CAYOM Y4: Predictions

[Xillix]

January

Johnny Test - $10.2m OW / $19.6m Dom

Dead Space - $24.5m OW / $47.5m Dom

Haunting Hour - $3.6m OW / $7.3m Dom

Extrasensory - $10.4m OW (3-day) / $23.7m Dom

The Mole - $34.7m OW (3-day) / $105.4m Dom

Baseball Boy: Swing for the Fences - $16.7m OW / $56.4m Dom

When a Stranger Calls - $6.4m OW / $12.2m Dom

 

February

Blue and Gold - $59.4m OW / $189.8m Dom

Reality Shift - $17.8m OW / $57.5m Dom

Pokémon: Rise of the Rockets / $102.2m OW (3-day) / $220.2m Dom

Son of Rosemary / $9.8m OW (3-day) / $17.5m Dom

Frosted / $3.1m OW / $5.8m Dom

Imagine Dragons: The 3D Concert / $5.7m OW / $10.2m Dom

The Female Man / $22.4m OW / $60.8m Dom

Stories from Eden / $17.9m OW / $46.1m Dom

[YM!]

18 minutes ago, Xillix said:

January

Johnny Test - $10.2m OW / $19.6m Dom

[YM!]

Is it just me or does anyone else see Our City 2 pulling a Kung Fu Panda 2/Dragon 2?

[YM!]

May 1st-3rd

 

Endless Entertainment attempts to kick off the summer with Treasure Planet: Gauntlet of Midas, which despite mixed reviews (57 on Metacritic) is looking at $80M-$90M which is decent start.

 

Treasure Planet: Gauntlet of Midas: $90M/$226M (x2.51) (Although the OW should be decently sized due to the May tentpole magic, the best comparison for this is Amazing Spider-Man 2 as both are sequels with mixed reception to surprisingly decent but not loved first films but it should be a bit more sturdier as the only serious competition is Earthsong)

 

 

May 8th-10th (Mother’s Day Weekend)

 

Gold Cresent’s new franchise starter, Earthsong Volume 1: Haven’s Guard is looking at a strong $50M-$60M opening. It should have a very strong Sunday thanks to the holiday.

 

Earthsong: Volume 1: Haven’s Guard: $53M/$138M (x2.6) (This should perform about the same as Gold Cresent’s first He Man, not to mention due to the lack of female appealing films in May, it’ll thrive until Brave but the ending may polarize audience a bit)

 

May 15th-17th

 

The openers this week should be decent for themselves as Hourglass’s family comedy Frindle is tracking strong at $10M-$15M and Infinite’s Murky is tracking around $9M-$12M.

 

Frindle: $12.5M/$38M (x3) (This should open decently but this summer is swapped with Family films as it faces American Dragon the next week and Brave a few weeks after)

Murky: $10M/$24.5M (x2.45)

 

May 22nd-25th (Memorial Day weekend)

 

Gold Cresent’s American Dragon: Darkness Rising (72 on Metacritic) will easily win over families as well as the top spot tracking at a strong $50M-$55M for the three day and a stronger $70M-$75M for the four day.

 

Infinite’s Cabana Boys should drum up some decent business due to star power tracking at $18M-$22M for the three day and $25M-$27M for the four day.

 

American Dragon: Darkness Rising: $55M/$73M/$200M (x3.64x) (Brave will be a problem but otherwise it should have a strong run)

 

Cabana Boys: $17M/$24M/$45M (x2.65) (The only reason this comedy will survive is due to the lack of them and then it’ll die out quickly)

 

May 29th-31st

 

Blankments’ Chuck Norris and Liam Nesson vs The Loch Ness Monster is tracking decently at $18M-$22M despite mixed reviews (53 on Metacritic) 

 

Chuck Norris and Liam Nesson vs The Loch Ness Monster: $25M/$60M (x2.4) (This should spawn numerous sequels as I believe audience will dig it for dumb fun but Odyssey 3 will cut off its legs.)

 

Edited October 8, 2018 by YourMother the Edgelord

[4815162342]

Not predicting every film but here are some headliners for January through March:

 

 

Dead Space: 34.4 OW/81.8 DOM

 

Extrasensory: 16.5 (3-Day)/21.1 (4-Day)/44.9 DOM

 

Blue and Gold: 58.5 OW/152.8 DOM

 

Reality Shift: 26.7 OW/86.2 DOM

 

Pokemon: Rise of The Rockets: $130.2 (3-Day)/157.4 (4-Day)/338.5 DOM

 

Son of Rosemary: 10.2 (3-Day)/12.8 (4-Day)/26.9 DOM

 

Stories From Eden: 14.3 OW/38.9 DOM

 

One Piece: The Journey Begins: 47.1 OW/136.8 DOM

 

Pillars Of Eternity: The Hollow Vale: 68.7 OW/231.3 DOM

 

Marked Up Time: 39.1 OW/112.7 DOM

 

Can You Imagine?: 73.1 OW/263.8 DOM

 

Carnosaur: 25.3 OW/60.2 OW

[Reddroast]

January: johnny test opens big (60M) but has a big drop off

[Reddroast]

February blue and gold opens big and makes 75mil in the first weekend but pokemon eats into it. Pokemon makes 95mil opening weekend. The reason it doesn't make 100mil+ is because of one piece. 

[Rorschach]

2 minutes ago, Reddroast said:

 Pokemon makes 95mil opening weekend. The reason it doesn't make 100mil+ is because of one piece. 

Doubtful. It's got three weekends to itself before then and I very much doubt its gonna lose that much money on its first weekend.

[Reddroast]

1 minute ago, Rorschach said:

Doubtful. It's got three weekends to itself before then and I very much doubt its gonna lose that much money on its first weekend.

I still think it makes more money overall than one piece. 

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, Rorschach said:

Doubtful. It's got three weekends to itself before then and I very much doubt its gonna lose that much money on its first weekend.

Not to mention the first opened at $123M with worse reviews... after a $100M opener the weekend before.

Edited October 8, 2018 by YourMother the Edgelord

[Reddroast]

Just now, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Not to mention the first opened at $123M with worse reviews.

Wait what

[4815162342]

3 minutes ago, Reddroast said:

Wait what

 

On 1/24/2018 at 5:47 PM, cookie said:

 

August 10-12

 

‘Pokémon’ Becomes True Box Office Champion

 

 

1. Pokémon: The Journey Begins - $123,406,792
2. War of the Gods - $50,322,695 (-52.4%)
3. To the Moon - $7,551,592 (-25.7%)
4. The Dark Victorian - $2,671,088 (-61.3%)
5. The Mermaid - $2,610,323 (-42.1%)
6. Taking Names - $2,288,545 (-49.8%)
7. Paddles: The Video Game Story - $2,099,434 (-51.6%)
8. The Odyssey: The Spoils of War - $1,501,682 (-34.1%)
9. Ultraman - $1,369,238 (-59.0%)
10. Lord of the Flies - $1,355,962 (-38.1%)

 

56 Days of Love - $1,209,233 (+187.0%)

 

Top 10 gross: $195,177,351 (+33.5%)

 

Top 10 gross: $79,358,028 / $98,584,248 (-1.6% / +22.2%)

 

  Reveal hidden contents

I grew tired of doing writeups which is why Labor day doesn't have any.

 

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, Reddroast said:

Wait what

Yeah it was a crazy August in Y2. The opening weekend record was shattered twice in August both back to back. @Xillix‘s War Of The Gods did $108M and Pokémon 1 (at 61 on MC) did $123M.

[Reddroast]

1 minute ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Yeah it was a crazy August in Y2. The opening weekend record was shattered twice in August both back to back. @Xillix‘s War Of The Gods did $108M and Pokémon 1 (at 61 on MC) did $123M.

That must have been a bloodbath

[YM!]

1 minute ago, Reddroast said:

That must have been a bloodbath

Not really, War of The Gods placed 2nd around $360M, but Pokémon was frontloaded due to fan rush which was likely and missed $300M

[Reddroast]

1 minute ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Not really, War of The Gods placed 2nd around $360M, but Pokémon was frontloaded due to fan rush which was likely and missed $300M

So an avengers scenario

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, Reddroast said:

So an avengers scenario

Now if you want crazy look at the Voltron 1 to 2 jump.

[Reddroast]

Didn't 2 make 1bil more than 1

[Xillix]

March

One Piece: The Journey Begins - $31.5m OW / $86.3m Dom

Khanh Bernarda Alba - $4.9m Dom

Pillars of Eternity: The Hollow Vale - $49.3m OW / $181.6m Dom

Spirit Curse - $6.4m OW / $11.1m Dom

Marked Up Time - $24.2m OW / $86.9m Dom

Can You Imagine - $67.4m OW / $286.8m Dom

Carnosaur - $23.6m OW / $54.3m Dom

[cookie]

4 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Yeah it was a crazy August in Y2. The opening weekend record was shattered twice in August both back to back. @Xillix‘s War Of The Gods did $108M and Pokémon 1 (at 61 on MC) did $123M.

Pokémon was the first family movie in three months. I would’ve even given it slightly better legs if it didn’t come out just as kids were going back to school. July overall was pretty weak anyway so August would compensate.

 

And let’s not even talk about how shit November was.