Weekend Thread: DHD Friday #'s (p.14) ~ The Megalogross 17M, Slenderman 4-5M, BlacKkKlansman 3.8-4M

[filmlover]

14 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Crazy Rich Asians is going to slay next weekend. Want to keep expectations in check, but I don't see a reason it can't do 30m+ for the 5 day.

It's coming for a The Help/We're the Millers very leggy surprise late summer smash type of run. It's likely going to lead for three weeks until The Nun comes out with nothing coming out between it and that movie looking to make much of any kind of impact.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

10 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

The Meg overperforming means $4bn for summer will happen by next week although when is the cut off point for summer grosses? 

Labor Day

[TwoMisfits]

Crazy Rich Asians is gonna be a very interesting movie to predict...I'd love to know the demo breakdown of the presales to know if this is breaking out of its prime demo and crossing into a true all demo movie, or if it will fail to catch on outside of this demo.  I'd love to know how it's doing in say, New England, vs DC Metro to see if it's catching on everywhere, or just where its prime demo is most represented...

 

It's like - is this Girls Trip box office or Tyler Perry box office?  (Or even higher/lower...I think lower is getting increasingly unlikely)...

 

[Jonwo]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It's coming for a The Help/We're the Millers very leggy surprise late summer smash type of run. It's likely going to lead for three weeks until The Nun comes out with nothing coming out between it and that movie looking to make much of any kind of impact.

It'd be insane if it performed like The Help or We're The Millers with $150-160m and end up becoming WB's biggest film of the summer. 

[titanic2187]

11 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Crazy Rich Asians is gonna be a very interesting movie to predict...I'd love to know the demo breakdown of the presales to know if this is breaking out of its prime demo and crossing into a true all demo movie, or if it will fail to catch on outside of this demo.  I'd love to know how it's doing in say, New England, vs DC Metro to see if it's catching on everywhere, or just where its prime demo is most represented...

 

It's like - is this Girls Trip box office or Tyler Perry box office?  (Or even higher/lower...I think lower is getting increasingly unlikely)...

 

Given that minority empowerment lately in art elite class, and favorable review(100% RT with 8.1/10, 77 on MC), don't feel surprise if this scream Oscar

[AJG]

26 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Meg director Jon Turtletaub can use his box office clout to now get National Treasure 3 made

 

THEY ARE MAKING IT

 

 

 

 

For Disney Streaming.

[filmlover]

Crazy Rich Asians probably isn't getting any Oscar noms (aside from maybe a Best Popular Movie nomination depending on how much it makes and what they consider the benchmark to be "popular" lol) but Golden Globe nominations are likely. 

[MrGlass2]

THE

MEG

!!!

[IronJimbo]

The megaladon made a gigalaton

[Maxmoser3]

The Meg’s debut is insanely good! Considering it’s a film with Jason Statham front and center, this is an amazing debut for him and outgross comparable titles in the same vein. This film could’ve been a Snakes On A Plane 2.0, but The interest sparked its opening. So hopefully a total around $110-$120 million domestic.

 

Mission Impossible is holding on strong, and should hold on  for the next few weeks and should on-par with Ghost Protocol.

 

Christopher Robin took a beatdown, but should break-even with its budget at the end with $75 million total or so.

 

Slenderman made it in the low teens, but still it’s budget was between $28-$30 million and it wont likely reach that level due to nasty word of mouth.

 

While Meg also did very well this weekend, BlackKklansmen did very well with a estimated $10.7 million, given its positive word of mouth it should sneak past $30 million 

[a2k]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	The Meg	WB	$44,500,000	-	4,118	-	$10,806	$44,500,000	$130	1
2	1	Mission: Impossible - Fallout	Par.	$20,000,000	-43.4%	3,888	-507	$5,144	$161,967,284	$178	3
3	2	Disney's Christopher Robin	BV	$12,430,000	-49.4%	3,602	-	$3,451	$50,019,317	-	2
4	N	Slender Man	SGem	$11,325,000	-	2,358	-	$4,803	$11,325,000	$10	1
5	N	BlacKkKlansman	Focus	$10,799,000	-	1,512	-	$7,142	$10,799,000	$15	1
6	3	The Spy Who Dumped Me	LGF	$6,600,000	-45.5%	3,111	-	$2,122	$24,560,385	$40	2
7	4	Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again	Uni.	$5,820,000	-35.4%	2,812	-547	$2,070	$103,831,200	$75	4
8	5	The Equalizer 2	Sony	$5,500,000	-37.2%	2,373	-352	$2,318	$89,645,928	$62	4
9	6	Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation	Sony	$5,110,000	-36.2%	2,589	-573	$1,974	$146,887,391	$80	5
10	7	Ant-Man and the Wasp	BV	$4,048,000	-36.4%	1,863	-370	$2,173	$203,518,344	-	6
11	9	Incredibles 2	BV	$3,532,000	-29.1%	1,545	-257	$2,286	$589,874,600	-	9
12	N	Dog Days (2018)	LD	$2,630,000	-	2,442	-	$1,077	$3,670,972	-	1
13	8	The Darkest Minds	Fox	$2,100,000	-64.1%	3,127	-	$672	$10,945,552	$34	2
14	11	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	Uni.	$1,965,000	-50.3%	1,237	-677	$1,589	$409,632,945	$170	8
15	10	Teen Titans Go! To The Movies	WB	$1,770,000	-62.9%	1,437	-1,751	$1,232	$25,546,544	$10	3
16	12	Eighth Grade	A24	$1,625,000	-43.0%	1,084	-	$1,499	$10,092,043	-	5
17	13	Death of a Nation	QF	$950,000	-59.7%	825	-180	$1,152	$4,483,941	-	2
18	15	Three Identical Strangers	Neon	$700,600	-30.5%	326	-79	$2,149	$9,686,192	-	7
19	14	Skyscraper	Uni.	$645,000	-71.3%	670	-853	$963	$66,153,875	$125	5
20	17	Sorry to Bother You	Annapurna	$425,000	-47.0%	204	-200	$2,083	$15,805,404	-	6
21	19	Won't You Be My Neighbor?	Focus	$360,000	-28.1%	229	-55	$1,572	$21,687,887	-	10
22	N	The Island (2018)	WGUSA	$282,500	-	40	-	$7,063	$282,500	-	1
23	16	The First Purge	Uni.	$280,000	-69.9%	293	-415	$956	$68,463,460	$13	6
24	18	Blindspotting	LG/S	$220,000	-66.9%	138	-385	$1,594	$3,778,033	-	4
25	24	Avengers: Infinity War	BV	$196,000	-22.8%	172	-33	$1,140	$678,412,107	-	16
26	32	Puzzle	SPC	$164,871	+34.3%	44	+28	$3,747	$447,034	-	3
27	30	McQueen	BST	$154,690	-14.8%	53	+19	$2,919	$750,723	-	4
28	23	Leave No Trace	BST	$141,551	-47.7%	123	-46	$1,151	$5,527,383	-	7
29	26	Solo: A Star Wars Story	BV	$136,000	-29.5%	170	-30	$800	$213,290,445	-	12
30	38	The Miseducation of Cameron Post	FR	$108,000	+122.0%	25	+23	$4,320	$182,398	-	2

 

FSS BREAKDOWN

 

Spoiler

Rank*	Title	Friday 8/10 (Estimates)	Saturday 8/11 (Estimates)	Sunday 8/12 (Estimates)	Monday 8/13
1	THE MEG Warner Bros. 4,118	$16,650,000 -- / $4,043 $16,650,000 / 1	$16,375,000 -1.7% / $3,976 $33,025,000 / 2	$11,475,000 -29.9% / $2,787 $44,500,000 / 3	N/A
2	MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FALLOUT Paramount 3,888	$5,320,000 +58.9% / $1,368 $147,287,284 / 15	$8,390,000 +57.7% / $2,158 $155,677,284 / 16	$6,290,000 -25% / $1,618 $161,967,284 / 17	N/A
3	DISNEY'S CHRISTOPHER ROBIN Buena Vista 3,602	$3,615,000 +39.3% / $1,004 $41,204,317 / 8	$5,297,000 +46.5% / $1,471 $46,501,317 / 9	$3,518,000 -33.6% / $977 $50,019,317 / 10	N/A
4	BLACKKKLANSMAN Focus Features 1,512	$3,606,000 -- / $2,385 $3,606,000 / 1	$4,110,000 +14% / $2,718 $7,716,000 / 2	$3,083,000 -25% / $2,039 $10,799,000 / 3	N/A
5	SLENDER MAN Sony / Screen Gems 2,358	$4,850,000 -- / $2,057 $4,850,000 / 1	$3,815,000 -21.3% / $1,618 $8,665,000 / 2	$2,660,000 -30.3% / $1,128 $11,325,000 / 3	N/A
6	THE SPY WHO DUMPED ME Lionsgate 3,111	$1,854,000 +60.5% / $596 $19,814,385 / 8	$2,746,000 +48.1% / $883 $22,560,385 / 9	$2,000,000 -27.2% / $643 $24,560,385 / 10	N/A
7	MAMMA MIA! HERE WE GO AGAIN Universal 2,812	$1,727,000 +22.6% / $614 $99,736,200 / 22	$2,340,000 +35.5% / $832 $102,076,200 / 23	$1,755,000 -25% / $624 $103,831,200 / 24	N/A
8	THE EQUALIZER 2 Sony / Columbia 2,373	$1,450,000 +80.7% / $611 $85,595,928 / 22	$2,375,000 +63.8% / $1,001 $87,970,928 / 23	$1,675,000 -29.5% / $706 $89,645,928 / 24	N/A
9	HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: SUMMER VACATION Sony / Columbia 2,589	$1,420,000 +30.7% / $548 $143,197,391 / 29	$2,215,000 +56% / $856 $145,412,391 / 30	$1,475,000 -33.4% / $570 $146,887,391 / 31	N/A
10	ANT-MAN AND THE WASP Buena Vista 1,863	$1,103,000 +49.8% / $592 $200,573,344 / 36	$1,768,000 +60.3% / $949 $202,341,344 / 37	$1,177,000 -33.4% / $632 $203,518,344 / 38	N/A
11	INCREDIBLES 2 Buena Vista 1,545	$887,000 +40.2% / $574 $587,229,600 / 57	$1,498,000 +68.9% / $970 $588,727,600 / 58	$1,147,000 -23.4% / $742 $589,874,600 / 59	N/A
12	DOG DAYS (2018) LD Entertainment 2,442	$770,000 +89.7% / $315 $1,810,972 / 3	$1,063,000 +38.1% / $435 $2,873,972 / 4	$797,000 -25% / $326 $3,670,972 / 5	N/A
-	THE DARKEST MINDS Fox 3,127	$625,000 +30.1% / $200 $9,470,552 / 8	$885,000 +41.6% / $283 $10,355,552 / 9	$590,000 -33.3% / $189 $10,945,552 / 10	N/A
-	JURASSIC WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM Universal 1,237	$540,000 +55.3% / $437 $408,209,945 / 50	$847,000 +56.9% / $685 $409,056,945 / 51	$576,000 -32% / $466 $409,632,945 / 52	N/A
-	TEEN TITANS GO! TO THE MOVIES Warner Bros. 1,437	$440,000 -16.4% / $306 $24,216,544 / 15	$760,000 +72.7% / $529 $24,976,544 / 16	$570,000 -25% / $397 $25,546,544 / 17	N/A
-	EIGHTH GRADE A24 1,084	$450,000 +35.7% / $415 $8,917,043 / 29	$675,000 +50% / $623 $9,592,043 / 30	$500,000 -25.9% / $461 $10,092,043 / 31	N/A
-	DEATH OF A NATION Quality Flix 825	$285,000 +29.3% / $345 $3,818,941 / 8	$395,000 +38.6% / $479 $4,213,941 / 9	$270,000 -31.6% / $327 $4,483,941 / 10	N/A
-	THREE IDENTICAL STRANGERS Neon 326	$160,000 +44.1% / $491 $9,145,592 / 43	$318,000 +98.8% / $975 $9,463,592 / 44	$222,600 -30% / $683 $9,686,192 / 45	N/A
-	SKYSCRAPER Universal 670	$181,000 +22.9% / $270 $65,691,875 / 29	$275,000 +51.9% / $410 $65,966,875 / 30	$187,000 -32% / $279 $66,153,875 / 31	N/A
-	SORRY TO BOTHER YOU Annapurna Pictures 204	$113,000 +28.7% / $554 $15,493,404 / 36	$178,000 +57.5% / $873 $15,671,404 / 37	$134,000 -24.7% / $657 $15,805,404 / 38	N/A
-	WON'T YOU BE MY NEIGHBOR? Focus Features 229	$90,000 +28.7% / $393 $21,419,887 / 64	$149,000 +65.6% / $651 $21,568,887 / 65	$119,000 -20.1% / $520 $21,687,887 / 66	N/A
-	THE FIRST PURGE Universal 293	$84,000 +61.3% / $287 $68,267,460 / 38	$115,000 +36.9% / $392 $68,382,460 / 39	$81,000 -29.6% / $276 $68,463,460 / 40	N/A
-	BLINDSPOTTING Lionsgate/Summit 138	$63,000 +9.6% / $457 $3,621,033 / 22	$92,000 +46% / $667 $3,713,033 / 23	$65,000 -29.3% / $471 $3,778,033 / 24	N/A
-	AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR Buena Vista 172	$56,000 +76.2% / $326 $678,272,107 / 106	$87,000 +55.4% / $506 $678,359,107 / 107	$53,000 -39.1% / $308 $678,412,107 / 108	N/A
-	SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY Buena Vista 170	$36,000 +25.6% / $212 $213,190,445 / 78	$59,000 +63.9% / $347 $213,249,445 / 79	$41,000 -30.5% / $241 $213,290,445 / 80	N/A
-	UNCLE DREW Lionsgate/Summit 118	$22,000 +67.4% / $186 $41,989,246 / 43	$39,000 +77.3% / $331 $42,028,246 / 44	$25,000 -35.9% / $212 $42,053,246 / 45	N/A
-	HEREDITARY A24 54	$13,000 +34.1% / $241 $43,954,273 / 64	$16,000 +23.1% / $296 $43,970,273 / 65	$12,000 -25% / $222 $43,982,273 / 66	N/A
-	UNFRIENDED: DARK WEB BH Tilt 57	$10,000 +11.7% / $175 $8,746,420 / 22	$13,000 +30% / $228 $8,759,420 / 23	$11,000 -15.4% / $193 $8,770,420 / 24	N/A
-	NEVER GOIN' BACK A24 11	$5,409 +183.3% / $492 $23,280 / 8	$6,462 +19.5% / $587 $29,742 / 9	$4,847 -25% / $441 $34,589 / 10	N/A
-	PRAYER BEFORE DAWN A24 13	$4,516 -- / $347 $4,516 / 1	$5,678 +25.7% / $437 $10,194 / 2	$4,259 -25% / $328 $14,453 / 3	N/A
-	AMERICAN ANIMALS The Orchard 9	$3,234 +323.9% / $359 $2,826,831 / 71	$4,067 +25.8% / $452 $2,830,898 / 72	$3,640 -10.5% / $404 $2,834,538 / 73

 

Edited August 12, 2018 by a2k

[picores]

The Equalizer 2 definitely over 100m DOM and the first movie. Didnt saw it coming after second weekend drop. Big win for Denzel.

[IronJimbo]

Alit 60m ow meg blown outta water

[MrGlass2]

9 hours ago, a2k said:

'close to 17' would be around 35% bump from true friday. bigger than mi6's 30% bump.

16.50

16.75 (+34%)

12.75 (-24%)

= 46.0

Meg dom over China total looks very likely.

 

edit: even the dom ow could beat China ow. looking at China thread Meg needs 20% Sun drop or lower to do 45+ fss (which is feasible) and that may not be enough to beat dom ow. 

The MEG increased on Sunday in China, +8%.

$52M OW in China, even more than in the US.

[a2k]

13 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

The MEG increased on Sunday in China, +8%.

$52M OW in China, even more than in the US.

Great news. China Sundays do that at times. Meg got some shows back from the competition and that will give it solid weekdays before Friday again being tough due to new releases. Hope it manages ~2x for 105. Really shouldn't have done sub-150 if dom is looking at 110+.

8 hours ago, a2k said:

Dom v China of Meg is an anomaly. Money left on the table? Needed a better release date I guess.

 

WB films this year,

Tomb $57 vs $80 ....+40%

RPO $137 vs $220 ... +60%

Rampage $99 vs $156 ... +57%

Meg $110 vs $105 ... -5% (using ~2.5x dom multi and ~2x China)

 

 

Edited August 12, 2018 by a2k

[Boxofficerules]

People should get banned for started a weekend thread and not updating.

[Hatebox]

The Meg's box office article title puns will write themselves.

 

 

Edited August 12, 2018 by Hatebox

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

2 hours ago, John Marston said:

Meg director Jon Turtletaub can use his box office clout to now get National Treasure 3 made

Question is which DCEU movie he will inevitably be offered...

[MrGlass2]

13 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

Question is which DCEU movie he will inevitably be offered...

Aquaman vs the MEG.

[Barnack]

3 hours ago, babz06 said:

The shark sold that movie not Statham. He’s had enough solo led films that prove this. On average his films make 20-25m dollars so he has a very limited audience. 

He has an home video following too, that can have decided to go to the theater because of the giant spectacle/budget versus is small action movie they rent.

 

It is also the message it send to audience has a casting choice of what the movie tone will be about. You know it will be fun violence with a close to superhero protagonist, cheesy pun humors/one liner, it send a strong don't worry about anything serious ever going on here signal to the target audience.

 

The shark and the brilliant marketing sold most of the movie no doubt, but how would it have opened with Clive Owen in the lead for example or even Butler ?

Edited August 12, 2018 by Barnack