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2020 Box office discussion

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12 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

2020 MCU over 2017 MCU, at least one Billie movie. Not willing to go over 3B yet, have to see the full schedule and how FFH does.

I don’t think The Eternals will get there and Black Widow definitely won’t. Besides they only have two movies that year.

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Just now, YourMother the Edgelord said:

I don’t think The Eternals will get there and Black Widow definitely won’t. Besides they only have two movies that year.

I’m expecting a third to be added, if they stay at 2 then obviously the above prediction goes entirely out the window. Why I had that full schedule caveat.

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3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

I’m expecting a third to be added, if they stay at 2 then obviously the above prediction goes entirely out the window. Why I had that full schedule caveat.

How far ahead is Shang Chi? As Disney has already given up the July spot Marvel had.

 

Also even then, aside from The Eternals, I don’t think Widow or Chi will reach as big as Panther/Marvel or even GOTG.

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Nothing is confirmed. Black Widow and Eternals both seem to be >98% likely. Then I’d personally estimate

60% Shang-Chi

5% DS2  

5% wildcard

30% no 3rd movie    

 

We’ll know for sure by the end of D23.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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Just now, Thanos Legion said:

Nothing is confirmed. Black Widow and Eternals both seem to be >98% likely. Then I’d personally estimate

60% Shang-Chi

5% DS2  

5% wildcard

30% no 3rd movie    

 

We’ll know for sure by the end of D23.

But where would Shang Chi go as Disney removed it’s spot. Shang Chi hasn’t even had casting like the other two. We are likely getting 2 next year.

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Definitely a weaker year than 2019. Just going through the schedule this is what I think some of the highlights will be (either cause they do very well or bomb).

 

Bad boys - 35/100

Dr. Dolittle - 26/80

Birds of Prey - 65/170

Peter Rabbit - 22/80

Kingsman - 30/70

Onward - 70/230

Godzilla v Kong - 105/250

Gi Joe - 20/50

Mulan - 115/310

Bond 25 - 66/170

Trolls - 35/120

Black Widow (?) - 105/260

Greyhound - 23/90

Scooby - 35/110

Fast 9 - 68/150

SpongeBob - 30/85

Wonder Woman - 150/390

Candyman - 45/110

Top Gun - 60/175

Minions 2 - 70/200

Ghostbusters - 65/160

NOLAN - 60/200

Jungle Cruise - 72/210

Morbius - 50/130

Coming 2 America - 25/70

Conjuring 3 - 45/120

Death on the Nile - 26/80

The Witches - 35/100

Dune - 40/110

Avatar 2 - 125/450

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14 minutes ago, DAJK said:

SpongeBob - 30/85

I do agree Spongebob will have a nasty fall but should reach $100M. The CGI novelty is lost and I feel that it being an origin story makes it worse.

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11 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Betting on Doctor Strange 2 on November 6, 2020.

no that's the Eternals. Black Widow is May 2020, Eternals is November. Both are full steam ahead in pre-production currently. 

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13 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Definitely a weaker year than 2019. Just going through the schedule this is what I think some of the highlights will be (either cause they do very well or bomb).

 

 

 

Wonder Woman - 150/390   Underestimated. I say 200M OW

 

Top Gun - 60/175    Overestimated  40/100M

 

Ghostbusters - 65/160  Way Overestimated 35/100

NOLAN - 60/200    Sounds about right

Jungle Cruise - 72/210   Yeah, i agree

 

Dune - 40/110  Shut your motuh. This is doing 100M OW

 

my opinion

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5 minutes ago, Alli said:

my opinion

I have WW1984 increasing but I can't see $200M OW even with a weak half of the year, best case is around $160M OW.

Edited by YourMother the Edgelord
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Just now, YourMother the Edgelord said:

I have WW1984 increasing but I can't see $200M OW even with a weak half of the year, best case is around $160M OW.

The first one was so beloved. It had epic legs. When marketing kicks in, we'll have a better view of things to come. I hope it opens huge.

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Aside from WW1984, the two other films with the best chance of winning are Onward if it’s a masterpiece and the Holland/Pratt help wouldn’t hurt and The Eternals if Disney pushes for Xmas.

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