Wednesday Numbers: Poppins 4.8M l Everything's dead. Screw everything.

[MrGamer]

Going to get ahead of the curve here.

 

Bumblebust

Aquaflop

Holmes and Wat are those numbers?!

Welcome to Flopwen

[John Marston]

Not great but it will be fine. Most people probably think it opens Friday anyway 

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, cax16 said:

Wait till Aquaman preview numbers come in and they aren’t as high as everyone is expecting, the meltdowns should be fun again. 

I’m fully expecting the vultures to be out if it does less than $5M tonight. FWIW only the 5:00 PLF show and the 6:00 regular show at the theater I’m seeing Mary Poppins at this evening have sold a bunch of seats and aren’t even 1/4 full in either.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, MrGamer said:

Going to get ahead of the curve here.

 

Bumblebust

Aquaflop

Holmes and Wat are those numbers?!

Welcome to Flopwen

You missed Second Flop.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, MrGamer said:

Going to get ahead of the curve here.

 

Bumblebust

Aquaflop

Holmes and Wat are those numbers?!

Welcome to Flopwen

Vice will bomb harder than Cheney did to Iraq.

[jedijake]

96% better than Greatest Showman doesn't mean it's going to earn 96% more. MPR needs tremendous WOM to get the multiplier. It's a known property unlike TGSM.  It will do consistent numbers over the holidays. After that, unless it has a bunch of Oscar nods, it will fade fast.

 

Is $200 million DOM guaranteed? I'd say no looking at that $4.8 million.

[Hades]

No fear guys ...400 mil domestic is locked ...

[TMP]

[The Wild Eric]

3 minutes ago, jedijake said:

96% better than Greatest Showman doesn't mean it's going to earn 96% more. MPR needs tremendous WOM to get the multiplier. It's a known property unlike TGSM.  It will do consistent numbers over the holidays. After that, unless it has a bunch of Oscar nods, it will fade fast.

 

Is $200 million DOM guaranteed? I'd say no looking at that $4.8 million.

 

1 hour ago, jedijake said:

Is "boffo" good or bad? Because I have MPR at $210-$220 million domestic.

 

1 hour ago, jedijake said:

$4.8 million opening day. Ouch! 

 

$220 million domestic at the highest is what I'm seeing. That's not bad, but it has to get there.

 

Out of curiosity's sake, what do you think about this movie's performance?

[Elessar]

Um... i was continuously told MPR is gonna be huge.

 

It looks like it needs much better legs than already freakishly long legged Jumanji to even come close to some of the predictions.

 

Fat chance...

Edited December 20, 2018 by Elessar

[Napoleon]

10 minutes ago, filmlover said:

You missed Second Flop.

😠

 

Of all movies releasing this weekend it's the one that will recover its budget faster, so

[MrGlass2]

What if all the Christmas releases flop?

 

 

[LonePirate]

The concern trolling over MPR is exceptionally short-sighted. The film will make a minimum of $8M-$12M a day for at least 11 of the next 13 days - and possibly quite a bit more than that. It will do fine.

[WrathOfHan]

Presales for tonight:

 

Aquaman:

5:00: 48/107

5:00 IMAX: 32/372

5:30 3D: 19/77

7:00: 25/67

8:30 IMAX: 80/372

8:30: 55/107

9:00 3D: 34/77

9:50: 5/51

Total: 298/1,230 (245 2D/53 3D)

 

Bumblebee:

5:00: 12/104

5:30 3D: 14/67

7:35: 9/107

8:00: 15/104

8:30 3D: 4/67

10:30: 0/107

11:00: 0/104

11:30 3D: 3/67

Total: 57/727 (36 2D/21 3D)

 

The Favourite:

7:00: 19/40

10:00: 1/40

Total: 20/80

 

Mary Queen of Scots:

7:00: 13/40

10:00: 0/40

Total: 13/80

 

Second Act:

5:00: 3/107

7:45: 4/77

10:30: 0/77

Total: 7/261

 

Welcome to Marwen:

5:00: 0/70

8:00: 4/70

11:00: 1/70

Total: 5/210

 

Aquaman is looking very strong, and there's still room for plenty of walkups.

Bumblebee has a bit too much capacity, but if walkups are strong, that will make the excess shows worth it.

WHOA THE FAVOURITE  This is more than likely going to sell out its first show. Putting it in the smallest auditorium size was a big mistake.

Mary QOS is looking good as well.

Second Act and Marwen... lol

 

Keep in mind that 25-30% of students went home for the holidays. 15% of FSU students live on campus, so that's over 6k who are definitely out of town. Combined with the other schools and students living off campus, that's about 15k fewer people in town. Granted, families and relatives visiting make up for that somewhat.

[Krissykins]

23 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

How did we loose 2M in 2 Hours, Deadline? 😭

 

Actually 2.2-3m eek

[Krissykins]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

Aquaman: 

(245 2D/53 3D)

Bad move not going for 3D 

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Krissykins said:

Bad move not going for 3D 

Aquaman has 15 showtimes this weekend (it loses 3 when Holmes and Vice open), and only two of them are in 3D. I'm a bit surprised by that, especially when nearly half of Bumblebee's shows are 3D. Maybe WB pushed 2D more?

[MrGlass2]

1 minute ago, Krissykins said:

Bad move not going for 3D 

IMAX over 3D.

[KJsooner]

Christmas Holiday’s reaction to all new releases. 

[cax16]

30 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I’m fully expecting the vultures to be out if it does less than $5M tonight. FWIW only the 5:00 PLF show and the 6:00 regular show at the theater I’m seeing Mary Poppins at this evening have sold a bunch of seats and aren’t even 1/4 full in either.

Aquaman did nearly 3 million from the amazon prime event so I assumed that would take away a bit from the preview crowd. We’ll see how tonight plays out.