Official Oct 5 to Oct 7 Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Venom - 80M (205M WW OW); A Star is Born - 42.6M

[MCKillswitch123]

  and  's war of titans ain't disappointing, ehh?

 

Let's see how dem legz will hold up.

[sfran43]

1	Venom	$75,000,000	—	4,250	—	$17,647	$75,000,000	1	Sony / Columbia
2	A Star is Born	$44,000,000	—	3,686	—	$11,937	$45,350,000	1	Warner Bros.
3	Smallfoot	$14,700,000	-36%	4,131	0	$3,558	$42,560,945	2	Warner Bros.
4	Night School	$12,500,000	-54%	3,019	9	$4,140	$46,976,355	2	Universal
5	The House With A Clock In Its Walls	$7,400,000	-41%	3,463	-129	$2,137	$55,156,560	3	Universal Pictures
6	A Simple Favor	$3,500,000	-46%	2,408	-665	$1,453	$49,079,356	4	Lionsgate
7	The Nun	$2,600,000	-52%	2,264	-1067	$1,148	$113,357,310	5	Warner Bros.
8	Hell Fest	$2,100,000	-59%	2,297	0	$914	$8,889,476	2	Lionsgate / CBS Films
9	Crazy Rich Asians	$2,000,000	-51%	1,466	-881	$1,364	$169,074,942	8	Warner Bros.
10	The Predator	$1,000,000	-74%	1,643	-1283	$609	$50,085,889	4	Fox
11	Disney’s Christopher Robin	$400,000	17%	1,638	968	$244	$98,067,382	10	Disney

LIMITED (100 — 999)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	White Boy Rick	$590,000	-75%	880	-1137	$670	$23,338,086	4	Sony / Studio 8
2	Incredibles 2	$360,000	32%	244	-94	$1,475	$607,205,087	17	Disney
3	Mission: Impossible – Fallout	$320,000	-49%	361	-177	$886	$219,752,429	11	Paramount
4	Little Women (2018)	$170,000	-76%	451	-192	$377	$1,168,616	2	Pinnacle Peak
5	Unbroken: Path to Redemption	$160,000	-67%	335	-406	$478	$5,991,063	4	Pure Flix
6	Ant-Man and the Wasp	$150,000	-43%	178	-80	$843	$216,386,826	14	Disney
7	Peppermint	$45,000	-97%	813	-1189	$55	$34,288,394	5	STX Entertainment

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Free Solo	$725,000	146%	41	37	$17,683	$1,139,911	2	National Geographic Entertainment
2	The Hate U Give	$550,000	—	36	—	$15,278	$550,000	1	20th Century Fox
3	The Old Man & The Gun	$360,000	153%	49	44	$7,347	$550,455	2	Fox Searchlight
4	The Sisters Brothers	$185,000	-21%	54	31	$3,426	$671,498	3	Annapurna Pictures
5	A.X.L.	$26,000	-28%	55	-30	$473	$6,492,069	7	Global Road Entertainment
6	Ya Veremos	$20,000	-62%	37	-21	$541	$4,149,205	6	Lionsgate / Pantelion Films
7	God Bless the Broken Road	$20,000	-45%	53	-58	$377	$2,820,644	5	Freestyle Releasing
8	Loving Pablo	$15,000	—	15	—	$1,000	$15,000	1	Universal Pictures Home Entertainment
9	The Riot Act	$15,000	—	3	—	$5,000	$15,000	4	Hannover House

[Nova]

Is it just me or are they not taking into account that Monday is a holiday (in a lot of parts not all) and thus Sunday drops will be softer? It's not by much but I still think it could have an effect on films especially the openers. In looking at last years box office weekend drops were typically 20-30% on Sunday compared to the 40%+ that Sunday usually gets.  

[Rumpot]

3 minutes ago, Nova said:

Is it just me or are they not taking into account that Monday is a holiday (in a lot of parts not all) and thus Sunday drops will be softer? It's not by much but I still think it could have an effect on films especially the openers. In looking at last years box office weekend drops were typically 20-30% on Sunday compared to the 40%+ that Sunday usually gets.  

Yep

[Damianport1]

20 minutes ago, Nova said:

Is it just me or are they not taking into account that Monday is a holiday (in a lot of parts not all) and thus Sunday drops will be softer? It's not by much but I still think it could have an effect on films especially the openers. In looking at last years box office weekend drops were typically 20-30% on Sunday compared to the 40%+ that Sunday usually gets.  

What holiday?

[The Panda]

Free Solo over Solo??

[sfran43]

As i'm watching the original on Paramount TV channel, I still can't believe that the Fast & Furious is a $5 BILLION Franchise!!!

 

Worldwide (Unadjusted)

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Worldwide	Domestic / %		Overseas / %		Year
1	Furious 7	Uni.	$1,516.0	$353.0	23.3%	$1,163.0	76.7%	2015
2	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$1,236.0	$226.0	18.3%	$1,010.0	81.7%	2017
3	Fast & Furious 6	Uni.	$788.7	$238.7	30.3%	$550.0	69.7%	2013
4	Fast Five	Uni.	$626.1	$209.8	33.5%	$416.3	66.5%	2011
5	Fast and Furious	Uni.	$363.2	$155.1	42.7%	$208.1	57.3%	2009
6	2 Fast 2 Furious	Uni.	$236.4	$127.2	53.8%	$109.2	46.2%	2003
7	The Fast and the Furious	Uni.	$207.3	$144.5	69.7%	$62.8	30.3%	2001
8	The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift	Uni.	$158.5	$62.5	39.4%	$96.0	60.6%	2006
TOTAL:			$5,132.1	$1,516.8	29.6%	$3,615.3	70.4%	-
AVERAGE:			$641.5	$189.6	29.6%	$451.9	70.4%

[Zakiyyah6]

Strong numbers for both openers. Never bet against a comic book movie that's about a popular character. It will open well, it might have shit legs but it will open well. Wish I hadn't lowered my 75mil prediction to 68mil but whatever. Knew those 28mil tracking numbers for A Star is Born were bullshit. They keep under tracking WB's films, I can't wait until the same happens with Aquaman. 

Edited October 6, 2018 by Zakiyyah6

[Jonwo]

A Star is Born is another hit for WB, I think it’s safe to say they’ll manage another $1.5bn year. Smallfoot looks like it’ll have legs and it’ll be WAG’s biggest non Lego hit 

 

 

[sfran43]

2 hours ago, Valonqar said:

Is Disney going to fudge CR to 100M like they did AWIT?

Definitely!!

[MaxAggressor]

17 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

What holiday?

Monday is the Canadian Thanksgiving. Plus it's also Columbus Day in the North East USA.

[KP1025]

Does anyone know why Incredibles 2 increased so much on Friday despite losing theaters?

[Damianport1]

2 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

Monday is the Canadian Thanksgiving. Plus it's also Columbus Day in the North East USA.

So because of that more people will go to cinemas on sunday instead of monday? shouldn't it be reverse? since monday is free day of work

Edited October 6, 2018 by Damianport1

[MaxAggressor]

2 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

So because of that more people will go to cinemas on sunday instead of monday? shouldn't it be reverse? since monday is free day of work

The drop on Sunday will be softer (lower) than the usual fall season Sunday drops.

[Nova]

5 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

So because of that more people will go to cinemas on sunday instead of monday? shouldn't it be reverse? since monday is free day of work

Night shows on Sunday will be more filled than usual because people don’t have work the next day. 

[Damianport1]

13 minutes ago, Nova said:

Night shows on Sunday will be more filled than usual because people don’t have work the next day. 

Makes sense. Didn't think about it.

Edited October 6, 2018 by Damianport1

[kitik]

50 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

What holiday?

 

 

Indigenous Peoples' Day!

[Napoleon]

56 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

Does anyone know why Incredibles 2 increased so much on Friday despite losing theaters?

Disney's suspicious numbers as always

[TwoMisfits]

3 hours ago, Nova said:

I am actually shocked at ASIB's numbers. I legit thought the film was cracking $50M during its OW. Its presales were way higher than Ocean's 8 and yet it's probably going to open around the same as that. 

 

*This isn't me saying ASIB is disappointing. It's opening well above its tracking. Just thought that $50M was possible based on presales. 

Older women are some of the biggest pre-buyers...and this skewed very old (50+ age range is a huge percent of the 1st day viewers) with very few young buyers (the larger impulse buying group)...

[miketheavenger]

I wonder if Sony's other Marvel movies will also be successes, if they will actually not renew the deal with Disney once the current contract is up. I don't think that's going to happen and it would be a horrendously stupid move, but this is Sony we're talking about.