Thanksgiving Weekend Thread: ESTIMATES (Page 40) | Ralph 55.7M (84.5M Total) | Creed II 35.3M (55.8M Total) | The Grinch 30.2M | Grindelwald 29.7M | Robin Hood 9.1M (14.2M Total) | AMAZING BLACK FRIDAY SALE

[TalismanRing]

6 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Creed II is a huge win for MGM given this is the first big film they've distributed, WB will be happy as well because they have OS but I don't think it'll do as well but still good business as well.

 

It feels nice to see a big number next to an MGM release again.   It also shows that they really don't need a US distributor for Bond - and it's actually an easier O/S sell.

[HalloFromGermany]

Great numbers for Creed II!

 

Win Rocky - Win!

[Daenys]

https://deadline.com/2018/11/spider-man-into-the-spider-verse-early-projection-mortal-engines-clint-eastwood-the-mule-1202505970/

[Krissykins]

13 minutes ago, PANDA said:

Makes me happy I was on the MBJ train since Fruitvale Station.

Well done for not falling off the train after Awkward Moment and Fantastic Four

[WrathOfHan]

12 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Creed II is a huge win for MGM given this is the first big film they've distributed, WB will be happy as well because they have OS but I don't think it'll do as well but still good business as well. 

 

 

Annapurna has some involvement too, right? They need this money.

[YM!]

6 minutes ago, Daenys said:

https://deadline.com/2018/11/spider-man-into-the-spider-verse-early-projection-mortal-engines-clint-eastwood-the-mule-1202505970/

As such, Sony’s Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse is the first big movie to hit the marquee following Thanksgiving, and should the film –which we hear is great– comes up short in its opening weekend, it will likely find an audience in the post-season holiday.

We’re hearing a $30M+ start is reasonable for this movie, but it could jump up as high as $40M. 

 

 

 

 

  

 

This is nice, especially considering hype has gone down a bit.

[Water Bottle]

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But that's not all! For the first time ever, the Silver Account tier will also get a sale! The monthly amount will be discounted to $5-from the normal price of $10! And the annual price for the Silver Account will be $40-instead of $85! 

 

This sale will last until Monday! This is an excellent time to donate to the forums and help keep us running!

[Eric Atreides]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Annapurna has some involvement too, right? They need this money.

I believe Annapurna's only working with MGM on certain titles. AKA stuff that doesn't have have an existing studio partner. Creed's also produced by WB, so I don't think Annapurna gets any of the profits? I could very well be wrong though.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, CoolEric258 said:

I believe Annapurna's only working with MGM on certain titles. AKA stuff that doesn't have have an existing studio partner. Creed's also produced by WB, so I don't think Annapurna gets any of the profits? I could very well be wrong though.

Wikipedia says:

 

Quote

International distributor only. Co-distribution with Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer.

 

So idk.

[Eric Atreides]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Wikipedia says:

 

 

So idk.

That's confusing, because I'm pretty sure WB is the international distributor. Megan Ellison truly is an enigma

[Jonwo]

18 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

It feels nice to see a big number next to an MGM release again.   It also shows that they really don't need a US distributor for Bond - and it's actually an easier O/S sell.

I’ll be curious to see what they do with Legally Blonde 3 OS, Annapurna/MGM usually sells the OS distribution rights to local distributors but I reckon they’ll partner with one of the bigger studios 

13 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Annapurna has some involvement too, right? They need this money.

I believe it’s a joint distribution with Annapurna for all MGM films domestically

[kitik]

Box office pro went all in with the Glass predictions, hopefully it'll be as huge as they think:

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-glass/

 

They're saying 67/180.

They also upped their Spider-Verse prediction to 130

[MCKillswitch123]

I would worry about slight frontloadedness before launching the fireworks. I mean, they're both sequels to well liked films, after all. That being said, holy SHIT, are these numbers for Ralph and Creed stunning. And even Robin Hood did better than it had any right to (between 2 days, but it did).

[Eric Atreides]

6 minutes ago, kitik said:

Box office pro went all in with the Glass predictions, hopefully it'll be as huge as they think:

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-glass/

 

They're saying 67/180.

@WrathOfHan

 

We finna make history

 

[MrGlass2]

7 minutes ago, kitik said:

Box office pro went all in with the Glass predictions, hopefully it'll be as huge as they think:

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-glass/

 

They're saying 67/180. 

That is a conservative first estimate.

[Zakiyyah6]

I'm predicting Glass makes over 200mil.

[Zakiyyah6]

Of course both of the sequels will be more front loaded than their predecessors but it's not like they are going to be so front loaded that they open with less. 

[WrathOfHan]

13 minutes ago, kitik said:

Box office pro went all in with the Glass predictions, hopefully it'll be as huge as they think:

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-glass/

 

They're saying 67/180.

They also upped their Spider-Verse prediction to 130

 

6 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

@WrathOfHan

 

We finna make history

 

SHYAMAGOD COMING IN FOR THE JANUARY OW RECORD

 

[a2k]

Great year for Spidey. Venom will be 875 ww odd on 100 prod budget and Spideyverse will do extremely well compared to it's costs too. What a non-MCU Spiderman comeback from Sony. A crowd pleasing Venom followed by an offbeat novel holiday animation.

[Eric Atreides]

Anyway, now that I'm on a computer, I can do some fun "If X follows Y" stuff.

 

If Ralph follows Coco:

3.8

21.8 w/ previews Wed

14.7 Thurs

31.3 Fri

30.4 Sat

22.2 Sun

120.4 5-Day

 

If Ralph follows Moana

3.8

22.7 w/ previews

14.5 

31.8 

31.2 

19.3

119.5 5-Day

 

I wish I could do Penguins of Madagascar (last animated Thanksgiving sequel), but I couldn't find any preview data. Obviously 120M seems like a stretch, given that it's a sequel and it doesn't seem to have the same fervor or WOM as those other two, but Ralph might have an okay shot at getting to Frozen's 5-Day (93M). More likely though, it'll be around Moana (82M)

 

I don't have a single good comp for Creed. The first one as a comp would be above 100M, which ain't gonna happen. But as a shot in the dark, a 5-Day around Good Dinosaur (55M)?