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30 minutes ago, VTKajin said:

If Aquaman's 2nd week drop is only 20% then $330-340M finish is likely. 

I don't see it going that high that would require somewhere close to a 5x. Not impossible obviously but not likely imo.

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14 minutes ago, MinaTakla said:

Isn't the drop for Vice due to Mon previews rolled in the Christmas Day number?

If it did like 600K previous, OD is then 4.17m, and with 2.9m today the drop is like -30%.

If previews were higher, then the actual drop is lower.

I think the fact that they rolled in the previews made the drop bigger today, right? That could also be the case for On the basis of sex, but not Holmes which had no previews. What do you think?

Also @Pinacolada this is to your point.

interesting. good hold then

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And to think that so many people I knew predicted Aquaman to flop! 

Oddly enough, Aquaman (just like his fellow DC heroes Superman, Batman, and Wonder Woman) was just as big an icon as them; the difference is that, although everyone and their mother had heard of Aquaman, he wasn't exactly known for being a cool superhero that kids aspired to be like.  He was pretty much an iconic joke.

The film certainly cements him as yet another DC icon that people actually love.

And also interesting: after Batman V Superman debuted, many people felt confident in Wonder Woman possibly becoming a hit due to how well received the character and Gal Gadot were in their appearance on the divisive Snyder action fest. 

Aquaman, on the other hand, was not particularly singled out (or Momoa for that matter) as a highlight of Justice League.

 

The success of Aquaman rests entirely on the film itself, including director, plot, and special effects.  And its cast created magic guided by a talented director (Wan).

 

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Alli said:

interesting. good hold then

I think counting the previews vs OD multiple of something like Marwen or Second Act (as adult films)., their OD multi vs previews was 4.7.

This means Vice probably did 900K-1m in previews if the multi is the same.

Which means its actual OD was like 3.8.

So 2.9m second day from a 3.8 actual opening is like -25 or -26%...

Edited by MinaTakla
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an in between chart for the drop %

green numbers = estimates

Daily Domestic Chart for Wednesday December 26th, 2018

← Previous Chart Chart Index  
 
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Aquaman Warner Bros. $16,900,000 -23% 4,125 $4,097   $122,615,000 6
- (-) Bumblebee Paramount Pictures $6,271,095 -29% 3,550 $1,767   $40,524,958 6
- (-) Spider-Man: Into The Spider… Sony Pictures $5,900,000 +5% 3,813 $1,547   $79,625,063 13
- (-) The Mule Warner Bros. $3,510,000 -28% 2,656 $1,322   $45,838,465 13
- (-) Holmes & Watson Sony Pictures $3,500,000 -46% 2,719 $1,287   $9,925,000 2
- (-) Second Act STX Entertainment $2,050,000 -33% 2,607 $786   $12,600,000 6
- (-) Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch Universal $1,734,345 -17% 2,780 $624   $259,634,395 48
- (-) Mary Queen of Scots Focus Features $787,055 -10% 795 $990   $5,630,475 20
- (-) Welcome to Marwen Universal $731,935 -44% 1,911 $383   $4,883,330 6
- (-) Green Book Universal $532,350 -22% 732 $727   $29,116,331 41
- (-) Mortal Engines Universal $383,985 -28% 3,103 $124   $13,298,985 13
- (-) Fantastic Beasts: The Crime… Warner Bros. $325,000 +18% 682 $477   $155,319,713 41
- (-) Instant Family Paramount Pictures $284,741 -28% 744 $383   $63,343,574 41
- (-) On the Basis of Sex Focus Features $173,691 -64% 33 $5,263   $651,637 2
- (-) A Star is Born Warner Bros. $140,000 +8% 262 $534   $200,406,727 83
- (-) Ben is Back Roadside Attractions $130,443 -17% 162 $805   $1,082,622 20
- (-) Night School Universal $10,930 -7% 61 $179   $77,262,080 90
- (-) First Man Universal $6,110 +112% 33 $185   $44,884,775 76
- (-) Boy Erased Focus Features $6,090 +29% 47 $130   $6,741,177 55
- (-) The House with a Clock in i… Universal $6,030 +93% 53 $114   $68,508,680 97
- (-) Halloween Universal $2,205 -17% 29 $76   $159,324,535 69
- (-) Indivisible Pure Flix Entertain… $917 -14% 17 $54   $3,506,393 62
Edited by terrestrial
added a few
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In just the last 48 hours, I have now had three different people under the age of 30 RAVE to me about how much they loved MPR. Anecdotal, I know, but it seems to me that this film is indeed building some powerful WOM apart from the baby boomers and kids who were thought to be it's core audience. Hoping to see it this weekend.

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3 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Its very good after a shaky start. 

 

Will do 150 mill+ no doubt with a 200 mill longshot

I think people were on the fence about seeing it because of the animation style but with everybody raving about it being the best superhero film and the best Spider-Man film they are going to check it out. Those Legs kicking in.

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