Weekend Thread: HTM heading for about 10 mill..CRA killing it with projected 4% drop

[sfran43]

 

[BenedictL11]

1 hour ago, sfran43 said:

 

Slightly overestimated but a 28% Sunday drop (when Summer weekdays are dying out as we get close to the end of August and summer season) is still awesome. Last year is incomparable due to the Hurricane Harvey. Excluding 2017, the last couple of years had 30%+ Sunday drops the weekend before Labor Day.

Edited August 27, 2018 by BenedictL11

[sfran43]

 

[redfirebird2008]

3 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Well yeah, but it doesn't change the fact that it's a Goddamn 6% drop from a 3-day weekend. The way this person put it, it came across as they were immediately "doing what Hollywood isn't" and partly discrediting it just for the sake of attention and clicks. That's what that person always does. Plus, the way CRA performed on its 5-day, it's almost as if most people didn't know about its Wednesday opening (it jumped 93% on Friday in sheer Summer.... late August, but still Summer and opening weekend; and it made about 75% of its gross on FSS, including a bigger Sunday than Wed and Thur combined). So, to me, the question mark of "yeeeeah, it opened to 5 days" is nulled by its internal multiplier.

 

I wouldn’t say it is nullified. About $9 million extra not counted in the 3-day opening.

 

I like to take the average of the 5-day and 3-day openings in these situations. So in this case it would be around $30m average, meaning a 2nd weekend drop around 16%. Amazing hold. 

[titanic2187]

8 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

what if the 3rd weekend is higher than the opening's 26.5m?

 

Can Titanic be safe?

[a2k]

Along with WB's O8 and CRA, Meg too could overtake RPO's 137 dom. Meg will at least do low 130s by adding 2x this weekend (12.9) to it's cume (105.2). RPO though has a big global tally of 580+ including China's spledid 220+.

Edited August 27, 2018 by a2k

[Premium George]

9 minutes ago, a2k said:

Along with WB's O8 and CRA, Meg too could overtake RPO's 137 dom. Meg will at least do low 130s by adding 2x this weekend (12.9) to it's cume (105.2). RPO though has a big global tally of 580+ including China's spledid 220+.

Their domestic performance is opposite of their budget.

[KeepItU25071906]

24 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

what if the 3rd weekend is higher than the opening's 26.5m?

 

I can't see how it can be low than 26,5

[WrathOfHan]

Tfw your 25m prediction went from underpredicting to overpredicting 🤔 

[KeepItU25071906]

6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Tfw your 25m prediction went from underpredicting to overpredicting 🤔 

easy, it just 200 thousands lower than your forecast)) Or Did you lose in derby?

[Jiffy]

Was hoping it'd stay above $25m but still amazing nonetheless. 

[Brainbug]

Imagine the forums when someone would have said at the beginning of the year that The Meg would have a higher worldwide gross than Solo. And yet, here we are.

[DAJK]

12 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Imagine the forums when someone would have said at the beginning of the year that The Meg would have a higher worldwide gross than Solo. And yet, here we are.

Or Crazy Rich Asians might have a higher domestic gross than Solo

[a2k]

17 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Imagine the forums when someone would have said at the beginning of the year that The Meg would have a higher worldwide gross than Solo. And yet, here we are.

Rampage with 426m above Solo too. Meg has a chance at being 100m higher than Solo.

[grim22]

3 minutes ago, a2k said:

Rampage with 426m above Solo too. Meg has a chance at being 100m higher than Solo.

At this point, which movie doesn't? Most big movies this year have grossed more OS than Solo anyway.

[Premium George]

Main point is solo going that low rather than other films passing it. $400m for such a film is pathetic. It's domestic should be closer to that. 

Meg for sure is a surprise, $500m and above rock's movies .

With BP, IW, AQP, and cra, and book club, this has been a good year. Sequels doing good too.

[Steele131]

CRA is making 25M again next weekend isn’t it? Maybe more 

[MCKillswitch123]

10 minutes ago, Premium George said:

Main point is solo going that low rather than other films passing it. $400m for such a film is pathetic. It's domestic should be closer to that. 

Meg for sure is a surprise, $500m and above rock's movies .

With BP, IW, AQP, and cra, and book club, this has been a good year. Sequels doing good too.

Yeah, this has been an amazing box office year. March was the only dud month with letdown after letdown.

[a2k]

BOM shows solo at 392+. Have they yet to update with Japan gross or is it really sub-400 ww?

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$213,588,649	54.4%
+ Foreign:	$179,081,082	45.6%
= Worldwide:	$392,669,731

[grim22]

2 minutes ago, a2k said:

BOM shows solo at 392+. Have they yet to update with Japan gross or is it really sub-400 ww?

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$213,588,649	54.4%
+ Foreign:	$179,081,082	45.6%
= Worldwide:	$392,669,731

Japan is done. That's pretty much final now.