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2020 Box office discussion

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On 11/25/2019 at 5:00 PM, MCKillswitch123 said:

No guarantee it's gonna have better wom. Plus, The Rock's had his missteps, like Skyscraper.

Jungle Cruise will be much more strong domestically than Skyscraper , i will be surprised if It don't make at least $150m Dom.

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WW84 Prediction:

$372M Domestic

$417M Overseas

$789M Worldwide

 

I don't believe for a second that this movie will live up to its predecessor. Which means a lower domestic multiplier than the first and not much growth overseas. 

Edited by meridan
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3 hours ago, meridan said:

WW84 Prediction:

$372M Domestic

$417M Overseas

$789M Worldwide

 

I don't believe for a second that this movie will live up to its predecessor. Which means a lower domestic multiplier than the first and not much growth overseas. Can't really understand the people that think this movie has any chance of doing better numbers than BLACK WIDOW. 

I'll eat a pair of my own underwear if it goes that low overseas. I dont think it'll go that low domestic either but your overseas prediction sticks out to me more.

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3 hours ago, JB33 said:

I'll eat a pair of my own underwear if it goes that low overseas. I dont think it'll go that low domestic either but your overseas prediction sticks out to me more.

Why is it so hard to believe? The first one made $409M overseas. I looked at the overseas data from the first film and I can't really see which markets will have a substantial growth for the second film. It's going to do fine in Mexico, Brazil, UK & Australia. The main problem will be Italy, India, Russia & the Asian (China, Japan, South Korea) market. 

Edited by meridan
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BW and Bond 25 seem like they're gonna rule next year, the peak of spy films coming after the peak of superhero films (2018-2019) perhaps?

Minions 2 will also be a spy film, kiddie version (literally with kid Gru)

 

Those are most likely the top 4 WW along with Mulan...

Edited by Royce
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On 12/1/2019 at 2:45 PM, Jonwo said:

Jungle Cruise does look good but I think it's going to be a moderate hit than a huge smash. 

 

 

Disney screwed up the release date.  Jungle Cruise looks to be almost the perfect type of holiday release movie similar to the new Jumanji's, National Treasures and Night at the Museums.   In the summer it is competing to be peoples first choice while the holidays its the acceptable choice for entire families.   I really do think a summer release is costing them 50 million or more of potential box office.  

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1 minute ago, jimisawesome said:

Disney screwed up the release date.  Jungle Cruise looks to be almost the perfect type of holiday release movie similar to the new Jumanji's, National Treasures and Night at the Museums.   In the summer it is competing to be peoples first choice while the holidays its the acceptable choice for entire families.   I really do think a summer release is costing them 50 million or more of potential box office.  

Yes, but at the same time it feels like a summer-y movie a la Pirates of the Caribbean. I know it sounds silly but it's a real factor. Jungle Cruise feels like the kind of movie audiences will just gravitate to in the middle of summer.

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IGN put out some predictions:

https://www.ign.com/articles/2019/12/30/2020-movies-box-office-predictions

Projected Domestic Top 20 for 2020:

  1. Wonder Woman - $493.6 million
  2. Dune - $472.6 million
  3. Fast & Furious 9 - $357.8 million
  4. No Time to Die - $338.5 million
  5. Black Widow $314.8 million
  6. Raya and the Last Dragon $296.4 million
  7. The Eternals - $286.9 million
  8. Mulan - $287.4 million
  9. Tenet - $274.3 million
  10. Uncharted - $273.8 million
  11. Soul - $273.5 million
  12. Top Gun: Maverick - $263.9 million
  13. Halloween Kills - $230.7 million
  14. Ghostbusters: Afterlife - $223.6 million
  15. Jungle Cruise - $216.8 million
  16. Free Guy - $204.6 million
  17. Venom 2 - $203.6 million
  18. Morbius - $198.7 million
  19. A Quiet Place 2 - $193.2 million
  20. Godzilla Vs. Kong - $127.4 million

But then later in the piece they also have these which are not in the top 20 list:

Birds of Prey -  $68.7 million debut, $248.9 million domestic
Onward - $38.9 million debut, $158.4 million domestic
Scoob! - $36.2 million debut, $145.8 million domestic
Bill & Ted Face the Music - $32.6 million debut, $174.2 million domestic
The King’s Man - $28.7 million debut, $134.8 million domestic

Some of these seem very reasonable.  Others not so much.

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55 minutes ago, MattW said:

IGN put out some predictions:

https://www.ign.com/articles/2019/12/30/2020-movies-box-office-predictions

Projected Domestic Top 20 for 2020:

  1. Wonder Woman - $493.6 million
  2. Dune - $472.6 million
  3. Fast & Furious 9 - $357.8 million
  4. No Time to Die - $338.5 million
  5. Black Widow $314.8 million
  6. Raya and the Last Dragon $296.4 million
  7. The Eternals - $286.9 million
  8. Mulan - $287.4 million
  9. Tenet - $274.3 million
  10. Uncharted - $273.8 million
  11. Soul - $273.5 million
  12. Top Gun: Maverick - $263.9 million
  13. Halloween Kills - $230.7 million
  14. Ghostbusters: Afterlife - $223.6 million
  15. Jungle Cruise - $216.8 million
  16. Free Guy - $204.6 million
  17. Venom 2 - $203.6 million
  18. Morbius - $198.7 million
  19. A Quiet Place 2 - $193.2 million
  20. Godzilla Vs. Kong - $127.4 million

But then later in the piece they also have these which are not in the top 20 list:

Birds of Prey -  $68.7 million debut, $248.9 million domestic
Onward - $38.9 million debut, $158.4 million domestic
Scoob! - $36.2 million debut, $145.8 million domestic
Bill & Ted Face the Music - $32.6 million debut, $174.2 million domestic
The King’s Man - $28.7 million debut, $134.8 million domestic

Some of these seem very reasonable.  Others not so much.

Well they're certainly bullish as hell on Dune eh. 

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2 hours ago, MattW said:

IGN put out some predictions:

https://www.ign.com/articles/2019/12/30/2020-movies-box-office-predictions

Projected Domestic Top 20 for 2020:

  1. Wonder Woman - $493.6 million
  2. Dune - $472.6 million
  3. Fast & Furious 9 - $357.8 million
  4. No Time to Die - $338.5 million
  5. Black Widow $314.8 million
  6. Raya and the Last Dragon $296.4 million
  7. The Eternals - $286.9 million
  8. Mulan - $287.4 million
  9. Tenet - $274.3 million
  10. Uncharted - $273.8 million
  11. Soul - $273.5 million
  12. Top Gun: Maverick - $263.9 million
  13. Halloween Kills - $230.7 million
  14. Ghostbusters: Afterlife - $223.6 million
  15. Jungle Cruise - $216.8 million
  16. Free Guy - $204.6 million
  17. Venom 2 - $203.6 million
  18. Morbius - $198.7 million
  19. A Quiet Place 2 - $193.2 million
  20. Godzilla Vs. Kong - $127.4 million

But then later in the piece they also have these which are not in the top 20 list:

Birds of Prey -  $68.7 million debut, $248.9 million domestic
Onward - $38.9 million debut, $158.4 million domestic
Scoob! - $36.2 million debut, $145.8 million domestic
Bill & Ted Face the Music - $32.6 million debut, $174.2 million domestic
The King’s Man - $28.7 million debut, $134.8 million domestic

Some of these seem very reasonable.  Others not so much.

Wonder Woman - 135/410

Dune - 33/140

Fast 9 - 85/200

No Time to Die - 65/210

Black Widow - 140/385

Raya - 30/100

Eternals - 110/350

Mulan - 95/300

Tenet - 65/240

Uncharted - 25/85

Soul - 100/340

Top Gun - 65/160

Halloween - 50/115

Ghostbusters - 52/155

Jungle Cruise - 67/210

Free Guy - 38/116

Venom - 70/175

Morbius - 40/108

Quiet Place 2 - 70/200

GvK - 56/130

BoP - 50/135

Onward - 60/235

Scoob - 45/160

Bill/Ted - 32/85

King's Man - 35/110

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29 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Wonder Woman - 135/410

Dune - 33/140

Fast 9 - 85/200

No Time to Die - 65/210

Black Widow - 140/385

Raya - 30/100

Eternals - 110/350

Mulan - 95/300

Tenet - 65/240

Uncharted - 25/85

Soul - 100/340

Top Gun - 65/160

Halloween - 50/115

Ghostbusters - 52/155

Jungle Cruise - 67/210

Free Guy - 38/116

Venom - 70/175

Morbius - 40/108

Quiet Place 2 - 70/200

GvK - 56/130

BoP - 50/135

Onward - 60/235

Scoob - 45/160

Bill/Ted - 32/85

King's Man - 35/110

Why so low on Raya and so high on Scoob and Kings Man

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Wonder Woman - 150/450

Dune - 33/115

Fast 9 - 65/155

No Time to Die - 65/170

Black Widow - 125/335

Raya - 50/250

Eternals - 110/385

Mulan - 115/280

Tenet - 65/240

Uncharted - 25/85

Soul - 100/335

Top Gun - 50/135

Halloween - 60/130

Ghostbusters - 35/80

Jungle Cruise - 70/210

Free Guy - 30/100

Venom - 70/175

Morbius - 30/75

Quiet Place 2 - 60/180

GvK - 56/145

BoP - 60/150

Onward - 60/235

Scoob - 35/105

Bill/Ted - 32/85

King's Man - 25/65

Edited by YourMother the Edgelord
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