Thanksgiving Weekend Thread: ESTIMATES (Page 40) | Ralph 55.7M (84.5M Total) | Creed II 35.3M (55.8M Total) | The Grinch 30.2M | Grindelwald 29.7M | Robin Hood 9.1M (14.2M Total) | AMAZING BLACK FRIDAY SALE

[RamblinRed]

The biggest mistake for the FB series is not having a true screenwriter.

rowling is a bookwriter not a screenwriter and it shows - those are 2 very different talents. 

Her books tend to be so dense you need a strong screenwriter who can take the book and adapt it down to its core for a decent length movie - i am not sure Rowling is capable of doing that.

 

If WB doesn't bring in a very strong screenwriter for the next movie I could see FB going the way of Divergent.

 

Also, very good numbers for Creed and impressive as heck for Ralph.

[abra]

https://twitter.com/BORReport/status/1065635090057768960 https://twitter.com/BORReport/status/1065635090057768960

 

[filmlover]

Based on Crimes of Grindelwald, it wouldn't be much of a shock if Rowling said years from now that she was just making it up as she went along. The scattershot final product sure does show it.

[XO21]

The fact FB2 is making Divergent numbers. Adjusted for inflation the first Divergent did $171m DOM. 

[WrathOfHan]

My theater is looking quiet today outside of Creed and some showings of Ralph. I can see Creed, Bohemian Rhapsody, Widows, and Green Book dropping under 10-15%, but everything else is probably coming in for 20%+.

[kswiston]

1 minute ago, XO21 said:

The fact FB2 is making Divergent numbers. Adjusted for inflation the first Divergent did $171m DOM. 

 

At this point you have to incite better holds than FB1 going forward to get FB2 to that number. 

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, XO21 said:

The fact FB2 is making Divergent numbers. Adjusted for inflation the first Divergent did $171m DOM. 

Edited November 22, 2018 by a2k

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

My theater is looking quiet today outside of Creed and some showings of Ralph. I can see Creed, Bohemian Rhapsody, Widows, and Green Book dropping under 10-15%, but everything else is probably coming in for 20%+.

That's the norm for Thanksgiving. Everything will surge back up tomorrow.

[babz06]

19 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I don't think that's it. Last year saw Lady Bird, Three Billboards, Call Me by Your Name, Darkest Hour, The Shape of Water, I, Tonya, The Post, and Phantom Thread (all movies that went on to receive major Oscar attention) all open in the last two months and each put up at least respectable grosses. I guess last year's crop of contenders was just more appealing to audiences than the ones this year.

Agreed. Some years there are more appealing films and other years they're arent any. This year it looks like only ASIB, Black Panther and Blakkklansman will be the success stories BO-wise. I would have said Vice might do well too but that budget is ridiculous. 

[sfran43]

 

Edited November 22, 2018 by sfran43

[a2k]

FB2 could settle below HT3 on the dom charts. Hopefully not below Halloween. ASIB, AQM, CRA should be top 3 WB doms for the year.

 

12	Crazy Rich Asians	WB	$173,765,895	3,865	$26,510,140	3,384	8/15	-
13	Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation	Sony	$167,485,460	4,267	$44,076,225	4,267	7/13	-
14	Halloween (2018)	Uni.	$158,945,295	3,990	$76,221,545	3,928	10/19	-

Edited November 22, 2018 by a2k
now => not

[Valonqar]

Instant Family is slaying. Also BR increased while other holdovers decreased. 

[John Marston]

congrats to Bohemian Rhapsody to be the latest movie that outgrossed Solo worldwide

 

 

1	Avengers: Infinity War	BV	$2,046.9	$678.8	33.2%	$1,368.1	66.8%
2	Black Panther	BV	$1,346.9	$700.1	52.0%	$646.9	48.0%
3	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	Uni.	$1,304.9	$416.8	31.9%	$888.2	68.1%
4	Incredibles 2	BV	$1,240.2	$608.4	49.1%	$631.8	50.9%
5	Mission: Impossible - Fallout	Par.	$791.0	$220.2	27.8%	$570.9	72.2%
6	Venom (2018)	Sony	$780.0	$210.6	27.0%	$569.4	73.0%
7	Deadpool 2	Fox	$734.2	$318.5	43.4%	$415.8	56.6%
8	Ant-Man and the Wasp	BV	$622.6	$216.6	34.8%	$406.0	65.2%
9	Ready Player One	WB	$582.2	$137.0	23.5%	$445.2	76.5%
10	Operation Red Sea	WGUSA	$579.2	$1.5	0.3%	$577.7	99.7%
11	Detective Chinatown 2	WB	$544.1	$2.0	0.4%	$542.1	99.6%
12	The Meg	WB	$527.8	$143.0	27.1%	$384.8	72.9%
13	Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation	Sony	$526.7	$167.5	31.8%	$359.3	68.2%
14	Rampage (2018)	WB (NL)	$426.3	$99.3	23.3%	$327.0	76.7%
15	Bohemian Rhapsody	Fox	$401.2	$132.6	33.1%	$268.6	66.9%
16	Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again	Uni.	$393.5	$120.6	30.7%	$272.9	69.3%
17	Solo: A Star Wars Story	BV	$392.9	$213.8	54.4%	$179.2	45.6%

[kswiston]

1 minute ago, John Marston said:

congrats to Bohemian Rhapsody to be the latest movie that outgrossed Solo worldwide

 

 

1	Avengers: Infinity War	BV	$2,046.9	$678.8	33.2%	$1,368.1	66.8%
2	Black Panther	BV	$1,346.9	$700.1	52.0%	$646.9	48.0%
3	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	Uni.	$1,304.9	$416.8	31.9%	$888.2	68.1%
4	Incredibles 2	BV	$1,240.2	$608.4	49.1%	$631.8	50.9%
5	Mission: Impossible - Fallout	Par.	$791.0	$220.2	27.8%	$570.9	72.2%
6	Venom (2018)	Sony	$780.0	$210.6	27.0%	$569.4	73.0%
7	Deadpool 2	Fox	$734.2	$318.5	43.4%	$415.8	56.6%
8	Ant-Man and the Wasp	BV	$622.6	$216.6	34.8%	$406.0	65.2%
9	Ready Player One	WB	$582.2	$137.0	23.5%	$445.2	76.5%
10	Operation Red Sea	WGUSA	$579.2	$1.5	0.3%	$577.7	99.7%
11	Detective Chinatown 2	WB	$544.1	$2.0	0.4%	$542.1	99.6%
12	The Meg	WB	$527.8	$143.0	27.1%	$384.8	72.9%
13	Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation	Sony	$526.7	$167.5	31.8%	$359.3	68.2%
14	Rampage (2018)	WB (NL)	$426.3	$99.3	23.3%	$327.0	76.7%
15	Bohemian Rhapsody	Fox	$401.2	$132.6	33.1%	$268.6	66.9%
16	Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again	Uni.	$393.5	$120.6	30.7%	$272.9	69.3%
17	Solo: A Star Wars Story	BV	$392.9	$213.8	54.4%	$179.2	45.6%

 

The first 3 Disney Star Wars films were 1st or 2nd for the year worldwide. Solo will miss the top 20. 

[titanic2187]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

congrats to Bohemian Rhapsody to be the latest movie that outgrossed Solo worldwide

 

 

1	Avengers: Infinity War	BV	$2,046.9	$678.8	33.2%	$1,368.1	66.8%
2	Black Panther	BV	$1,346.9	$700.1	52.0%	$646.9	48.0%
3	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	Uni.	$1,304.9	$416.8	31.9%	$888.2	68.1%
4	Incredibles 2	BV	$1,240.2	$608.4	49.1%	$631.8	50.9%
5	Mission: Impossible - Fallout	Par.	$791.0	$220.2	27.8%	$570.9	72.2%
6	Venom (2018)	Sony	$780.0	$210.6	27.0%	$569.4	73.0%
7	Deadpool 2	Fox	$734.2	$318.5	43.4%	$415.8	56.6%
8	Ant-Man and the Wasp	BV	$622.6	$216.6	34.8%	$406.0	65.2%
9	Ready Player One	WB	$582.2	$137.0	23.5%	$445.2	76.5%
10	Operation Red Sea	WGUSA	$579.2	$1.5	0.3%	$577.7	99.7%
11	Detective Chinatown 2	WB	$544.1	$2.0	0.4%	$542.1	99.6%
12	The Meg	WB	$527.8	$143.0	27.1%	$384.8	72.9%
13	Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation	Sony	$526.7	$167.5	31.8%	$359.3	68.2%
14	Rampage (2018)	WB (NL)	$426.3	$99.3	23.3%	$327.0	76.7%
15	Bohemian Rhapsody	Fox	$401.2	$132.6	33.1%	$268.6	66.9%
16	Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again	Uni.	$393.5	$120.6	30.7%	$272.9	69.3%
17	Solo: A Star Wars Story	BV	$392.9	$213.8	54.4%	$179.2	45.6%

‘Solo: A Star Wars Story’ Soars On Tracking To Potential $170M+ Four-Day Weekend

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

1 minute ago, titanic2187 said:

‘Solo: A Star Wars Story’ Soars On Tracking To Potential $170M+ Four-Day Weekend

Solo: A Star Wars Story outsells Black Panther times two

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

 

Just now, kswiston said:

 

The first 3 Disney Star Wars films were 1st or 2nd for the year worldwide. Solo will miss the top 20. 

[grim22]

Just now, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

Solo: A Star Wars Story outsells Black Panther times two

This is factually correct though. It did outsell BP, just that Star Wars is very presales heavy

[Zakiyyah6]

So far Solo has by far this year's most embarrassing gross in relation to expectations. Star Wars movies should only be compared to other Star Wars movies when it comes to pre-sales. They shouldn't be compared to comic book movies. 

Edited November 22, 2018 by Zakiyyah6

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

This is factually correct though. It did outsell BP, just that Star Wars is very presales heavy

Solo's pre-sale hype only lasted a few days though.