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Weekend Thread ~ The Grinch 67m+ per DHD

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1 minute ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

John Carter and Battleship. That had to be one of the biggest, most epic flame outs ever. The guy is still getting work though. He's not going to starve.

He was also in Savages that same year, a movie that contains one of the worst lines of dialogue in history ("I have orgasms. He has wargasms." - Black Lively via voiceover as Kitschface angrily screws her brains out).

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3 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Still don’t understand the success of this movie 

Counting Venom, all the live action Spider-Man Brand movies will have done over 700m WW. 

 

Rank Title (click to view) Studio Worldwide Domestic / % Overseas / % Year
1 Spider-Man 3 Sony $890.9 $336.5 37.8% $554.3 62.2% 2007
2 Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony $880.2 $334.2 38% $546.0 62% 2017
3 Spider-Man Sony $821.7 $403.7 49.1% $418.0 50.9% 2002
4 Spider-Man 2 Sony $783.8 $373.6 47.7% $410.2 52.3% 2004
5 The Amazing Spider-Man Sony $757.9 $262.0 34.6% $495.9 65.4% 2012
6 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Sony $709.0 $202.9 28.6% $506.1 71.4% 2014
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9 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Still don’t understand the success of this movie 

 

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😛

 

but yeah obviously if you didn't like the movie, it makes sense to not understand its run.  I have plenty of films that I don't know why they did the business they did, but it happens I guess

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Transformers does huge numbers overseas so I'm not surprised. Also those massive trailer views meant something. They don't always tell the story but they meant something for the overseas numbers for sure. When it came to Venom anyway.

Edited by Zakiyyah6
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What's even more impressive for Venom is that it had such a low budget comparatively speaking. It will be making WW close to numbers that 150M-200M CMBs made. Good for Sony (they're gonna need the headline after Spider's Web).

 

As for Friday grosses, I'm going to guess 17-18M for Grinch (although wouldn't be surprised/disappointed with anything over 16). 4.4 for Overlord and 2.6 for Spider's Web. 

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For 100m+ prod budgets JW2 had the best WW gross to prod budget ratio (1305/178 = 7.33x) this year. Venom will easily beat that. Don't think it will miss 775, so 7.75x the 100m prod budget.

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So venom with 215 domestic, 170+ china and 380 OS-Ch = 765

 

Grinch comps I'm seeing a lot that have a preview multi of 30+ which seems high but that's what I'm seeing.  In the buzz thread thursday fandango sales were only 15% ahead of HotelTr3, even with seasonal differences that's not that much compared to DL saying some people expect 70-80m for Grinch.  So here's a guess right now:

 

2.2+17.8+28(+60%) + 20(-28.5%) = 68

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ok for the Grinch, should be sucessful even if it’s not a $250+ grosser

Spiders Web, missed its chance. Should have the biggest drop off for a sequel this year.

Overlord will do $8-$9 million, it needs $10 million or above. But we”ll see. Hell... does anyone remember  Krampus? 

Edited by Maxmoser3
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9 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

ok for the Grinch, should be sucessful even if it’s not a $250+ grosser

Spiders Web, missed its chance. Should have the biggest drop off for a sequel this year.

Overlord will do $8-$9 million, it needs $10 million or above. But we”ll see. Hell... does anyone remember  Krampus? 

Yes. Good movie!

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1 minute ago, CoolioD1 said:

nevermind claire foy the guy they got playing the Daniel Craig part in the new one is a total nobody. they just picked some bozo off the street what the hell.

Wasn't he in that Shia LaBeouf Borg vs. McEnroe movie that came and went with no fanfare last year (I think)?

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Pretty good for The Grinch, very solid for Overlord and :hahaha: for Spider's Web. Poor Fede Alvarez and Claire Foy, but the Fincher canon should have never been rebooted.

 

2 hours ago, Poseidon said:

Coco did $2,3m last year...

 

HT3 did $2,6m in July. 

I'm not sure what to think of that number. 

July should not be used as a comparison, cause, y'know, it's Summer (no schools) and this is November. Coco is a fair enough comparison, though.

Edited by MCKillswitch123
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8-Week Forecast

Quote
Release Date Title 3-Day Wide Release Tracking % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor
11/16/2018 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $70,000,000 -4% $205,000,000 -5% 4,000 Warner Bros.
11/16/2018 Instant Family $18,000,000   $100,000,000   3,000 Paramount
11/16/2018 Widows $15,500,000 -6% $61,100,000 -6% 3,000 Fox
11/21/2018 Creed II $34,000,000 13% $113,000,000 13% 3,300 MGM
11/21/2018 Ralph Breaks the Internet $50,000,000   $200,000,000   3,900 Disney
11/21/2018 Robin Hood $10,000,000   $30,000,000   2,900 Lionsgate / Summit
11/21/2018 Green Book (Wide Expansion) $5,500,000 NEW n/a   2,400 Universal
11/30/2018 The Possession of Hannah Grace n/a   n/a     Sony / Columbia
12/12/2018 Once Upon a Deadpool (Limited Release) n/a   n/a     Fox
12/14/2018 Mortal Engines $16,000,000   $55,000,000     Universal
12/14/2018 The Mule $14,000,000   $80,000,000     Warner Bros.
12/14/2018 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $22,000,000   $90,000,000     Sony / Columbia
12/19/2018 Mary Poppins Returns $40,000,000   $350,000,000     Disney
12/21/2018 Aquaman $50,000,000 11% $175,000,000     Warner Bros.
12/21/2018 Bumblebee $20,000,000   $100,000,000     Paramount
12/21/2018 Second Act $7,000,000   $40,000,000     STX
12/21/2018 Welcome to Marwen n/a   n/a     Universal
12/25/2018 Holmes & Watson $17,000,000   $85,000,000     Sony / Columbia
12/25/2018 Vice (Wide) n/a   $65,000,000     Annapurna
1/4/2019 Eli (2019) n/a   n/a     Paramount
1/4/2019 Escape Room $13,000,000 NEW $32,000,000 NEW

 

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-escape-room/

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