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Monday Numbers: FB2 - $5.10M estimate

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5.1 is a 66.8% drop for FB2 from 15.37

 

Tue should jump higher than FB1. JL was +41%.

I think FB2 can manage +45% on Tue.

 

FB1 (2016)

21 
$6,758,059
-63.5% / -
4,144 / $1,631
$81,161,446 / 4
22 
$9,301,677
37.6% / -
4,144 / $2,245
$90,463,123 / 5
23 
$10,931,033
17.5% / -
4,144 / $2,638
$101,394,156 / 6
24 
$9,533,397
-12.8% / -
4,144 / $2,301
$110,927,553 / 7

 

JL (2017)

20 

$7,508,311
-66.9% / -
4,051 / $1,853
$101,350,550 / 4
21 

$10,551,093
40.5% / -
4,051 / $2,605
$111,901,643 / 5
22 

$10,448,116
-1% / -
4,051 / $2,579
$122,349,759 / 6
23 
 1
$8,463,624
-19% / -
4,051 / $2,089
$130,813,383 / 7
Edited by a2k
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9 minutes ago, a2k said:

5.1 is a 66.8% drop for FB2 from 15.37

  

Tue should jump higher than FB1. JL was +41%.

I think FB2 can manage +45% on Tue.

 

FB1 (2016)

21 
$6,758,059
-63.5% / -
4,144 / $1,631
$81,161,446 / 4
22 
$9,301,677
37.6% / -
4,144 / $2,245
$90,463,123 / 5
23 
$10,931,033
17.5% / -
4,144 / $2,638
$101,394,156 / 6
24 
$9,533,397
-12.8% / -
4,144 / $2,301
$110,927,553 / 7

 

JL (2017)

20 

$7,508,311
-66.9% / -
4,051 / $1,853
$101,350,550 / 4
21 

$10,551,093
40.5% / -
4,051 / $2,605
$111,901,643 / 5
22 

$10,448,116
-1% / -
4,051 / $2,579
$122,349,759 / 6
23 
 1
$8,463,624
-19% / -
4,051 / $2,089
$130,813,383 / 7

:whosad:

 

performing on par with JL would be horrible for FB2 (both movies have the same RT score). Remember JL only managed to do 2.44x multiplier

 

 

Edited by RealLyre
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7 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

:whosad:

 

performing on par with JL would be horrible for FB2 (both movies have the same RT score). Remember JL only managed to do 2.44x multiplier

 

 

JL was a CBM and post BVS didn't even have good support from it's fan-base. It's ow of 93.8 was vastly different from 166 of BVS. FB2 though fell 16% from FB1's 74 and has the same mixed reception as JL, has retained more support from it's fan-base in comparison to JL I felel, and has evaded mistakes like Superman's CGI face. Don't think it can miss 2.6-2.7x legs.

Edited by a2k
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Daily Domestic Chart for Monday November 19th, 2018

← Previous Chart Chart Index  
 
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (1) Fantastic Beasts: The Crime… Warner Bros. $5,100,000 -67% 4,163 $1,225   $67,263,104 4
- (7) A Star is Born Warner Bros. $550,000 -56% 2,010 $274   $186,334,570 46
- (11) Venom Sony Pictures $268,000 -54% 1,307 $205   $210,345,668 46
- (9) The Girl in the Spider’s Web Sony Pictures $265,000 -61% 2,929 $90   $13,557,139 11
- (-) Smallfoot Warner Bros. $65,000 -53% 493 $132   $81,421,772 53
- (-) The Front Runner Sony Pictures $9,000 -63% 22 $409   $175,533 14
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58 minutes ago, a2k said:

has retained more support from it's fan-base in comparison to JL

It hasn’t done a very good job of retaining the overall Harry Potter fan base so far tbh.

 

It’s not too bad when you just compare it to the last prequel I suppose. But lowest opening, first rotten score, poor WOM.

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6 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

It hasn’t done a very good job of retaining the overall Harry Potter fan base so far tbh.

 

It’s not too bad when you just compare it to the last prequel I suppose. But lowest opening, first rotten score, poor WOM.

Meant compared to FB1. not Potter. That compared to FB1's 74 FB2 pulled in 62 in the ow means it has retained more appeal than JL did compared to BVS (166 to 94).

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9 minutes ago, a2k said:

Meant compared to FB1. not Potter. That compared to FB1's 74 FB2 pulled in 62 in the ow means it has retained more appeal than JL did compared to BVS (166 to 94).

Because FB1 was not as hated as much as BvS.

Edited by Kalo
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1 hour ago, a2k said:

JL was a CBM and post BVS didn't even have good support from it's fan-base. It's ow of 93.8 was vastly different from 166 of BVS. FB2 though fell 16% from FB1's 74 and has the same mixed reception as JL, has retained more support from it's fan-base in comparison to JL I felel, and has evaded mistakes like Superman's CGI face. Don't think it can miss 2.6-2.7x legs.

Will lose theaters faster once December rolls around.

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1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Yeah, I wouldn't equate Fantastic Beasts/Fantastic Beasts 2 to a Batman v Superman/Justice League situation. The impact of the reception to Fantastic Beasts 2 won't become evident until Fantastic Beasts 3 opens (assuming it gets made).

3 will definitely get made. IT's 4 and 5 that are probably done for. 

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