Weekend Thread: Thursday Previews - Spider-Verse $3.5M | Mortal Engines $675K

[MattW]

3.5 + 9.75 + 14^(+44%) + 10.5^(-25%) = 37.75

 

Ferdinand last year was +55% for Saturday and Alvin in 2015 was +39%.  Without a star wars movie I think 44% for spiderverse is reasonable. Could it go up to 60%? 3.5+10.25+16.4+12.3 = 42.5

[Ryan Reynolds]

‘Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse’ Catching $36M, ‘The Mule’ Carrying Near $18M, ‘Mortal Engines’ Fails To Start With $7M+

[DeeCee]

Bumblebee is the best Transformers film. 

[LonePirate]

If The Mule can open in the high teens, it has a strong chance to leg it out over $100M due to the holidays. Clint's films - at least the ones that attract an audience - usually rack up some sky high multipliers and The Mule seems to be one of those films.

[Zakiyyah6]

I hate Deadpool PG13 Addition. It's going to fuck my derby so much. Why didn't I just go lower on that thing? I predicted 44.5mil for Spiderverse. I seriously doubt it hits that number but it could hit 40mil I suppose. Just have to wait and see. It should have great legs so that opening is fine. Mortal Engines is such an embarrassment. Handing 100+mil to a VFX guy is certainly a choice. 

[IronJimbo]

5 hours ago, KJsooner said:

Telemachos is back!!!!!

 

KJSOONER IS BACK!!!!

 

I haven't seen you in ages KJ.. missed you

[Ryan Reynolds]

WEEKEND B.O. FOR DEC. 14-16

thumb rank film dis. screens (chg) fri (% dy) 3-day (-%) total wk 1 …Spider-Verse Sony 3,813 $12.6M $36M $36M 1 2 The Mule WB/Bron 2,588 $5.7M $17.8M $17.8M 1 3 The Grinch Uni/Ill 3,759 (-82) $2.7M (-17%) $12.5M (-16%) $240.2M 6 4 Ralph Breaks… Dis 3,575 (-220) $2M (-42%) $9.5M (-41%) $154.4M 4 5 mortal Engines Uni/MRC 3,103 $2.8M $7.5M $7.5M 1 6 creed II MGM/NL 3,107 (-645) $1.4M (-48%) $5.1M (-49%) $104.6M 4 7 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox/NR/GK 2,213 (-740) $1.1M (-32%) $4.2M (-32%) $180.5M 7 8 Fantastic Beasts 2 WB 2,606 (-845) $999K (-44%) $3.9M (-44%) $151.9M 5 9 Instant Family Par 2,860 (-566) $1M (-35%) $3.7M (-35%)   $60.2M 5 10 Once… Deadpool 20th 1,566 $760K $2.6M $3.9M 1 11 Green Book Uni/Part/DW 1,215 (+34) $729K (-34%) $2.5M (-34%) $24.4M 5 12 The Favourite FSL 439 (+348) $705K (+50%) $2.3M (+55%) $6.5M 4

 

 

 

https://deadline.com/2018/12/spider-man-into-the-spider-verse-mortal-engines-clint-eastwood-the-mule-weekend-box-office-1202520137/

Edited December 15, 2018 by Ryan Reynolds

[Zakiyyah6]

Spiderverse did not attract as many black people as one might think according to those numbers. And 67% non families? Interesting. 

 

Anyway as most thought, Spiderverse will not be a mega opener, it will be a legs movie. If it were live action it would have had a chance at a live action style big opening.

Edited December 15, 2018 by Zakiyyah6

[lorddemaxus]

2 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

And 67% non families? Interesting. 

That explains the really high cinemascore. If there were more families in the film, I feel like the cinemascore would have been lower. It's definitely a film made for older audiences. Not sure how that translates to legs.

Edited December 15, 2018 by lorddemaxus

[Zakiyyah6]

9 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

That explains the really high cinemascore. If there were more families in the film, I feel like the cinemascore would have been lower. It's definitely a film made for older audiences. Not sure how that translates to legs.

I think the film will have good legs but how good is an open question. It's a film in a weird situation. Sony positioned it as a kids or family film and right now it's not playing like that exactly. Yet it's not opening like a Spider-Man movie either. I don't know, the whole thing just continues to remind me of a more well received Lego Batman honestly. 

Edited December 15, 2018 by Zakiyyah6

[Maxmoser3]

The Mule over $100 million total 

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, That One Guy said:

MULE, THE (2018)

 

With good audience reception and the fact that it targets a 70+ year old demographic and is going into the holiday season, this should have excellent legs.  Maybe a 7x+?

I dread to think what his audience are like these days, yikes.

[Krissykins]

SpiderVerse should do $200m with ease. Although it’s playing heavily Male and non family (both 67%). Sing did nearly 8x, so 6 is reasonable for still over $200m. 

 

There was no point in that Deadpool re release. 

 

So looks like Mortal Engines will be the biggest bomb of the year? -$150m possible loss according to deadline. Wow.

 

 

[DAJK]

Mortal Engines wasn’t nearly bad enough to deserve those numbers. Lazy writing brings down the great effects, honestly awesome action and scale, and pretty good performances. But it’s entertaining!

[TLK]

The Favourite is very closely tracking Birdman so far. $40 million is still on the table if it wins big at Globes.

[Zakiyyah6]

18 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Mortal Engines wasn’t nearly bad enough to deserve those numbers. Lazy writing brings down the great effects, honestly awesome action and scale, and pretty good performances. But it’s entertaining!

It's a tough world for big budget live action films not based on comic books. The film looked nice visually but it doesn't even look as interesting as Valerian. 

[XO21]

1 hour ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Spiderverse did not attract as many black people as one might think according to those numbers. And 67% non families? Interesting. 

 

Anyway as most thought, Spiderverse will not be a mega opener, it will be a legs movie. If it were live action it would have had a chance at a live action style big opening.

Yeah to me it's looks very fanboys driven.

[terrestrial]

14 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

It's a Christmas movie...normally, it will appeal to a more-Christian based country.  So, it's no surprise it skied in the US, did okay in Europe and South America, and didn't compute elsewhere...it requires an understanding of a holiday (that isn't celebrated for the most part in those other countries) to even start to get a movie goer in the door...

You are aware about the Grinch being non-existing in at least some Christian non-English-speaking countrie's culture?

13 hours ago, The Futurist said:

So Sony has two new superhero franchisers under their belt, which means, even more SH movies per year for everyone.

We ll reach soon 10 SH movies a year at this rate.

The number of movies in general increases over the years since e.g. 1980 to 2018 quite a lot (btw, in my POV that is also a reason so many indies... have a problem earning money)

= I'd expect every genre to increase, not only SH (as far as someone want to call SH a genre)

 

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/

Look at the ' # of movies ' column

 

The same char is also nice for a fast glance about average ticket prices in he same time-frame, for earlier years the average costs and screens, and yearly results development

[Brainbug]

Poor Mortal Engines. Normally, id laugh at numbers like these, but they just make me kinda sad. The film looks quite interesting and wasnt a franchise film for once. Oh well.

[Krissykins]

58 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

It's a tough world for big budget live action films not based on comic books. The film looked nice visually but it doesn't even look as interesting as Valerian. 

Which just lost its production company $120m according to Deadline. 

 

These flops aren’t just flops, companies go bust.