course but the first half is cringe-worthy in many places and the second half makes it watchable.

 

I'm somewhere between @Spagheditary's praise and @La Binoche's loathing of it.  I'd say I'm closer to loathing than loving.

[baumer]

3 hours ago, a2k said:

- - Deadpool 2 Fox $175,000 +423% +115% 196 $893 $318,014,529 78

 

dp2 had double shows with darkest minds? could get to 320 if it sustains. will go over im1 over the weekend.

 

How will it go over 1 million?

 

175

262 (50% increase)

197

 

634 best case scenario.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

4 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

How will it go over 1 million?

 

175

262 (50% increase)

197

 

634 best case scenario.

I think he means over Ironman's boxoffice which was 318m.

Edited August 4, 2018 by EarlyDeadlinePredictions

[filmlover]

The Darkest Minds is Fox's first release since Deadpool and only their 5th release this year. Their remaining releases this year are The Predator, Bad Times at the El Royale, The Hate U Give, Bohemian Rhapsody, Widows, and Alita. Guess they've been really prepping for that sale.

Edited August 4, 2018 by filmlover

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

How will it go over 1 million?

 

175

262 (50% increase)

197

 

634 best case scenario.

 

3 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

I think he means over Ironman's boxoffice which was 318m.

☺️

[efialtes76]

43 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

That still brings it to 29.45.  

 

Someone is smoking some new soon to be legal Canadian weed.

 Peter didn't have previews.

Edited August 4, 2018 by efialtes76

[The Futurist]

Eighth Grade looks like those cinéma vérité films with a pseudo social conscience that are like zoos to film critics : 

they love to fap to films that make them feel part of the middle and under classes.

That sets them off hard.

Hence the glowing reviews.

Last year, favorite zoo visit among the critics was the Willem Dafoe-Motel-Disney movie, all those people trying to survive, it s Marxist  porn to them.

They can't take their eyes off of all this beautiful misery.

Edited August 4, 2018 by The Futurist

[grim22]

In Germany, Spy Who Dumped Me is titled Bad Spies to connect it to Bad Moms

 

 

[filmscholar]

Wow, great hold for Tom.  WOM is starting to kick in.  Pretty good for Pooh, was hoping for closer to a "Peanuts" like performance from 3 years ago but that came out in Nov near the holidays so it's not really a fair comparison.  Look, Pooh is huge and Legendary, specially in merch but the movies haven't done the best domestically.  I know this was the first live action Pooh movie and the others were animated but I still look at the franchise historically. The Unadjusted crown is looking good for "Christopher Robin" but Looks like "Tigger" total might keep the Adjusted crown.  Silver lining? This tracking for the best opening of the Franchise though.  

 

Adjusted for Ticket Price Inflation

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Adjusted Gross	Unadjusted Gross	Release
1	The Tigger Movie	BV	$78,347,000	$45,554,533	2/11/00
2	Piglet's Big Movie	BV	$35,517,200	$23,103,423	3/21/03
3	Winnie the Pooh	BV	$31,164,100	$26,692,846	7/15/11
4	Pooh's Heffalump Movie	BV	$26,173,500	$18,098,433	2/11/05
TOTAL:			$171,201,900	$113,449,235	-
AVERAGE:			$42,800,500	$28,362,309	-

[sfran43]

Apparently, Disney stalled BP to $700M just so it could reach that milestone on #ObamaDay (8/4)😂