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ALADDIN | 695.1 M overseas ● 1050.7 M worldwide

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1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

8mn OS-C-J-K weekend compared to $19mn previous weekend, a drop of 60% drop. I wonder why 

 

Competitively The Jungle Book did $8mn in the same set of markets. 

 

The cume is $388mn Approx without these three and shall add another $27-30mn to $415-418mn.

 

China gonna conclude at $54mn. Korea will go on to $85mn Approx as well while Japan at $120mn.

 

This gives $675-678mn Overseas. 

 

Coupled with 350mn Domestic. Comfortable $1025mn.

I wonder why our projections are so similar 

•‎6th
-weekend (10.1) [-28%] = 306.6
-‎weekdays (5.5) = 311.5

•‎7th (11.5) [-25%] = 323 <= Far From Home

•‎8th (8) [-33%] = 331

•9th (6) [-20%] = 337 <= The Lion King

•10th (4) [-25%] = 341

Total: 355M

𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟭 = $215M
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟮 = $450M (+235M) 
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟯 = $608M (+158M) [-33%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟰 = $727M (+119M) [-25%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟱 = $813M (+86M) [-28%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟲 = $877M (+64M) [-26%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟳 = $922M (+45M) [-30%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟴 = $955M (+33M) [-27%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟵 = $980B (+25M) [-25%]
𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗹 = $1.035B (360/670)
 

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1 hour ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

I wonder why our projections are so similar 

•‎6th
-weekend (10.1) [-28%] = 306.6
-‎weekdays (5.5) = 311.5

•‎7th (11.5) [-25%] = 323 <= Far From Home

•‎8th (8) [-33%] = 331

•9th (6) [-20%] = 337 <= The Lion King

•10th (4) [-25%] = 341

Total: 355M

𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟭 = $215M
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟮 = $450M (+235M) 
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟯 = $608M (+158M) [-33%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟰 = $727M (+119M) [-25%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟱 = $813M (+86M) [-28%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟲 = $877M (+64M) [-26%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟳 = $922M (+45M) [-30%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟴 = $955M (+33M) [-27%]
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝟵 = $980B (+25M) [-25%]
𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗹 = $1.035B (360/670)
 

Give final total a 350/680 split instead and I'd agree.

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So we're talking somewhere between The Hobbit (first one) and Despicable Me 3, but wouldn't shock me if we even got up to on Stranger Tides worldwide. So somewhere between 38th and 31st worldwide. Now here's a question, will Aladdin make it to 1 billion before or after The Lion King gets there?

 

It's coming out in China a week early so that should help. And Japan, which should do a lot of business for TLK is August 9th. I don't know, it might be pretty close but I think I'm leaning more towards Lion King getting there first. It could take The Lion King something like 2 weeks, it could take 4. It would be mid-August if we're taking the 4 week route, and Aladdin might already be there by then.

 

Hey, if you want an idea for a club here it is, The Lion King to reach 1 billion worldwide before Aladdin, or the other way around. Pretty sure no one saw this coming, that we would even be having this discussion, let alone entertain a race between these two (albeit one that's not exactly apples to apples).

Edited by AlexMA
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8 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

8mn OS-C-J-K weekend compared to $19mn previous weekend, a drop of 60% drop. I wonder why 

I thought partly this may be explained by the heatwave in Europe (Germany dropped 65% from $1,46M to $0,5M) but many european countries saw much better holds than that (e.g. France even increased...), so there must be more than that.

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18 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

8mn OS-C-J-K weekend compared to $19mn previous weekend, a drop of 60% drop. I wonder why 

 

Competitively The Jungle Book did $8mn in the same set of markets. 

 

The cume is $388mn Approx without these three and shall add another $27-30mn to $415-418mn.

 

China gonna conclude at $54mn. Korea will go on to $85mn Approx as well while Japan at $120mn.

 

This gives $675-678mn Overseas. 

 

Coupled with 350mn Domestic. Comfortable $1025mn.

I am confused:

Last Weekend: 34.77m

Japan: 9.61m

DK: 7.29m

China: 0.59m

So OS-C-J-K: 17.28m

 

This Weekend: 25.35m

Japan: 8.1m

SK: 6.9m

China: 300k (last weekend in cinema??)

So OS-C-J-K: ~10m

 

Which would be a drop of 42.1%

 

And 1m of that difference was because of the awful German drop alone. (I really hope that Germany next weekend can increase to about 800-900k but wouldn't bet on it, probably will drop bad again... gosh it sucks... Sorry)

 

Where am I wrong????????

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Just now, UserHN said:

Definitely no one from BOT predicted $1B before it came out. Lol. Many were even predicting it to flop.

Yeah, those dumbasses!

 

*puts the Aladdin<550M club under the carpet*

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‘Aladdin’ Crossing $900 Million Mark in Worldwide Box Office for Disney

Disney’s “Aladdin” is crossing a box office milestone with $900 million in worldwide grosses since its release in late May — making it one of the studio’s most successful live-action reboots from its animated library.

Disney announced Friday that “Aladdin” had hit $897.3 million and would join six other Disney live-action titles in crossing the $900 million mark — led by “Beauty and the Beast” at $1.26 billion, “The Jungle Book,” “Alice in Wonderland,” and three of the “Pirates of the Caribbean” films. It’s the 55th film to reach the milestone.

Underscoring Disney’s current dominance of the movie business, “Aladdin” is  the third biggest film of the year domestically and worldwide after two other Disney titles: “Avengers: Endgame” and “Captain Marvel.” It’s also the biggest film of the year to date outside of the Marvel Cinematic Universe.

 

Domestically, “Aladdin” opened in first over the Memorial Day weekend with $117 million and has shown impressive holding power with $313 million after seven weeks.

“Aladdin” easily outperformed Disney’s pre-opening domestic projections, which were in the $75 million to $85 million range for the four days — and underlined the validity of the studio’s strategy of rebooting its animated classics such as “Beauty and the Beast” and “The Jungle Book.” In this case, it remade the original 1992 animated movie with Mena Massoud as Aladdin, Will Smith as the Genie, Naomi Scott as Jasmine and Marwan Kenzari as Jafar. Guy Ritchie directed.

Internationally, the film opened in first in nearly all markets and has topped $584 million. Japan is the best international performer with $72 million, followed by South Korea with $63 million, China with $53 million,. the UK with $43 million and Mexico with $32 million.

https://variety.com/2019/film/news/aladdin-worldwide-box-office-disney-1203260076/

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Cross-posting something I noticed while on reddit:  

 

Interestingly BoRhap and Aladdin are actually pretty similar runs. Musicals that went crazy and had awesome leggy runs in SK (BR ~78, Aladdin ~78) and Japan (BR ~115, Aladdin ~115). Also both with x4 DOM multis, give or take .25 or so. 

 

Main differences are that BR’s Japan opening was smaller, so it’s multiplier was an absolutely wild x34 or so (record). And Aladdin’s DOM opening was bigger, giving it another 100-150 of DOM and WW juice.

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2 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Wow, pretty much locks up 1B WW. Overperformance in SK,Japan and domestic is helping tremendously. Could approach 1.05B WW, phenomenal performance continues!!!

Ok, I don't have to worry about Aladdin now. I hope TS4 also gets there but I doubt it.

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