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2020 Box office discussion

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My prediction - Top10 worldwide.

 

1. Fast & Furious 9 - $1.08B  [domestic: $200 mln / overseas: $880 mln] - seriously, it is the only 100% sure 1 billion-breaker next year. :D

2. Mulan - $1.025B  [domestic: $175 mln / overseas: $850 mln ~ $350 mln from China]

3. WW84 - $1.015B  [domestic: $445 mln / overseas: $570 mln] - it might ends up with $380 mln in US, but I'm optimistic about it

4. Black Widow - $900 mln  [domestic: $310 mln / overseas: $590 mln]

5. No Time to Die - $850 mln  [domestic: $220 mln / overseas: $630 mln]

6. Minions: The Rise of Skywalker - $825 mln  [domestic: $210 mln / overseas: $615 mln]

7. Soul - $780 mln  [domestic: $290 mln / overseas: $490 mln]

8. "Some chinese movie" - $750 mln  [98% from China]

9. Eternals - $720 mln  [domestic: $260 mln / overseas: $460 mln]

10. Top Gun: Maverick - $700 mln  [domestic: $205 mln / overseas: $495 mln]

 

Venom 2 won't cross $600 mln worldwide, I don't know about Tenet, maybe (cause it might have a shot for $250 mln domestic).

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Looks like it'll be a down year boxoffice wise, but that's ok. Not everything needs to increase year-after-year-after-year. The real danger is if Hollywood overreacts and thinks a decline in overall boxoffice revenue is a harbinger of the end of feature film. And we see a stream of top talent increasingly leaving for streaming platforms.

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22 hours ago, Juby said:

My prediction - Top10 worldwide.

 

1. Fast & Furious 9 - $1.08B  [domestic: $200 mln / overseas: $880 mln] - seriously, it is the only 100% sure 1 billion-breaker next year. :D

2. Mulan - $1.025B  [domestic: $175 mln / overseas: $850 mln ~ $350 mln from China]

3. WW84 - $1.015B  [domestic: $445 mln / overseas: $570 mln] - it might ends up with $380 mln in US, but I'm optimistic about it

4. Black Widow - $900 mln  [domestic: $310 mln / overseas: $590 mln]

5. No Time to Die - $850 mln  [domestic: $220 mln / overseas: $630 mln]

6. Minions: The Rise of Skywalker - $825 mln  [domestic: $210 mln / overseas: $615 mln]

7. Soul - $780 mln  [domestic: $290 mln / overseas: $490 mln]

8. "Some chinese movie" - $750 mln  [98% from China]

9. Eternals - $720 mln  [domestic: $260 mln / overseas: $460 mln]

10. Top Gun: Maverick - $700 mln  [domestic: $205 mln / overseas: $495 mln]

 

Venom 2 won't cross $600 mln worldwide, I don't know about Tenet, maybe (cause it might have a shot for $250 mln domestic).

If avatar was 2020 the 5 billies would be jarring to look at

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Dom.

 

WW1984 -425m

Soul- 385m

Eternals- 375m

BW- 350m 

Mulan- 323m

Tenet -280m

Onward- 250-270m

No time to die- 220m

Raya- 250m

Dune- 220m

TGM- 200m+

In the heights- 200m

Venom- 200m+/-

FF9- 200m+/-

 

WW

FF9- 1.1b

Mulan- 1.1b

Eternals- 1.05b

WW84-. 925m

NTTD- 900m

BW- 875m

Soul -800m

Venom-750m

Tenet- 700m+

Onward- 700m+

Raya- Moana numbers.

Dune -600m+

TGM- 500m+

Tom and Jerry- 500m.

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, JWR said:

I'm predicting that either Soul or Raya and The Last Dragon will beat Minions: The Rise of Gru to become the highest grossing animated movie of 2020.

I think that’s obvious.

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My prediction is the domestic BO collapses this year. The last couple of years, the blockbusters held up the BO while smaller and mid-budget films have done worse and worse financially. I see this trend continuing and with no major blockbuster for 2020, I think the year may be the lowest grossing  year on record since 2006. I know that's pretty bleak, and maybe I'm wrong, but I don't see any movie hitting more than $450M this year and we may not even get a $400M grosser.

Edited by CloneWars
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On 12/19/2019 at 6:37 PM, JB33 said:

Yes, but at the same time it feels like a summer-y movie a la Pirates of the Caribbean. I know it sounds silly but it's a real factor. Jungle Cruise feels like the kind of movie audiences will just gravitate to in the middle of summer.

I actually think the Pirates movies would have actually been better in December like Jumanji honestly.

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22 hours ago, IronJimbo said:

If avatar was 2020 the 5 billies would be jarring to look at

 

I don't know about 5 billies, but $3B for sure and easily no. 1 domestic, overseas and worldwide. Shame they postponed it. :(

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2 hours ago, CloneWars said:

My prediction is the domestic BO collapses this year. The last couple of years, the blockbusters held up the BO while smaller and mid-budget films have done worse and worse financially. I see this trend continuing and with no major blockbuster for 2020, I think the year may be the lowest grossing  year on record since 2006. I know that's pretty bleak, and maybe I'm wrong, but I don't see any movie hitting more than $450M this year and we may not even get a $400M grosser.

More like the lack of blockbusters will give more room for mid-budget films to breakout. I'm expecting this to be the one of the best year for studios that aren't called Disney.There's even a good chance Paramount hits a billie domestic for the first time in 6 years.

Edited by lorddemaxus
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