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Weekend Thread: DHD Friday #'s (p.14) ~ The Megalogross 17M, Slenderman 4-5M, BlacKkKlansman 3.8-4M

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With a 6.3m third Sunday vs Rogue Nation's 4.9m third Sunday, Fallout gets to 219 if it just adds the same amount as RN from here. Needs to hold slightly better than RN from here to beat War of the Worlds, though it did hold a little worse than RN this weekend. 

Edited by MovieMan89
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20 minutes ago, Barnack said:

He has an home video following too, that can I have decided to go to the theater because of the giant spectacle/budget versus is small action movie they rent.

Also Statham got to another level by joining the F&F franchise, his direct-to-DVD days are over. We might be witnessing the dawn of a new age; finally someone to rival The Rock at the box office.

 

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Just now, Firepower said:

Statham definitely played big part in these numbers, you can see BO results of Shark movies with no name actors for a proof. Maybe book fans also added to BO.

I doubt we have a good sample size of 9 figures budget giant production shark movies with 3D release, that got made with no name actor in the last 10-15 year's.

 

We have a RelishMix report that indicate that Statham was a factor, at the minimum for the previews crowd:

 

RelishMix reports that the word-of-mouth on social media shows that audiences “are having a very seasonal, popcorn/air-conditioned feeling of fun. Fans of ‘Shark Week,’ the original Jaws, horror films, thrillers, Jason Statham action pics, all things Ruby Rose – they’re all showing up for The Meg.

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Not that I've had any real doubt for weeks, but 600 is officially locked for I2 after this weekend hold. Depending on what the Labor Day expansion does for it, it may end up going up to 610. If it gets to 612, it will have the same post second weekend legs as Inside Out. 

Edited by MovieMan89
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1 hour ago, MrGlass2 said:

Also Statham got to another level by joining the F&F franchise, his direct-to-DVD days are over. We might be witnessing the dawn of a new age; finally someone to rival The Rock at the box office.

 

maxresdefault.jpg

 

 

 

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18 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Not that I've had any real doubt for weeks, but 600 is officially locked for I2 after this weekend hold. Depending on what the Labor Day expansion does for it, it may end up going up to 610. If it gets to 612, it will have the same post second weekend legs as Inside Out. 

Disney Animation or
Pixar movie (2013-2018)
90% of
Gross
on Day
Multiplier
(DG ÷ FW)
Domestic
Gross
First
Weekend
(Wide)
Box Office
Position
Monsters University (Jun. 2013) 27 3.26 $268.5M $82.4M #7 (2013)
Cars 3 (Jun. 2017) 29 2.85 $152.9M $53.7M #11 (2017)
Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016)
Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 31 3.23 $589.9M $182.7M #3 (2018)
The Good Dinosaur (Nov. 2015) 38 3.14 $123.1M $39.2M #26 (2015)
Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015)
Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016)
Coco (Nov. 2017) 46 4.13 $209.7M $50.8M #13 (2017)
Moana (Nov. 2016) 47 4.39 $248.8M $56.6M #11 (2016)
Big Hero 6 (Nov. 2014) 53 3.96 $222.5M $56.2M #10 (2014)
Frozen (Nov. 2013)** 71 5.95 $400.7M $67.4M #3 (2013)
average of table 41 3.91      
median of table 39 3.94      
first entry / origin table average 48 4.29      
sequels table average 29 3.23      
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters / numbers from latest estimate
** 90% day count excludes Frozen’s 5-day limited opening and box office; including it: Day 76
 
display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of August 12, 2018

 

I think the biggest surprise for me when making this table is how long Big Hero 6 stuck around.

Edited by MagnarTheGreat
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45 minutes ago, PANDA said:

I don’t think a modern Jaws remake could ever be near as effective as the first.  

 

Shark movies as a whole are pretty limited genre.

Yeah I think Jaws has the kind of premise where you can only make a great film out of it once. Not only did the movie execute a ridiculous number of things in an iconic way, it benefited a lot from doing so within a very '70s sensibility that allowed for a loose, realistic, unpolished vibe in between the set-pieces. Maybe I lack imagination but there'd be no new exciting territory for a remake to go to. 

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Good to see so many different movies do well. A lot of hits and only a few misfires

 

JWFK locks 1,3B WW. Thats really good. I feared much much worse before it opend

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I used my points for a free ticket today to see The Meg and glad I did.  Not saying it was amazing but I had fun with it and so did my crowd, so that helped it too.  

 

I can see why it did so well this weekend but didn't expect it would do THIS well

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Haven't done forecasts in a while, so here are some:

 

The Meg:

Remainder of this week: 21.5M (66M Total)

Aug 17: 23.3M (10.2M weekdays, 99.5M Total)

Aug 24: 13.5M (6.5M weekdays, 119.5M Total)

Aug 31: 14M (6.9M weekdays, 140.4M Total)

Sep 7: 7.7M (2.5M weekdays, 150.6M Total)

Sep 14: 3.5M (1.3M weekdays, 155.4M Total)

Sep 21: 2M (700k weekdays, 158.1M Total)

Sep 28: 1.3M (400k weekdays, 159.8M Total)

Oct 5: 500k (100k weekdays, 160.4M Total)

Final Total: 163M (3.66x)

 

This has the perfect spot on the release calendar. It's going to stay in the top three until the first weekend of September (and might remain there depending how much Peppermint and Searching do), and although it'll take a hit when The Predator opens, it won't be out of the top ten until Night School or Venom opens. This is up there with I Can Only Imagine and Black Panther for the biggest surprises of the year. I am wondering how many IMAX screens Alpha will take away this weekend; Sony will probably just be told to fuck off because The Meg is making too much money :lol: 

 

Slender Man:

Remainder of this week: 3.9M (15.2M Total)

Aug 17: 4.1M (1.4M weekdays, 20.7M Total)

Aug 24: 1.5M (400k weekdays, 22.6M Total)

Aug 31: 700k (200k weekdays, 23.5M Total)

Final Total: 25M (2.21x)

 

A sub-2x would be hilarious, but I don't see it happening with Labor Day.

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23 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Haven't done forecasts in a while, so here are some:

 

The Meg:

Remainder of this week: 21.5M (66M Total)

Aug 17: 23.3M (10.2M weekdays, 99.5M Total)

Aug 24: 13.5M (6.5M weekdays, 119.5M Total)

Aug 31: 14M (6.9M weekdays, 140.4M Total)

Sep 7: 7.7M (2.5M weekdays, 150.6M Total)

Sep 14: 3.5M (1.3M weekdays, 155.4M Total)

Sep 21: 2M (700k weekdays, 158.1M Total)

Sep 28: 1.3M (400k weekdays, 159.8M Total)

Oct 5: 500k (100k weekdays, 160.4M Total)

Final Total: 163M (3.66x)

Those weekdays this week or the week of August 24 won't happen I can tell you that right now. 

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Wow, 44 Million.  Props to Jason, all those years of building an audience on Home Video has really paid off.  Not to mention being in both the "Expendables" and "F&F" franchises really boosted him in the mainstream even more.  He's also been in several other theatrical films as well but none of them broke out like this.  The OS number for "The Meg" is pretty good as well.  This is huge for him and his biggest opening as the Lead.  M:I6 is continuing to hold fantastic.  That's a good number for "BlackKK" considering the theater count and it's an independent release.  I expect a lot of Oscar buzz.   Decent 2nd week hold for Christoper R.  It's looking to take down "Tigger" with that number.  I guess that's OK for "Slenderman" considering the budget was in check.  

Edited by filmscholar
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