CAPTAIN MARVEL | 701.4 M overseas ● 1128.3 M worldwide

[Nero]

19 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Captain Marvel

Day	Date	Gross in ¥ ('000)	Gross in $	% +/- YD / LW*		Shows / Avg		Gross-to-Date	Day #
Thu	Mar. 07, 2019	¥15,274	$2,272,917			7,636	$298	$2,272,917	0
Fri	Mar. 8, 2019	¥214,692	$31,948,214			166,535	$192	$34,221,131	1
Sat	Mar. 09, 2019	¥225,210	$33,513,393	4.90%		171,449	$195	$67,734,524	2
Sun	Mar. 10, 2019	¥141,719	$21,089,137	-37.07%		166,595	$127	$88,823,661	3
Mon	Mar. 11, 2019	¥43,151	$6,421,280	-69.55%		145,973	$44	$95,244,940	4
Tue	Mar. 12, 2019	¥33,775	$5,033,532	-21.61%		140,519	$36	$100,278,473	5
Wed	Mar. 13, 2019	¥27,855	$4,151,267	-17.53%		136,917	$30	$104,429,739	6
Thu	Mar. 14, 2019	¥24,150	$3,599,106	-13.30%		123,201	$29	$108,028,845	7
Fri	Mar. 15, 2019	¥39,900	$5,937,500	64.97%	-81.42%	99,745	$60	$113,966,345	8
Sat	Mar. 16, 2019	¥72,800	$10,849,478	82.73%	-67.63%	98,884	$110	$124,815,823	9
Sun	Mar. 17, 2019	¥48,100	$7,157,738	-34.03%	-66.06%	91,213	$78	$131,973,562	10
Mon	Mar. 18, 2019	¥15,000	$2,232,143	-68.81%	-65.24%	77,294	$29	$134,205,704	11

 

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	Captain Marvel	Spider-man: Homecoming	Difference	Civil War	Difference	Infinity War	Difference
Previews	¥15,274	¥9,376	1.63	¥16,949	0.90	¥59,506	0.26
Friday	¥214,692	¥127,202	1.69	¥180,842	1.19	¥387,260	0.55
Saturday	¥225,210	¥173,986	1.29	¥248,896	0.90	¥493,566	0.46
Sunday	¥141,719	¥125,436	1.13	¥180,159	0.79	¥331,905	0.43
Monday	¥43,151	¥38,695	1.12	¥59,512	0.73	¥109,276	0.39
Tuesday	¥33,775	¥31,576	1.07	¥49,744	0.68	¥81,051	0.42
Wednesday	¥27,855	¥26,276	1.06	¥40,018	0.70	¥65,007	0.43
Thursday	¥24,150	¥22,111	1.09	¥32,853	0.74	¥52,286	0.46
Week One	¥725,826	¥554,658		¥808,973		¥1,579,857
Friday	¥39,900	¥19,178	2.08	¥48,740	0.82	¥71,891	0.56
Saturday	¥72,800	¥42,310	1.72	¥92,173	0.79	¥142,338	0.51
Sunday	¥48,100	¥31,023	1.55	¥67,049	0.72	¥132,541	0.36
Monday	¥15,000	¥8,279	1.81	¥20,186	0.74	¥31,682	0.47
Tuesday		¥7,253	0.00	¥17,685	0.00	¥25,233	0.00
Wednesday		¥6,479	0.00	¥15,418	0.00	¥21,247	0.00
Thursday		¥5,825	0.00	¥13,814	0.00	¥18,637	0.00
Week Two	¥175,800	¥120,347		¥275,065		¥443,569
Rest		¥99,750		¥159,927		¥367,026
Total	¥901,626	¥774,755		¥1,243,965		¥2,390,452

 

 

Heading for ¥1050-1100mn or $157-160mn full run.

I think it's quite good recovery no.

[catlover]

14 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

 Bold prediction time...

$15m OW / $35m total! 

 

I want it to get there, but EG will have Pikachu in its 3rd weekend while IW had nothing for 3 weekends, and screen lost is crucial in Indonesia. So, I think even if it opens with $14-15m, it will only finish around $30m.

 

For CM I expect it to finish at $19-20m. Will be 2nd or 3rd biggest ever. Could be lower though if Us hit it hard.

[charlie Jatinder]

Japan $0.7mn Monday / $6.6mn cume.

[druv10]

OS update for CM, up 1.8M+.

$495,869,447

 

[UserHN]

13 minutes ago, druv10 said:

OS update for CM, up 1.8M+.

$495,869,447

 

OS up by 1.8M but Dom down by 1.8M. Well balanced. As all things should be.

[cdsacken]

4 hours ago, Nero said:

I think it's quite good recovery no.

From 130? Hells yeah.

[Valonqar]

2 hours ago, UserHN said:

OS up by 1.8M but Dom down by 1.8M. Well balanced. As all things should be.

so i was half right (about OS jump) but that's better than full wrong. 

[terrestrial]

 

Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic:  $264,884,063    34.8% + Foreign:  $495,869,447    65.2% = Worldwide:  $760,753,510

 

dom / OS split...

 

 

 

 

[UserHN]

1 hour ago, terrestrial said:

 

Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic:  $264,884,063    34.8% + Foreign:  $495,869,447    65.2% = Worldwide:  $760,753,510

 

dom / OS split...

 

 

 

 

If it continues that 35/65 dom/int split, then a $400M dom would mean a $1.14B worldwide gross.

[MrGlass2]

4 hours ago, UserHN said:

If it continues that 35/65 dom/int split, then a $400M dom would mean a $1.14B worldwide gross.

The rapid decline in China (#1 OS market by far) means that the domestic share will rise.

[Fake]

This weekend, CM did 190M worldwide... so it should do arnd 55-60M for weekdays. i.e. it will be at nearly 820M before the start of weekend.

 

If CM can manage to get 100M+ for the weekend, 1.1B will be in play. 95M or lower will make it difficult. 105M or higher will lock it.

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, UserHN said:

If it continues that 35/65 dom/int split, then a $400M dom would mean a $1.14B worldwide gross.

And $750mn Os would mean $403mn, with the domestic share expected to rise, more like $410mn + $750mn.

[charlie Jatinder]

Monday Estimates

	Week One		Fri	Sat	Sun	2nd Weekend	Till 2nd Weekend		Mon
China	108		5.95	10.85	7.15	23.95	131.95		2.23
UK	22.2		2.1	3.8	2.9	8.8	31		1.1
Brazil	17.7		1.4	2.8	2.4	6.6	24.3		1
South Korea	28.31		1.45	3.8	2.9	8.15	36.46		0.6
Mexico	16.5		1.4	2.5	2.4	6.3	22.8		2.4
India	9.55		0.5	0.9	1.05	2.45	12		0.35
Australia	13.8		1.05	2.1	1.55	4.7	18.5		0.4
Indonesia	13.7		0.7	1	0.9	2.6	16.3		0.5
Russia	12.9		0.7	1.2	1.2	3.1	16		0.4
Germany	9.9		0.9	1.6	1.7	4.2	14.1		0.4
France	11		0.8	1.4	1.7	3.9	14.9		0.4
Japan			1.7	2	1.9	5.6	5.6		0.7
Rest	115.33		9.5	15.7	12.4	37.6	152.93		2.75
	378.89		28.15	49.65	40.15	117.95	496.84		13.23

Edited March 20, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[Purple Minion]

Mon should be higher in Mexico due to a bank holiday.

[charlie Jatinder]

Captain Marvel

Day	Date	Gross in ¥ ('000)	Gross in $	% +/- YD / LW*		Shows / Avg		Gross-to-Date	Day #
Thu	Mar. 07, 2019	¥15,274	$2,272,917			7,636	$298	$2,272,917	0
Fri	Mar. 8, 2019	¥214,692	$31,948,214			166,535	$192	$34,221,131	1
Sat	Mar. 09, 2019	¥225,210	$33,513,393	4.90%		171,449	$195	$67,734,524	2
Sun	Mar. 10, 2019	¥141,719	$21,089,137	-37.07%		166,595	$127	$88,823,661	3
Mon	Mar. 11, 2019	¥43,151	$6,421,280	-69.55%		145,973	$44	$95,244,940	4
Tue	Mar. 12, 2019	¥33,775	$5,033,532	-21.61%		140,519	$36	$100,278,473	5
Wed	Mar. 13, 2019	¥27,855	$4,151,267	-17.53%		136,917	$30	$104,429,739	6
Thu	Mar. 14, 2019	¥24,150	$3,599,106	-13.30%		123,201	$29	$108,028,845	7
Fri	Mar. 15, 2019	¥39,900	$5,937,500	64.97%	-81.42%	99,745	$60	$113,966,345	8
Sat	Mar. 16, 2019	¥72,800	$10,849,478	82.73%	-67.63%	98,884	$110	$124,815,823	9
Sun	Mar. 17, 2019	¥48,100	$7,157,738	-34.03%	-66.06%	91,213	$78	$131,973,562	10
Mon	Mar. 18, 2019	¥14,900	$2,217,262	-69.02%	-65.47%	79,500	$28	$134,190,823	11
Tue	Mar. 19, 2019	¥13,200	$1,949,286	-12.08%	-61.27%	71,500	$27	$136,140,109	12

 

 

Spoiler

	Captain Marvel	Spider-man: Homecoming	Difference	Civil War	Difference	Infinity War	Difference
Previews	¥15,274	¥9,376	1.63	¥16,949	0.90	¥59,506	0.26
Friday	¥214,692	¥127,202	1.69	¥180,842	1.19	¥387,260	0.55
Saturday	¥225,210	¥173,986	1.29	¥248,896	0.90	¥493,566	0.46
Sunday	¥141,719	¥125,436	1.13	¥180,159	0.79	¥331,905	0.43
Monday	¥43,151	¥38,695	1.12	¥59,512	0.73	¥109,276	0.39
Tuesday	¥33,775	¥31,576	1.07	¥49,744	0.68	¥81,051	0.42
Wednesday	¥27,855	¥26,276	1.06	¥40,018	0.70	¥65,007	0.43
Thursday	¥24,150	¥22,111	1.09	¥32,853	0.74	¥52,286	0.46
Week One	¥725,826	¥554,658		¥808,973		¥1,579,857
Friday	¥39,900	¥19,178	2.08	¥48,740	0.82	¥71,891	0.56
Saturday	¥72,800	¥42,310	1.72	¥92,173	0.79	¥142,338	0.51
Sunday	¥48,100	¥31,023	1.55	¥67,049	0.72	¥132,541	0.36
Monday	¥14,800	¥8,279	1.79	¥20,186	0.73	¥31,682	0.47
Tuesday	¥13,100	¥7,253	1.81	¥17,685	0.74	¥25,233	0.52
Wednesday		¥6,479	0.00	¥15,418	0.00	¥21,247	0.00
Thursday		¥5,825	0.00	¥13,814	0.00	¥18,637	0.00
Week Two	¥188,700	¥120,347		¥275,065		¥443,569
Rest		¥99,750		¥159,927		¥367,026
Total	¥914,526	¥774,755		¥1,243,965		¥2,390,452

 

[charlie Jatinder]

Japan Estimated numbers

Date	Gross
15-03-2019	$1,693,000
16-03-2019	$2,035,000
17-03-2019	$1,962,000
18-03-2019	$713,000
19-03-2019	$524,000

[fabiopazzo2]

 

[fabiopazzo2]

 

[Legion Again]

So Mexico holiday Monday was 25.2-22.8=2.4M? OS-M 10.8M, down a nice 50% from last Mon.    

 

Last weekdays were 3.37x Monday, but I’d expect it should be higher on a non-opening week.         

 

So perhaps around 10.8*3.7+4M from Mexico =44M weekdays for 540M Thurs, ~55M FSS to get 595? 

 

 

Edited March 19, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[pepsa]

2 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

So Mexico holiday Monday was 25.2-22.8=2.4M? OS-M 10.8M, down a nice 50% from last Mon.    

 

Last weekdays were 3.37x Monday, but I’d expect it should be higher on a non-opening week.         

 

So perhaps around 10.8*3.7+4M from Mexico =44M weekdays for 540M Thurs, ~55M FSS to get 595? 

 

 

Btw if you want to do the calculation for the drop last week you do have to subtract the mexico monday from last weeks OS numbers other wise you compare OS-M/ OS+M from last monday. So a tad bit better then a 50% drop great I would say. 

 

Eddit nvm it's a 49.8% drop so basicly 50% flat. Good drop will be better in the up comming days.

Edited March 19, 2019 by pepsa