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Weekend Thread: DHD Friday #'s (p.14) ~ The Megalogross 17M, Slenderman 4-5M, BlacKkKlansman 3.8-4M

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45.3 dom + 50.7 china + 50.8 os-china = 146.8 ww

current markets could do,

115 dom (2.5x ow) + 105 china (2x) + 125 os-china (2.5x) = 345 ww

 

hoping reamining os markets (Korea, Australia, Japan, France) push it to 400 ww : 115 dom + 105 china + 180 os-china. Rampage did 170 os-china and brought 30 from those 4 markets. Meg would need 50+ from them for 400 ww using the breakdown in this post.

 

Edited by a2k
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24 minutes ago, a2k said:

45.3 dom + 50.7 china + 50.8 os-china = 146.8 ww

current markets could do,

115 dom (2.5x ow) + 105 china (2x) + 125 os-china (2.5x) = 345 ww

hoping reamining os markets push it to 400 ww : 115 dom + 105 china + 180 os-china

 

Sometimes I think you have only 2 conditions: "pessimistic" and "very pessimistic"))

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1 minute ago, MrGlass2 said:

Deadline had their 'What Went Wrong' article ready... But The Meg shred it to pieces, so they had to publish this instead:

 

How Warner Bros. Tore Up B.O. Projections & Audaciously Sold ‘Meg’ As A Horror Comedy For A $44.5M Weekend Win

:sparta:

 

 

 

 

Which is ironic considering the movie itself is unquestionably a straight action/thriller (which is too bad since it would've likely been a better movie had it played itself as a goofy thriller than a generic action picture).

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So Darkest Minds and Dog Days (down to a single showing if it can't be dropped) will take big screen hits this week...with 3 openers, unless Alpha gets downscreened, we're probably looking at another film with a big drop - will The Spy Who Dumped Me also get speedily dumped this week?

Edited by TwoMisfits
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Ant-Man 2 joins the table. Ant-Man 2 now has the second highest MCU sequel multiplier after CA:TWS. No movement since a week ago besides JW:FK +1. I2 would have moved +1 with the weekend estimate but it came in below it.

 

Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018):

Spoiler

 

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)
90% of
Gross
on Day
Multiplier
(DG ÷ FW)
Domestic
Gross
First
Weekend
Box Office
Position
Batman v Superman: DoJ (Mar. 2016) 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M #8 (2016)
Justice League (Nov. 2017) 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M #10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War (May 2016) 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M #3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec. 2017) 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M #1 (2017)
Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul. 2018)* 24 2.69 $203.6M $75.8M #7 (2018)
Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 2018)* 24 2.53 $213.3M $84.4M #6 (2018)
Furious 7 (Apr. 2015) 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M #5 (2015)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (Dec. 2016) 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M #1 (2016)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun. 2018)* 26 2.77 $409.7M $148.0M #4 (2018)
Avengers: Age of Ultron (May 2015) 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M #3 (2015)
It (Sep. 2017) 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M #7 (2017)
Spectre (Nov. 2015) 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M #10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok (Nov. 2017) 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M #8 (2017)
Deadpool 2 (May 2018)* 29 2.54 $318.2M $125.5M #5 (2018)
Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016)
Suicide Squad (Aug. 2016) 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M #9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 2017) 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M #5 (2017)
Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 30 3.23 $589.8M $182.7M #3 (2018)
Avengers: Infinity War (Apr. 2018)* 30 2.63 $678.4M $257.7M #2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec. 2015) 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M #1 (2015)
Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 (Nov. 2015) 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M #7 (2015)
Minions (Jul. 2015) 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M #6 (2015)
Deadpool (Feb. 2016) 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M #6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast (Mar. 2017) 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M #2 (2017)
Jurassic World (Jun. 2015) 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M #2 (2015)
Cinderella (Mar. 2015) 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M #9 (2015)
Sing (Dec. 2016) 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M #10 (2016)
Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul. 2017) 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M #6 (2017)
Despicable Me 3 (Jun. 2017) 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M #9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets (Jul. 2016) 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M #4 (2016)
Black Panther (Feb. 2018) 38 3.47 $700.1M $202.0M #1 (2018)
Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015)
The Jungle Book (Apr. 2016) 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M #5 (2016)
Wonder Woman (Jun. 2017) 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M #3 (2017)
The Martian (Oct. 2015) 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M #8 (2015)
Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle (Dec. 2017) 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M #4 (2017)
average of table 31 3.37      
median of table 30 2.86      
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters
 
display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of August 12, 2018

 

 

Edited by MagnarTheGreat
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1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

So Darkest Minds and Dog Days (down to a single showing if it can't be dropped) will take big screen hits this week...with 3 openers, unless Alpha gets downscreened, we're probably looking at another film with a big drop - will The Spy Who Dumped Me also get speedily dumped this week?

Darkest Minds will probably loose 2,000 and was already deduced to 2 showings/day at a lot of places this week.  

Dog Days will be in its second weekend and might or might not reduce to 2 showings/day because no new tentpoles are opening.  

Dog Days can pick up good business in the afternoon, Darkest Minds probably doesn't sell much with the early bird crowd

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